Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
January 27, 2020, 02:59:53 pm
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls
  GA-InsiderAdvantage/FOX5 Atlanta: Deal up by 0.3 points (search mode)
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: GA-InsiderAdvantage/FOX5 Atlanta: Deal up by 0.3 points  (Read 1052 times)
President Griffin
Adam Griffin
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 15,911
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26


« on: October 05, 2014, 01:06:22 am »
« edited: October 05, 2014, 01:41:43 am by Lowly Griff »

Fantastic news! If IA could be trusted and we went off its crosstabs, Carter getting 32% of the white vote is enough for a majority. Looking at the crosstabs, though...I really don't think Carter will do that well with whites and blacks are oversampled here as well.

On the other hand, Latinos/Asians/others are only 2% of the poll (should be at least 5-6% in this election) and they're skewed very heavily to Deal. In addition to that, the oversampling of blacks is cancelled out by the fact that the poll only shows 66% voting for Carter at the moment.

I think overall it balances out, and this is a tie at the moment.

What I do find hilarious (and it's not just IA: other polls have shown this, too) is the 18-29 demographic going for Carter and Perdue each by about 10 points.

Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC