Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
February 17, 2019, 09:24:45 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  Election Archive
| | |-+  All Archived Boards
| | | |-+  2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls
| | | | |-+  2014 Senatorial Election Polls
| | | | | |-+  NBC/Marist: Orman+10, Hagan+4, Ernst+2
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 Print
Author Topic: NBC/Marist: Orman+10, Hagan+4, Ernst+2  (Read 2355 times)
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,644
Dominica


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 03, 2014, 03:42:19 pm »

KS:

48-38 Orman/Roberts

NC:

44-40 Hagan/Tillis

IA:

46-44 Ernst/Braley

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/kansas-surprise-orman-leads-roberts-10-nbc-marist-poll-n217911
« Last Edit: October 05, 2014, 08:19:21 am by Tender Branson »Logged

fuck nazis
ElectionsGuy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 16,138
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.87, S: -6.96

P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 03, 2014, 03:52:31 pm »

While we're waiting can you get that suburban white kid out of your sig please? Don't mean to be rude but I've had to ignore you for several days because of that.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 47,945
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09

P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 05, 2014, 08:18:42 am »

Updated with the numbers.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 47,945
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09

P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 05, 2014, 08:24:43 am »

Those are not really bad numbers ... Wink
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,644
Dominica


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 05, 2014, 08:26:17 am »

RIP Roberts.
Logged

fuck nazis
Panda Express
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,158


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 05, 2014, 08:29:10 am »

KS:

48-38 Orman/Roberts

Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 47,945
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09

P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 05, 2014, 08:38:00 am »

All the Marist crosstabs (PDF-format):

Kansas

North Carolina

Iowa
Logged
RR1997
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,029
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 05, 2014, 08:40:38 am »

This seems accurate.
Logged

PM Economic: +1.03
PM Social:  -3.83

Hillary Clinton 2016
Michael Bloomberg 2016
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,565
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 05, 2014, 08:45:52 am »

They seem pretty reasonable.
Logged


Dogma is a comfortable thing, it saves you from thought - Sir Robert Menzies
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,644
Dominica


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 05, 2014, 08:46:37 am »

These are the exact same numbers margins PPP last published in these three races.

Maybe Nate Silver et al. will now write an article about how Marist is ripping off other polling firms?
« Last Edit: October 05, 2014, 08:50:18 am by ℒief »Logged

fuck nazis
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 47,945
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09

P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 05, 2014, 08:48:47 am »

These are the exact same numbers PPP last published in these three races.

Maybe Nate Silver et al. will now write an article about how Marist is ripping off other polling firms?

The same margins, not the same numbers ... Wink

And that's mostly because PPP and Marist are both good pollsters, while others are total crap.
Logged
Mehmentum
Icefire9
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,486
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 05, 2014, 09:25:19 am »

All these seem accurate.  A small R lead in Iowa, a larger D lead in NC, and Orman running away with it so far.
Logged
JRP1994
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,619


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 05, 2014, 09:30:59 am »

YESSSS. Orman just has to hold the lead for 4 more weeks.
Logged
Flake
Flo
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,710
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 05, 2014, 09:32:48 am »

New Poll: Kansas Senator by Marist College on 2014-10-04

Summary: D: 0%, R: 38%, I: 48%, U: 15%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged

Flake
Flo
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,710
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 05, 2014, 09:36:38 am »

New Poll: North Carolina Senator by Marist College on 2014-10-05

Summary: D: 44%, R: 40%, I: 7%, U: 9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged

Flake
Flo
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,710
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 05, 2014, 09:39:29 am »

New Poll: Iowa Senator by Marist College on 2014-10-05

Summary: D: 44%, R: 46%, I: 1%, U: 9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged

Maxwell
mah519
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28,732
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 05, 2014, 11:09:57 am »

RIP Roberts.

Time is running out for him. I think I agree unless Orman reveals he's had sex with 5 prostitutes.

He may be able to beat Roberts still with only 3 or 4 Prostitutes Wink
Logged
Bevinevitable
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,565
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 05, 2014, 01:39:55 pm »

Clearly Iowa is a lean R race! Roll Eyes

Good news that Gregory the Gallant is continuing to curbstomp the DC fossil, though I doubt he's leading by this much.
« Last Edit: October 05, 2014, 01:41:42 pm by IceSpear »Logged

Free Bird
TheHawk
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,664
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: October 05, 2014, 01:42:25 pm »

Why are Dems celebrating Roberts going down? If these trends continue, Orman will caucus GOP keeping it in their hands anyway.
Logged

I feel liberal and around conservatives and conservative around liberals. Seems I canít win.
KCDem
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,932


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: October 05, 2014, 01:43:02 pm »

Why are Dems celebrating Roberts going down? If these trends continue, Orman will caucus GOP keeping it in their hands anyway.

Because when Republicans lose, America wins.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 16,138
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.87, S: -6.96

P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: October 05, 2014, 01:51:59 pm »

No way Roberts is trailing by this much, but he's the underdog now with 30 days to go.
Logged
eric82oslo
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,789
Norway


Political Matrix
E: -6.00, S: -5.65

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: October 05, 2014, 01:55:54 pm »

No way Roberts is trailing by this much, but he's the underdog now with 30 days to go.

No way? It's the 4th poll showing Orman with at least a 10% lead. It is hardly an outlier.
Logged

"A kiss can be 10 times more effective than morphine in reducing pain by triggering the body's natural painkillers."

Trump equals Satan. If people doesn't start to realize that extremely basic part of human being, then I'm gonna start to self-destruct pretty soon.
Bevinevitable
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,565
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: October 05, 2014, 02:05:14 pm »

Why are Dems celebrating Roberts going down? If these trends continue, Orman will caucus GOP keeping it in their hands anyway.

Why wouldn't they? Even if Republicans do win the Senate without Orman (which isn't anything close to a safe bet), it would still be better to have a moderate in the seat than a right winger. Same for the Murkowski/Miller race in Alaska in 2010.

Besides, don't forget that Orman could easily switch in the future, particularly if he could be the deciding vote again...say, after the 2016 elections.
Logged

Bevinevitable
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,565
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: October 05, 2014, 02:07:29 pm »

No way Roberts is trailing by this much, but he's the underdog now with 30 days to go.

No way? It's the 4th poll showing Orman with at least a 10% lead. It is hardly an outlier.

Only PPP has shown Orman with a 10 point lead though, everyone else has shown 5-6 points.
Logged

2,868,691
Harry
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 22,712
South Georgia and the South Sandwich Islan


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: October 05, 2014, 02:41:03 pm »

Why are Dems celebrating Roberts going down? If these trends continue, Orman will caucus GOP keeping it in their hands anyway.

Is this a serious question? Even if he causes with the GOP, he'll still be a better Senator than Roberts from our perspective.

Did you really think we'd all just say "Well, if we can't get the majority, we'd rather just have a right-winger over a left-leaning centrist in there!!" ?
Logged

Pages: [1] 2 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines