KS-Rassy: Orman+12
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Poll
Question: Should this poll be entered to the FORUM poll database ? (please read thread)
#1
Yes
#2
No
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Partisan results

Author Topic: KS-Rassy: Orman+12  (Read 4028 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: October 09, 2014, 09:22:27 AM »
52% Orman
40% Roberts

Link later.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #1 on: October 09, 2014, 09:24:10 AM »
Dominating!
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KCDem
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« Reply #2 on: October 09, 2014, 09:24:46 AM »
Glorious News!
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #3 on: October 09, 2014, 09:28:54 AM »
What do you roughly get when you average the Rasmussen poll here and the Faux News poll ?

Virtually SurveyUSA's result.
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #4 on: October 09, 2014, 09:31:03 AM »
Bi-polar polling.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #5 on: October 09, 2014, 09:33:17 AM »
I think the main problem in KS is to know what percentage of Republicans Roberts (and Browncrook) will get ...

Kansas is a 55-30-15 R/D/I state and if Roberts gets 65% of Republicans in one poll and 80% in another that creates a difference of 8% in his overall share ...
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Senator Cris
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« Reply #6 on: October 09, 2014, 09:35:25 AM »
The rule isn't > Rasmussen? Or only if they show the GOP in the lead?
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #7 on: October 09, 2014, 09:50:57 AM »
Congrats, Phil!
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Flake
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« Reply #8 on: October 09, 2014, 09:51:59 AM »
Quote from: Cris on October 09, 2014, 09:35:25 AM
The rule isn't > Rasmussen? Or only if they show the GOP in the lead?

Is literally every republican on this site saying that
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #9 on: October 09, 2014, 09:57:50 AM »
inb4 phil meltdown
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Maxwell
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« Reply #10 on: October 09, 2014, 09:58:03 AM »
This poll is embarrassing. I'll go ahead and trust SurveyUSA, a good pollster, over this.
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Person Man
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« Reply #11 on: October 09, 2014, 10:16:12 AM »
15 point differential amongst two Right Wing pollsters?  "May you live in interesting times"
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King
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« Reply #12 on: October 09, 2014, 11:22:07 AM »
I want to believe all the polls are accurate and our nation's political gridlock has giving the middle of the country bipolar disorder, changing their minds daily.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #13 on: October 09, 2014, 12:22:04 PM »
And there is the reason why you should follow the polling aggregate instead of cherry-picking polls.
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Person Man
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« Reply #14 on: October 09, 2014, 12:23:30 PM »
Quote from: King on October 09, 2014, 11:22:07 AM
I want to believe all the polls are accurate and our nation's political gridlock has giving the middle of the country bipolar disorder, changing their minds daily.

That is ALMOST plausible..
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eric82oslo
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« Reply #15 on: October 09, 2014, 12:40:53 PM »
Maybe people will start believing me now that the three or four previous Kansas polls to show Orman 10-12% ahead were not, I repeat not, outliers. Tongue
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eric82oslo
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« Reply #16 on: October 09, 2014, 12:50:21 PM »
Latest poll from each of the 8 pollsters to have polled the Kansas race to date:

Rasmussen: Orman +12%
FOX: Roberts +5%
CNN: Roberts +1%
SurveyUSA: Orman +5%
Marist: Orman +10%
YouGov: Tie
Suffolk: Orman +5%
PPP: Orman +10% (with leaners: +12%)

Average: Orman +4.5% (with leaners: 4.75%)
Median: Orman +5%
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cinyc
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« Reply #17 on: October 09, 2014, 02:10:12 PM »
Is this poll still on the Rasmussen private website?  It's not on the public website and someone from RRH said it has been removed without comment.
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cinyc
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« Reply #18 on: October 09, 2014, 02:13:11 PM »
Quote from: MooMooMoo on October 09, 2014, 10:16:12 AM
15 point differential amongst two Right Wing pollsters?  "May you live in interesting times"

Again,  Fox News uses a bipartisan panel of pollsters, a Democrat pollster working with a Republican pollster. It is not a right wing pollster.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #19 on: October 09, 2014, 02:19:10 PM »
Quote from: cinyc on October 09, 2014, 02:13:11 PM
Quote from: MooMooMoo on October 09, 2014, 10:16:12 AM
15 point differential amongst two Right Wing pollsters?  "May you live in interesting times"

Again,  Fox News uses a bipartisan panel of pollsters, a Democrat pollster working with a Republican pollster. It is not a right wing pollster.
But it does seem that the democrat side of it is less influential than the republican side of it, as their outliers are always with too-big republican leads rather than with too-big democratic leads.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #20 on: October 09, 2014, 03:28:55 PM »
Quote from: Wulfric on October 09, 2014, 02:19:10 PM
Quote from: cinyc on October 09, 2014, 02:13:11 PM
Quote from: MooMooMoo on October 09, 2014, 10:16:12 AM
15 point differential amongst two Right Wing pollsters?  "May you live in interesting times"

Again,  Fox News uses a bipartisan panel of pollsters, a Democrat pollster working with a Republican pollster. It is not a right wing pollster.
But it does seem that the democrat side of it is less influential than the republican side of it, as their outliers are always with too-big republican leads rather than with too-big democratic leads.

And 538 adjusts their polls based on almost a 4 point republican bias this year.
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eric82oslo
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« Reply #21 on: October 09, 2014, 03:30:11 PM »
Quote from: Castro2020 on October 09, 2014, 03:28:55 PM
Quote from: Wulfric on October 09, 2014, 02:19:10 PM
Quote from: cinyc on October 09, 2014, 02:13:11 PM
Quote from: MooMooMoo on October 09, 2014, 10:16:12 AM
15 point differential amongst two Right Wing pollsters?  "May you live in interesting times"

Again,  Fox News uses a bipartisan panel of pollsters, a Democrat pollster working with a Republican pollster. It is not a right wing pollster.
But it does seem that the democrat side of it is less influential than the republican side of it, as their outliers are always with too-big republican leads rather than with too-big democratic leads.

And 538 adjusts their polls based on almost a 4 point republican bias this year.

House effect, not bias. Wink Their bias would be about 5-6% so far this year.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #22 on: October 09, 2014, 03:42:28 PM »
Either CNN and Fox are way off or this is way off.
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cinyc
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« Reply #23 on: October 09, 2014, 04:14:28 PM »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on October 09, 2014, 03:42:28 PM
Either CNN and Fox are way off or this is way off.
This poll might not even exist. RRH says it was pulled from the Rasmussen website for subscribers. So far, it has not shown up on their public website.
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Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
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« Reply #24 on: October 09, 2014, 04:20:24 PM »
Quote from: Cris on October 09, 2014, 09:35:25 AM
The rule isn't > Rasmussen? Or only if they show the GOP in the lead?


Quote from: Cris on August 27, 2014, 09:38:09 AM
The rule isn't ">Rasmussen"? Or only If they show the GOP in the lead?

Quote from: Cris on August 12, 2014, 12:28:23 PM
It wasn't "> Rasmussen" ?
Despite this, I think that Brownback will probably lose.

We get it, you're an annoying 'bot.
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