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SD-Harper: Rounds +4 over Weiland, Weiland +10 over Pressler
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Topic: SD-Harper: Rounds +4 over Weiland, Weiland +10 over Pressler (Read 1402 times)
JRP1994
YaBB God
Posts: 1,619
SD-Harper: Rounds +4 over Weiland, Weiland +10 over Pressler
«
on:
October 13, 2014, 09:51:33 am »
http://harperpolling.com/docs/default-source/default-document-library/hp-14-10-sd-memo.pdf?sfvrsn=0
Rounds: 37%
Weiland: 33%
Pressler: 23%
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
Posts: 47,983
Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09
Re: SD-Harper: Rounds +4 over Weiland, Weiland +10 over Pressler
«
Reply #1 on:
October 13, 2014, 10:00:00 am »
Confirms SUSA and PPP's results.
BTW: Is this an internal for Rounds because it says "TO: Interested Parties" ?
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SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
YaBB God
Posts: 10,021
Re: SD-Harper: Rounds +4 over Weiland, Weiland +10 over Pressler
«
Reply #2 on:
October 13, 2014, 10:04:16 am »
Quote from: Tender Branson on October 13, 2014, 10:00:00 am
BTW: Is this an internal for Rounds because it says "TO: Interested Parties" ?
If so, then Pressler is probably doing better than this. In any case, bad news for Rounds.
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Castro
Castro2020
YaBB God
Posts: 10,775
Re: SD-Harper: Rounds +4 over Weiland, Weiland +10 over Pressler
«
Reply #3 on:
October 13, 2014, 10:44:43 am »
If I was the South Dakota puppetmaster for the Weiland and Pressler campaigns, at this point I would try to best ensure a non-Republican win by getting Pressler to take just enough Rounds votes to let Weiland edge past.
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RI
realisticidealist
YaBB God
Posts: 11,567
Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: 4.52
Re: SD-Harper: Rounds +4 over Weiland, Weiland +10 over Pressler
«
Reply #4 on:
October 13, 2014, 10:44:47 am »
Quote from: Tender Branson on October 13, 2014, 10:00:00 am
BTW: Is this an internal for Rounds because it says "TO: Interested Parties" ?
I don't think so. On Harper's website, they usually post if they did the poll on behalf of someone. They didn't list anyone for this one.
«
Last Edit: October 13, 2014, 10:47:17 am by realisticidealist
»
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Secret Cavern Survivor
Antonio V
YaBB God
Posts: 49,999
Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83
Re: SD-Harper: Rounds +4 over Weiland, Weiland +10 over Pressler
«
Reply #5 on:
October 13, 2014, 11:37:42 am »
Go Weiland!
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"In the end, the world we live in is in darkness."
"That's why... we seek the light."
Noir
, episode 26
Eraserhead
YaBB God
Posts: 42,278
Re: SD-Harper: Rounds +4 over Weiland, Weiland +10 over Pressler
«
Reply #6 on:
October 13, 2014, 12:07:04 pm »
Fascinating.
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Update lives again on Atlas After Dark. PM me for info.
MalaspinaGold
YaBB God
Posts: 990
Re: SD-Harper: Rounds +4 over Weiland, Weiland +10 over Pressler
«
Reply #7 on:
October 13, 2014, 12:11:44 pm »
What would this race look like if SHS or Brendan Johnson had taken the plunge?
Also, did they also do two-way matchups?
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SteveRogers
duncan298
YaBB God
Posts: 2,615
Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -5.04
Re: SD-Harper: Rounds +4 over Weiland, Weiland +10 over Pressler
«
Reply #8 on:
October 13, 2014, 12:38:51 pm »
This definitely confirms that Rounds is in trouble. However, this is exactly what I was afraid of: We're going to get a series of polls showing Weiland and Pressler flipping back and forth for 2nd place. Since neither one is going to drop out, the best chance of beating Rounds is for one of them to cement their position as the clear alternative, causing whoever is viewed as being in third place to start hemorrhaging supporters in the last week of the campaign. As long as
both
Weiland and Pressler seem viable, they'll keep on splitting the vote right down the middle, and Rounds will probably squeak by.
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Pope Michael Bolton
jdb
YaBB God
Posts: 17,518
Re: SD-Harper: Rounds +4 over Weiland, Weiland +10 over Pressler
«
Reply #9 on:
October 13, 2014, 12:48:54 pm »
Harper is a Republican firm; I thought this was well-known.
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Quote from: Lumine on July 28, 2018, 12:31:26 pm
Have you not heard of the legend of the player who once burnt down King's Landing along with most of Houses Tyrell and Lannister? Have you not heard of the menace who led the White Walkers into invading the North and committing genocide in Westeros? Or the man whose actions planted the seeds for the Revolution in Poland-Lithuania? And the man who dared to burn Rome, Avignon and Jerusalem?
olowakandi
olawakandi
YaBB God
Posts: 23,136
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
Re: SD-Harper: Rounds +4 over Weiland, Weiland +10 over Pressler
«
Reply #10 on:
October 13, 2014, 01:00:36 pm »
Weiland should win.
«
Last Edit: October 13, 2014, 01:05:48 pm by OC
»
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Keystone Phil
YaBB God
Posts: 52,705
Re: SD-Harper: Rounds +4 over Weiland, Weiland +10 over Pressler
«
Reply #11 on:
October 13, 2014, 01:04:00 pm »
Quote from: OC on October 13, 2014, 01:00:36 pm
Eriland eill kerp us ftom losing senatr.
Post of the Century
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Quote from: Reaganfan on February 17, 2015, 06:17:37 am
The entire country is pretty much Republican.
Bevinevitable
IceSpear
YaBB God
Posts: 30,607
Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70
Re: SD-Harper: Rounds +4 over Weiland, Weiland +10 over Pressler
«
Reply #12 on:
October 13, 2014, 01:21:08 pm »
I don't trust Harper. I have a feeling they're showing Weiland doing so well to encourage him not to drop out, and therefore assure Rounds a plurality win. It reminds me of when PPP showed Akin ahead after his legitimate rape comment. I respect PPP, but that poll was clearly garbage designed to encourage Akin to stay in, and soured my views on them for a while.
Regardless, this race is clearly on the board now. Who would've thought that Kansas and South Dakota could end up saving the Democratic Senate majority?
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olowakandi
olawakandi
YaBB God
Posts: 23,136
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
Re: SD-Harper: Rounds +4 over Weiland, Weiland +10 over Pressler
«
Reply #13 on:
October 13, 2014, 01:29:49 pm »
Never underestimate ND and SD electing Dem senators. 2012.
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Joshua
YaBB God
Posts: 1,443
Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: -5.91
Re: SD-Harper: Rounds +4 over Weiland, Weiland +10 over Pressler
«
Reply #14 on:
October 13, 2014, 02:25:07 pm »
Quote from: OC on October 13, 2014, 01:29:49 pm
Never underestimate ND and SD electing Dem senators. 2012.
Technically Republicans have only won two senate elections in South Dakota since 1990 and ONE senate election in North Dakota since 1980.
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Torie
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 38,161
Re: SD-Harper: Rounds +4 over Weiland, Weiland +10 over Pressler
«
Reply #15 on:
October 13, 2014, 04:29:03 pm »
My hunch is that the Pubs have a materially higher chance of blowing this seat, than the Kansas one. The dynamics are just different. We shall see what the Pub emergency infusion of cash into the race does to the numbers, if anything. Pub money tearing the opponents down, where little has been spent before, has move of a potential delta function, than a billion dollars from the Dems into this race. That is because the Dem leadership is unpopular in the state at the moment - very unpopular.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
YaBB God
Posts: 45,044
Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36
Re: SD-Harper: Rounds +4 over Weiland, Weiland +10 over Pressler
«
Reply #16 on:
October 13, 2014, 04:32:38 pm »
Quote from: Joshua on October 13, 2014, 02:25:07 pm
Quote from: OC on October 13, 2014, 01:29:49 pm
Never underestimate ND and SD electing Dem senators. 2012.
Technically Republicans have only won two senate elections in South Dakota since 1990 and ONE senate election in North Dakota since 1980.
Technically only one Democrat has ever been elected Senator from Vermont. Technically only one Republican has been elected Senator from Louisiana since reconstruction.
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