AK: Rasmussen: Sullivan +3
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Author Topic: AK: Rasmussen: Sullivan +3  (Read 1673 times)
Miles
MilesC56
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« on: October 14, 2014, 10:20:06 AM »
Link coming.

Sullivan (R)- 48%
Begich (D)- 45%

With those certain to vote:

Sullivan- 50%
Begich- 45%
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #1 on: October 14, 2014, 10:21:27 AM »
Within margin, not dead yet.
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SPQR
italian-boy
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« Reply #2 on: October 14, 2014, 01:45:09 PM »
Only a GOTV miracle can save this.
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Franzl
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« Reply #3 on: October 15, 2014, 05:18:26 AM »
Polls in Alaska are worth absolutely nothing. Begich could win or lose by 15%.
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #4 on: October 15, 2014, 06:57:09 AM »
In line with pretty much everything else.  Begich is losing, but not by so much that he can't pull it out (assuming the polls are accurate).
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #5 on: October 15, 2014, 07:47:28 AM »
Quote from: Franzl on October 15, 2014, 05:18:26 AM
Polls in Alaska are worth absolutely nothing. Begich could win or lose by 15%.
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Recalcuate
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« Reply #6 on: October 15, 2014, 08:25:35 AM »
« Edited: October 15, 2014, 08:28:31 AM by Recalcuate »
Quote from: Franzl on October 15, 2014, 05:18:26 AM
Polls in Alaska are worth absolutely nothing. Begich could win or lose by 15%.

So every poll that has Sullivan ahead is wrong? Every single poll? Begich hasn't lead in a single non-partisan poll since the end of July.

(I hardly count the Hays Research poll for the left-leaning AFL-CIO as anything other than a partisan poll).
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Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
Joshua
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« Reply #7 on: October 15, 2014, 11:31:26 AM »

If only a Clark County or Cook County existed in Alaska...
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tpfkaw
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« Reply #8 on: October 15, 2014, 11:37:41 AM »
Quote from: Joshua on October 15, 2014, 11:31:26 AM

If only a Clark County or Cook County existed in Alaska...

The native areas, which amongst other things recorded 95% of the vote on 90% turnout for write-in candidate Murkowski in 2010, despite having the nation's highest rates of illiteracy.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #9 on: October 15, 2014, 11:41:26 AM »
« Edited: October 15, 2014, 11:56:37 AM by Lief »
Quote from: wormyguy on October 15, 2014, 11:37:41 AM
Quote from: Joshua on October 15, 2014, 11:31:26 AM

If only a Clark County or Cook County existed in Alaska...

The native areas, which amongst other things recorded 95% of the vote on 90% turnout for write-in candidate Murkowski in 2010, despite having the nation's highest rates of illiteracy.

Yes, yes. I think that Begich's unparalleled ground game in the Native areas can push that turnout up to at least 110, maybe 115% this year, insha'Allah.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #10 on: October 15, 2014, 11:49:12 AM »
The bush areas are definitely a place that could run up great numbers for Begich and win this race for him.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #11 on: October 15, 2014, 11:52:38 AM »
Begichcare will certainly GOTV for Sullivan.
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Chance92
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« Reply #12 on: October 15, 2014, 02:42:46 PM »
As a rule, the only poll I trust coming out of Alaska is the one I see on Election Day.
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