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  High Point University/SurveyUSA: Tie in NC, Gardner+4 in CO, Shaheen+2 in NH
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Author Topic: High Point University/SurveyUSA: Tie in NC, Gardner+4 in CO, Shaheen+2 in NH  (Read 3175 times)
Free Bird
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« Reply #50 on: October 13, 2014, 12:53:28 pm »

Okay, really, the "Dems outperform polls" thing is starting to piss me off. Buck. That's all that was. You're using a Tea Party loon as your saving grace. I love the smell of desperation.
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Unbeatable Titan John James
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« Reply #51 on: October 13, 2014, 12:59:03 pm »

New Hampshire makes sense, the state has always been hyper-receptive to the national mood.  In any event, we're likely screwed at this point.  Props to Talleyrand for calling it before most left-leaning posters here, btw.
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Smash255
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« Reply #52 on: October 13, 2014, 01:07:49 pm »

Okay, really, the "Dems outperform polls" thing is starting to piss me off. Buck. That's all that was. You're using a Tea Party loon as your saving grace. I love the smell of desperation.

Not saying the Dems outperform polls thing isn't a bit overused. but there is a bit of truth to that beyond Buck

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/co/colorado_romney_vs_obama-2023.html

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/co/colorado_mccain_vs_obama-546.html

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Tender Branson
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« Reply #53 on: October 13, 2014, 01:14:18 pm »

New Hampshire makes sense, the state has always been hyper-receptive to the national mood.  In any event, we're likely screwed at this point.  Props to Talleyrand for calling it before most left-leaning posters here, btw.

Don't know about that yet, but at least the field is expanding (now incl. SD !!!) and we'll get an exciting election night.

Wink
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Maxwell
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« Reply #54 on: October 13, 2014, 01:33:45 pm »

If we're going to be honest, within the margin of error basically means anything goes. And so the Buck case was pretty easy to see that a Bennett win was probably. That's less the case when Gardner is leading by as much as 4 in the latest SUSA poll, and the momentum continues to be on his side.
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Devils30
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« Reply #55 on: October 13, 2014, 01:51:54 pm »

Nate Cohn is already bashing the sample
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #56 on: October 13, 2014, 02:06:12 pm »

I don't think Buck had any momentum - he was a flawed candidate and Bennett was better organized. Gardner has the momentum and the polling edge - if the election were today I think he would win.

The Republican wave continues to build!
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Anthony Davis is Awesome
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« Reply #57 on: October 13, 2014, 02:16:13 pm »

Results are within margins, no GOP wave yet.
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #58 on: October 13, 2014, 03:01:22 pm »

New Poll: New Hampshire Senator by Survey USA on 2014-10-09

Summary: D: 48%, R: 46%, I: 0%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #59 on: October 13, 2014, 03:18:57 pm »

Ahhhh 2012 wasn't that long ago... but it seems much has not been learned.

'unskewed' polls was based in a GOP fantasy and a misunderstanding of party ID... that's it. But these cross-samples look genuinely screwy. But considering how quickly the blue mist descended ... they clearly need this, so I'll leave them to it.
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backtored
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« Reply #60 on: October 13, 2014, 03:42:51 pm »

Gardner by two in the Denver Post SUSA poll today.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #61 on: October 13, 2014, 03:44:04 pm »

New Hampshire makes sense, the state has always been hyper-receptive to the national mood.  In any event, we're likely screwed at this point.  Props to Talleyrand for calling it before most left-leaning posters here, btw.

Don't know about that yet, but at least the field is expanding (now incl. SD !!!) and we'll get an exciting election night.

Wink

It's pretty funny how many Democrats here have two modes: the "everything is all right, we've got this!" mode and the "OMG IT'S OVER WE'RE DOOOMMMEDDDDDD!!!!!!" mode.

Yes, these polls are good news for the GOP. Democrats have gotten plenty of good news in the past few days. It's not like 2010 where every day was basically being pummelled with pro-GOP results in nearly every race.

Talleyrand has the Republicans gaining a NET of 4 governorships. I'm sure he'll be vindicated...lol
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Devils30
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« Reply #62 on: October 13, 2014, 03:56:22 pm »

Gardner by two in the Denver Post SUSA poll today.

What are the demographics of this one?
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New_Conservative
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« Reply #63 on: October 13, 2014, 04:54:05 pm »

Great polls! All aboard train Tillis!

The Libertarian in that race guarantees a victory for Hagan if the polls are right.
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Panda Express
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« Reply #64 on: October 13, 2014, 07:30:37 pm »

well i can see why they are called high point cuz they must have been STONED when they made this poll  LOL
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KCDem
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« Reply #65 on: October 13, 2014, 10:36:14 pm »

The racial subsamples in the Colorado poll are downright laughable.
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #66 on: October 14, 2014, 05:01:27 am »

New Poll: Colorado Senator by Survey USA on 2014-10-08

Summary: D: 42%, R: 46%, I: 7%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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