I will now accept my accolades
Rounds' margin over Weiland has actually increased a percentage point since PPP's last internal poll of the race in August. The main object of concern for Rounds here is that Pressler has gained 7 points in that same time period; a movement corroborated by other pollsters. I could easily envision another Maine 2010 scenario occurring here, although I am not certain that Rounds would be as lucky as LePage was. Other pollsters besides PPP would need to corroborate this, but it seems that the conservative Howie may also be gaining momentum, which could hurt Rounds if Pressler's momentum continues.
Assuming current trends continue, by the end of October I would expect the standing to be Rounds ~34%; Pressler ~28%; Weiland ~21%; Howie 6%, which would put Pressler well within striking distance.
