Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
December 10, 2019, 01:42:04 pm
News: 2020 Presidential Predictions (Primary) are now active.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls
  2014 Senatorial Election Polls
  IA: PPP: Ernst +2
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: IA: PPP: Ernst +2  (Read 2173 times)
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,336
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: September 30, 2014, 11:21:50 am »
« edited: September 30, 2014, 11:24:24 am by Miles »

Article.

Ernst (R)- 44%
Braley (D)- 42%
Others- 3%
Not sure- 10%

In a two-way, its Ernst 45/43.

Republicans lead 45/41 on the generic legislative ballot.
Logged
Mangez des pommes !
Antonio V
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 50,674
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: September 30, 2014, 11:30:31 am »

I guess it could have been worse...

Still depressing, but meh, what can I do?
Logged
Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,692


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: September 30, 2014, 11:36:18 am »

The way everyone was talking up this poll, I thought Ernst was going to lead by about 12.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 50,974
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: September 30, 2014, 12:47:11 pm »

The way everyone was talking up this poll, I thought Ernst was going to lead by about 12.

PPP was tweeting a few days ago that "she's definitely ahead".

I was also thinking that she'd be ahead 4-8 considering this.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20,339
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: September 30, 2014, 01:12:28 pm »

This race is gonna be close. I still think Braley could comeback.
Logged
Free Bird
TheHawk
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,829
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: September 30, 2014, 01:14:21 pm »

The way everyone was talking up this poll, I thought Ernst was going to lead by about 12.

PPP was tweeting a few days ago that "she's definitely ahead".

I was also thinking that she'd be ahead 4-8 considering this.
Logged
Joshua
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,487
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: -5.91

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: September 30, 2014, 01:30:19 pm »

I keep reassuring myself that Braley will eventually reveal to the people of Iowa that Joni Ernst is just a Sharron Angle-type in disguise, but he's ran such a poor campaign I'm doubtful that'll ever happen.
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28,520
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: September 30, 2014, 02:21:12 pm »
« Edited: September 30, 2014, 03:21:56 pm by IDS Emperor Maxwell »

Yea, but still, PPP seems to agree with the Selzer poll in terms of the direction of this race. Braley's numbers have gone down consistently to the point that Ernst, at -4, is the more popular person in the race, even as Braley started with a +10 favorable rating. Oh, and Independents HATE Braley 27-47, while Ernst is even with that group.

Obviously this can change, but I'm starting to feel this race slip away from Braley's hands.

Here's the problem with the whole Braley's not attacking Joni Ernst enough - he is. Most of his ads are attacking Ernst as a far out right-winger. The problem is, it isn't working.
Logged
Cory Booker
olawakandi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 29,531
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: September 30, 2014, 04:04:15 pm »

She has peaked out already, since the debate, which was helpful to Braley, this will again head towards him now.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,700
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.90, S: -7.65

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: September 30, 2014, 04:07:20 pm »

She has peaked out already, since the debate, which was helpful to Braley, this will again head towards him now.

And what evidence is there to back this up?
Logged
Impeachment Inquiry
DrScholl
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,107
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: September 30, 2014, 06:20:21 pm »

Ernst is already collapsing, a poll from a few days ago had her up by 5, now she's only up by 2.
Logged
Free Bird
TheHawk
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,829
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: September 30, 2014, 07:51:35 pm »

Ernst is already collapsing, a poll from a few days ago had her up by 5, now she's only up by 2.

From the left leaning PPP. This is still good news.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20,339
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: September 30, 2014, 07:54:07 pm »

Ernst is already collapsing, a poll from a few days ago had her up by 5, now she's only up by 2.

From the left leaning PPP. This is still good news.

PPP has a Republican leaning bias of 0.7%.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/pollster-ratings/
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28,520
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: September 30, 2014, 07:56:20 pm »

Ernst is already collapsing, a poll from a few days ago had her up by 5, now she's only up by 2.

It was 6, and Selzer is actually a more reputable pollster than PPP according to Nate Silver.
Logged
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,501
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: September 30, 2014, 07:57:34 pm »

Ernst is already collapsing, a poll from a few days ago had her up by 5, now she's only up by 2.

From the left leaning PPP. This is still good news.

How are they left-leaning... the best state-level pollsters overall from 2010 and 2012...

This really needs to be put to bed. If anything, their national polls in 2012 had a right-bent.
Logged
Free Bird
TheHawk
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,829
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: September 30, 2014, 08:34:28 pm »

Ernst is already collapsing, a poll from a few days ago had her up by 5, now she's only up by 2.

From the left leaning PPP. This is still good news.

How are they left-leaning... the best state-level pollsters overall from 2010 and 2012...

This really needs to be put to bed. If anything, their national polls in 2012 had a right-bent.

Even if yuh PPP was neutral, 538 had them in the C range, which isn't that good. Even if THAT wasn't the case and PPP was perfect, it still showed an Ernst lead in what is bound to be a close race just based on how Iowa votes.
Logged
SWE
SomebodyWhoExists
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,434
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: September 30, 2014, 08:47:26 pm »

Talleyrand warned us about this, and we didn't listen.
Logged
Talleyrand
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,275


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: September 30, 2014, 08:48:16 pm »

Talleyrand warned us about this, and we didn't listen.

I will now accept my accolades. Ernst is a wonderful candidate.
Logged
Impeachment Inquiry
DrScholl
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,107
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: September 30, 2014, 08:51:07 pm »

Talleyrand warned us about this, and we didn't listen.

I will now accept my accolades. Ernst is a wonderful candidate.

Wonderful is really pushing it. In fact, it's downright lie, since she is crazy.
Logged
Never
Never Convinced
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,627
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: September 30, 2014, 08:58:02 pm »

Talleyrand warned us about this, and we didn't listen.

I will now accept my accolades. Ernst is a wonderful candidate.

Wonderful is really pushing it. In fact, it's downright lie, since she is crazy.

If she were literally crazy, wouldn't she have lost the debate with Braley? Roll Eyes
Logged
Impeachment Inquiry
DrScholl
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,107
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: September 30, 2014, 09:01:11 pm »

Talleyrand warned us about this, and we didn't listen.

I will now accept my accolades. Ernst is a wonderful candidate.

Wonderful is really pushing it. In fact, it's downright lie, since she is crazy.

If she were literally crazy, wouldn't she have lost the debate with Braley? Roll Eyes

Crazy doesn't necessarily equal stupid. Her views are what is crazy, she believes in Agenda 21 of all things.
Logged
Never
Never Convinced
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,627
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: September 30, 2014, 09:05:04 pm »

Talleyrand warned us about this, and we didn't listen.

I will now accept my accolades. Ernst is a wonderful candidate.

Wonderful is really pushing it. In fact, it's downright lie, since she is crazy.

If she were literally crazy, wouldn't she have lost the debate with Braley? Roll Eyes

Crazy doesn't necessarily equal stupid. Her views are what is crazy, she believes in Agenda 21 of all things.

Well, by that extent, I suppose most of us Republicans are crazy, because our party put opposition to Agenda 21 into the 2012 national platform. Tongue

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.
Logged
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,501
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: September 30, 2014, 09:05:26 pm »

Talleyrand warned us about this, and we didn't listen.

I will now accept my accolades. Ernst is a wonderful candidate.

Wonderful is really pushing it. In fact, it's downright lie, since she is crazy.

If she were literally crazy, wouldn't she have lost the debate with Braley? Roll Eyes

Crazy doesn't necessarily equal stupid. Her views are what is crazy, she believes in Agenda 21 of all things.

..wait, she believes the Agenda 21 conspiracy theory?
Logged
Impeachment Inquiry
DrScholl
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,107
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: September 30, 2014, 09:09:17 pm »

Talleyrand warned us about this, and we didn't listen.

I will now accept my accolades. Ernst is a wonderful candidate.

Wonderful is really pushing it. In fact, it's downright lie, since she is crazy.

If she were literally crazy, wouldn't she have lost the debate with Braley? Roll Eyes

Crazy doesn't necessarily equal stupid. Her views are what is crazy, she believes in Agenda 21 of all things.

Well, by that extent, I suppose most of us Republicans are crazy, because our party put opposition to Agenda 21 into the 2012 national platform. Tongue

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

The Republican Party as a whole is hardly a bastion of sanity.
Logged
Impeachment Inquiry
DrScholl
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,107
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: September 30, 2014, 09:10:23 pm »

Talleyrand warned us about this, and we didn't listen.

I will now accept my accolades. Ernst is a wonderful candidate.

Wonderful is really pushing it. In fact, it's downright lie, since she is crazy.

If she were literally crazy, wouldn't she have lost the debate with Braley? Roll Eyes

Crazy doesn't necessarily equal stupid. Her views are what is crazy, she believes in Agenda 21 of all things.

..wait, she believes the Agenda 21 conspiracy theory?

http://news.yahoo.com/will-joni-ernst-s-flirtations-with-the-political-fringe-haunt-her-in-november-223054974.html?soc_src=mediacontentstory

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC