IA: PPP: Ernst +2

[Maxwell]

Yea, but still, PPP seems to agree with the Selzer poll in terms of the direction of this race. Braley's numbers have gone down consistently to the point that Ernst, at -4, is the more popular person in the race, even as Braley started with a +10 favorable rating. Oh, and Independents HATE Braley 27-47, while Ernst is even with that group.

Obviously this can change, but I'm starting to feel this race slip away from Braley's hands.

Here's the problem with the whole Braley's not attacking Joni Ernst enough - he is. Most of his ads are attacking Ernst as a far out right-winger. The problem is, it isn't working.

[Maxwell]

Ernst is already collapsing, a poll from a few days ago had her up by 5, now she's only up by 2.

It was 6, and Selzer is actually a more reputable pollster than PPP according to Nate Silver.