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Author Topic: KS-CNN/ORC: Exact Tie  (Read 1990 times)
JRP1994
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« on: October 08, 2014, 03:09:09 pm »

http://www.cnn.com/2014/10/08/politics/kansas-senate-poll/index.html

Brownback: 49%
Davis: 49%
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Lief 🐋
Lief
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« Reply #1 on: October 08, 2014, 03:10:47 pm »

I doubt it, but okay.
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Landslide Andy
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« Reply #2 on: October 08, 2014, 03:22:16 pm »

CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #3 on: October 08, 2014, 03:22:51 pm »

Something different, little skeptical but certainly promotes the idea that this is a toss-up.
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backtored
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« Reply #4 on: October 08, 2014, 03:35:59 pm »

Sam the man.
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King
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« Reply #5 on: October 08, 2014, 03:38:36 pm »

>98% have made a decision
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #6 on: October 08, 2014, 04:27:03 pm »

CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA
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Landslide Andy
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« Reply #7 on: October 08, 2014, 04:47:22 pm »

CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA

Sammy better start clicking his heels, because soon he won't be in Kansas anymore.
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SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #8 on: October 08, 2014, 04:56:40 pm »

CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA

While you are hardly unique in this regard, most people would probably have more respect for someone who, with a history of making predictions defying conventional wisdom that did not pan out, expressed greater epistemic uncertainty when making a similar prediction in the present, and did not make ad hominem attacks against those who subscribed to conventional wisdom. True, you too have been victim of ad hominem attacks, but those are in large part a (desired?) consequence of your conduct agitating for a dispute.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #9 on: October 08, 2014, 05:22:56 pm »

CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA

While you are hardly unique in this regard, most people would probably have more respect for someone who, with a history of making predictions defying conventional wisdom that did not pan out, expressed greater epistemic uncertainty when making a similar prediction in the present, and did not make ad hominem attacks against those who subscribed to conventional wisdom. True, you too have been victim of ad hominem attacks, but those are in large part a (desired?) consequence of your conduct agitating for a dispute.

Shut up.
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Impeachment Inquiry
DrScholl
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« Reply #10 on: October 08, 2014, 05:56:34 pm »

CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA

While you are hardly unique in this regard, most people would probably have more respect for someone who, with a history of making predictions defying conventional wisdom that did not pan out, expressed greater epistemic uncertainty when making a similar prediction in the present, and did not make ad hominem attacks against those who subscribed to conventional wisdom. True, you too have been victim of ad hominem attacks, but those are in large part a (desired?) consequence of your conduct agitating for a dispute.

Yes, read him.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #11 on: October 08, 2014, 10:03:29 pm »

I'm really shocked that the people complaining about someone else taking things too seriously are taking things too seriously themselves! Shocked, I tell you!
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Illuminati Blood Drinker
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« Reply #12 on: October 09, 2014, 12:09:46 am »

CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA

While you are hardly unique in this regard, most people would probably have more respect for someone who, with a history of making predictions defying conventional wisdom that did not pan out, expressed greater epistemic uncertainty when making a similar prediction in the present, and did not make ad hominem attacks against those who subscribed to conventional wisdom. True, you too have been victim of ad hominem attacks, but those are in large part a (desired?) consequence of your conduct agitating for a dispute.

Shut up.
Keystone Phil confirmed to be 5 years old.
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Joshua
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« Reply #13 on: October 09, 2014, 12:52:24 am »

CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA

While you are hardly unique in this regard, most people would probably have more respect for someone who, with a history of making predictions defying conventional wisdom that did not pan out, expressed greater epistemic uncertainty when making a similar prediction in the present, and did not make ad hominem attacks against those who subscribed to conventional wisdom. True, you too have been victim of ad hominem attacks, but those are in large part a (desired?) consequence of your conduct agitating for a dispute.

Shut up.
Keystone Phil confirmed to be 5 years old.

Am Phil's mom, can confirm.
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Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #14 on: October 09, 2014, 01:23:49 am »

CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA

While you are hardly unique in this regard, most people would probably have more respect for someone who, with a history of making predictions defying conventional wisdom that did not pan out, expressed greater epistemic uncertainty when making a similar prediction in the present, and did not make ad hominem attacks against those who subscribed to conventional wisdom. True, you too have been victim of ad hominem attacks, but those are in large part a (desired?) consequence of your conduct agitating for a dispute.

Shut up.
Keystone Phil confirmed to be 5 years old.

Am Phil's mom, can confirm.
Physically impossible, Phil joined in '04. I suggest getting back on topic.
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Badger
badger
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« Reply #15 on: October 09, 2014, 11:12:18 pm »

CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA

While you are hardly unique in this regard, most people would probably have more respect for someone who, with a history of making predictions defying conventional wisdom that did not pan out, expressed greater epistemic uncertainty when making a similar prediction in the present, and did not make ad hominem attacks against those who subscribed to conventional wisdom. True, you too have been victim of ad hominem attacks, but those are in large part a (desired?) consequence of your conduct agitating for a dispute.

Shut up.

Yeah, sometimes when one gets burned that bad, a coherent response is not readily available.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #16 on: October 10, 2014, 05:37:49 am »

CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA

While you are hardly unique in this regard, most people would probably have more respect for someone who, with a history of making predictions defying conventional wisdom that did not pan out, expressed greater epistemic uncertainty when making a similar prediction in the present, and did not make ad hominem attacks against those who subscribed to conventional wisdom. True, you too have been victim of ad hominem attacks, but those are in large part a (desired?) consequence of your conduct agitating for a dispute.

Shut up.

Yeah, sometimes when one gets burned that bad, a coherent response is not readily available.

As I said in another thread, maybe the people that groan about how I have to "calm down" can possibly convince themselves that my tone in these posts aren't exactly as serious as you think...Maybe demonstrate some, hmmm, epistemic uncertainty of their own. Wink
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KCDem
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« Reply #17 on: October 10, 2014, 09:43:18 am »

CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA

While you are hardly unique in this regard, most people would probably have more respect for someone who, with a history of making predictions defying conventional wisdom that did not pan out, expressed greater epistemic uncertainty when making a similar prediction in the present, and did not make ad hominem attacks against those who subscribed to conventional wisdom. True, you too have been victim of ad hominem attacks, but those are in large part a (desired?) consequence of your conduct agitating for a dispute.

Shut up.

Yeah, sometimes when one gets burned that bad, a coherent response is not readily available.

As I said in another thread, maybe the people that groan about how I have to "calm down" can possibly convince themselves that my tone in these posts aren't exactly as serious as you think...Maybe demonstrate some, hmmm, epistemic uncertainty of their own. Wink

When he gets called out for his childish ways, he claims to be 'joking'. He's clearly not ready for primetime.
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Andrew1
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« Reply #18 on: October 10, 2014, 01:26:58 pm »

Davis has held a narrow lead all year, but this race does seem to be tightening. I doubt the strip club incident made much difference, the sort of very socially conservative voters who would be affected by this are likely to be solid Brownback supporters.

But Davis has had to keep a lot of moderate Republicans on his side all year, I can believe that after an intense campaign some of them are just naturally drifting back to Brownback, despite all his faults.

Polls have shown Davis getting up to 27% of the Republican vote. He may find that difficult to maintain. I suspect this race goes right down to the wire, neither candidate will win by more than 1%.
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Chief Justice windjammer
windjammer
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« Reply #19 on: October 10, 2014, 02:20:06 pm »

Impossible.

You can't have only 2% undecided right now.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #20 on: October 10, 2014, 04:22:36 pm »

CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA

While you are hardly unique in this regard, most people would probably have more respect for someone who, with a history of making predictions defying conventional wisdom that did not pan out, expressed greater epistemic uncertainty when making a similar prediction in the present, and did not make ad hominem attacks against those who subscribed to conventional wisdom. True, you too have been victim of ad hominem attacks, but those are in large part a (desired?) consequence of your conduct agitating for a dispute.

Shut up.

Yeah, sometimes when one gets burned that bad, a coherent response is not readily available.

As I said in another thread, maybe the people that groan about how I have to "calm down" can possibly convince themselves that my tone in these posts aren't exactly as serious as you think...Maybe demonstrate some, hmmm, epistemic uncertainty of their own. Wink

When he gets called out for his childish ways, he claims to be 'joking'. He's clearly not ready for primetime.

I pray for you.
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