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  ID: PPP: Otter up 4 with high undecideds
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Author Topic: ID: PPP: Otter up 4 with high undecideds  (Read 1974 times)
Landslide Andy
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« Reply #25 on: October 14, 2014, 08:06:01 pm »

Otter has a history of underperformance but then winning anyway. It would be hilarious if he lost though.
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tpfkaw
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« Reply #26 on: October 15, 2014, 10:31:43 am »

I'm going to predict that this is this year's equivalent of that Rasmussen poll for HI-Sen in 2012.
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Andrew1
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« Reply #27 on: October 15, 2014, 02:15:54 pm »

Undecideds voted for Romney 71/16. And the Libertarian/Constitution/Independent voters overwhelmingly favour Otter. No way Balukoff can win. But amazing to see Idaho even slightly competitive.

Two other statewide races, Sec of State, and Supt of Public Instruction are within 3 points, could be an upset there
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Landslide Andy
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« Reply #28 on: October 15, 2014, 08:53:28 pm »

I'm going to predict that this is this year's equivalent of that Rasmussen poll for HI-Sen in 2012.

You mean 2010? Even if all the third party and undecided went to Otter and he won 62-38, it still wouldn't hold a candle to Ras's Hawaii Senate poll. It would be a 15 point error as opposed to a 40 point error.
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