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  CO: Rasmussen: Gardner +1
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Author Topic: CO: Rasmussen: Gardner +1  (Read 1567 times)
Miles
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« on: October 01, 2014, 11:04:52 am »

Link coming.

Gardner (R)- 48%
Udall (D)- 47%
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Hugo Award nominee
Nathan
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« Reply #1 on: October 01, 2014, 11:08:38 am »

Not as worried here as in Iowa.
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Devils30
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« Reply #2 on: October 01, 2014, 11:08:48 am »

a GOP up 1 in a Rasmussen CO poll is not a good thing.
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Edgar Suit Larry
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« Reply #3 on: October 01, 2014, 11:13:32 am »

a GOP up 1 in a Rasmussen CO poll is not a good thing.
For who?
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Maxwell
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« Reply #4 on: October 01, 2014, 11:13:38 am »

a GOP up 1 in a Rasmussen CO poll is not a good thing.

Public Policy Polling had Gardner up by 2. Next.

Either way, Udall being down at all is embarrassing for him.
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JRP1994
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« Reply #5 on: October 01, 2014, 11:17:14 am »

So roughly Udall +1
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backtored
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« Reply #6 on: October 01, 2014, 11:18:13 am »
« Edited: October 01, 2014, 11:21:28 am by backtored »

a GOP up 1 in a Rasmussen CO poll is not a good thing.

No, it is a great thing. Rassy's last poll here three weeks ago had Udall up two. Virtually every pollster is showing the race moving away from Udall. Besides, the rassy GOP house effect has been largely absent this year.
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backtored
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« Reply #7 on: October 01, 2014, 11:18:48 am »

Not as worried here as in Iowa.

Rasmussen has Iowa tied.
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Edgar Suit Larry
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« Reply #8 on: October 01, 2014, 11:19:00 am »

This will come down to how the debates go vs. how the turnouts go.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #9 on: October 01, 2014, 11:26:04 am »

a GOP up 1 in a Rasmussen CO poll is not a good thing.

No, it is a great thing. Rassy's last poll here three weeks ago had Udall up two. Virtually every pollster is showing the race moving away from Udall. Besides, the rassy GOP house effect has been largely absent this year.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #10 on: October 01, 2014, 11:26:27 am »

Udall will win.
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backtored
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« Reply #11 on: October 01, 2014, 11:26:51 am »

And he is scraping fifty percent with few undecideds. Quinnipiac consistently shows Gardner's ceiling with favorable numbers while rassy has been showing his floor. Either way, there simply are no more polls showing Udall up. I don't think that this will be easy, but I am glad I'm a Colorado Republican and not a Democrat today.

By the way, ballots drop in 13 days. Not much time for Udall to swing the race the other way.
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backtored
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« Reply #12 on: October 01, 2014, 11:28:29 am »
« Edited: October 01, 2014, 11:57:00 am by backtored »

This will come down to how the debates go vs. how the turnouts go.

Maybe you should tell the senator that his whole "shun the screen" strategy isn't going to get it done.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #13 on: October 01, 2014, 11:31:20 am »

a GOP up 1 in a Rasmussen CO poll is not a good thing.

Yup, Udall's got Gardner right where he wants him.
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Edgar Suit Larry
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« Reply #14 on: October 01, 2014, 11:37:52 am »

Udall has the funding and ground advantage going into the election but are people's minds already made up?
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JRP1994
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« Reply #15 on: October 01, 2014, 11:41:32 am »

OMG LIKELY DEMOCRAT GUYZ!!!!!!11!1!

Gardner has an ever-so-slight advantage, but characterizing this race - on October 1 - as anything but a tossup isn't appropriate.
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backtored
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« Reply #16 on: October 01, 2014, 11:44:05 am »

a GOP up 1 in a Rasmussen CO poll is not a good thing.

Yup, Udall's got Gardner right where he wants him.

Let me get this straight. Democrats are going with "Udall leading in the polls? Great!  Gardner leading? Even better!"?

Not really the kind of strategy I would go with, to be honest.
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Invisible Obama
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« Reply #17 on: October 01, 2014, 11:47:50 am »

Udall will win this. He can bring out enough of his voters to close this out.
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Miles
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« Reply #18 on: October 01, 2014, 12:01:07 pm »
« Edited: October 01, 2014, 12:03:10 pm by Miles »

Best news for Democrats is this shows that the Quinnipiac poll (Gardner +8) was an obvious outlier. Everyone else has narrow Gardner leads.

Also, without leaners, this poll shows a 45/45 tie.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #19 on: October 01, 2014, 12:04:28 pm »

I wonder what the next SUSA poll will show ...

I'd give that one the biggest weighting.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #20 on: October 01, 2014, 12:11:01 pm »

There's also the chance that the jobs report out on Friday will be rather good and the Dems could use it over the next weeks in their closing ads.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/adp-reports-sixth-month-of-job-gains-above-200000-2014-10-01
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Never
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« Reply #21 on: October 01, 2014, 12:17:17 pm »

It will be interesting if it turns out that Rasmussen had the most accurate polling of this race when it's all said and done.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #22 on: October 01, 2014, 12:53:59 pm »

Not as worried here as in Iowa.
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Secret Cavern Survivor
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« Reply #23 on: October 01, 2014, 01:27:30 pm »

Not as worried here as in Iowa.

(which is not to say I'm not worried)
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backtored
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« Reply #24 on: October 01, 2014, 01:34:00 pm »

Chuck Todd says that Hickenlooper may be a big drag on the Democratic ticket.

I tend to think that the Democratic ticket is a big drag on the Democratic ticket.
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