Article.
Fallin (R)- 50%
Dorman (D)- 36%
44% have no opinion of Dorman; higher than I'd expect.
Dorman has the democrats and democrat-leaning independents locked up, now he needs to convince republican-leaning independents and liberal republicans that Fallin is too conservative even for OK.
Personally, I see this race ending up like the 2004 senate race (11 point republican win). Fallin's lost a bunch of her 2010 popularity, when she beat a credible opponent 60-40, but she hasn't made enough HUGE mistakes to actually lose.