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  CO: CNN/ORC: Gardner+4
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Author Topic: CO: CNN/ORC: Gardner+4  (Read 1992 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: October 15, 2014, 07:00:50 am »

New Poll: Colorado Senator by CNN/ORC on 2014-10-13

Summary: D: 46%, R: 50%, I: 0%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #1 on: October 15, 2014, 07:13:38 am »

At this point, it looks like Braley is doing better than Udall.
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Secretary of Billionaire Affairs Pete Buttigieg ($-IN)
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« Reply #2 on: October 15, 2014, 07:37:11 am »

Nah, no candidate really leads by that much at this point. Honestly, whoever wins will probably win by under 2.5%
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krazen1211
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« Reply #3 on: October 15, 2014, 08:45:36 am »

Haha.


RCP Average   9/20 - 10/13   --   --   46.2   44.2   Gardner +2.0
CNN/Opinion Research   10/9 - 10/13   665 LV   4.0   50   46   Gardner +4
Denver Post/SurveyUSA*   10/9 - 10/12   LV   4.1   45   43   Gardner +2
High Point/SurveyUSA   10/4 - 10/8   800 LV   3.5   46   42   Gardner +4
FOX News   10/4 - 10/7   739 LV   3.5   43   37   Gardner +6
CBS News/NYT/YouGov   9/20 - 10/1   1634 LV   3.0   45   48   Udall +3
Rasmussen Reports   9/29 - 9/30   950 LV   3.0   48   47   Gardner +1
USA Today/Suffolk*   9/13 - 9/16   500 LV   4.4   43   42   Gardner +1
Quinnipiac*   9/10 - 9/15   1211 LV   2.8   48   40   Gardner +8
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KCDem
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« Reply #4 on: October 15, 2014, 08:49:48 am »

Junk poll!
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #5 on: October 15, 2014, 10:21:07 am »

Ugh. Udall's actually a pretty good Senator, even ignoring how horrible Gardner is.
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Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #6 on: October 15, 2014, 01:38:33 pm »

This is what happens when you get a top-tier challenger and then run a one-issue campaign. Nice try, Udall.
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Chance92
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« Reply #7 on: October 15, 2014, 02:36:08 pm »

Christ, Udall.


Are you actually a robot?
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Maistre
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« Reply #8 on: October 15, 2014, 02:53:05 pm »



Senator Gardner pondering what to do with the charred remains of former senator Mark Uterus.
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Mr. Reactionary
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« Reply #9 on: October 15, 2014, 03:11:43 pm »

This is what happens when you get a top-tier challenger and then run a one-issue campaign. Nice try, Udall.

Hopefully we've learned something at this point. Udall's abortion obsession was worse than the fixation on the death penalty in the 2005 VA Gov race. I think Giuliani is probably the only (nonfringe) candidate who beat the dead horse to his disdain worse than Udall.
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« Reply #10 on: October 15, 2014, 03:46:53 pm »

The Gardner stans are really out today. Udall will win, I'm sticking firm to my prediction.....
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Chance92
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« Reply #11 on: October 15, 2014, 04:40:14 pm »

The Gardner stans are really out today. Udall will win, I'm sticking firm to my prediction.....

Even as someone who isn't remotely a Gardner stan, I'm not optimistic. Udall has been a godawful flop - arguably worse than Braley, all things considered. At least Braley never pissed away dual name and incumbency advantages.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #12 on: October 15, 2014, 04:50:48 pm »

The Gardner stans are really out today. Udall will win, I'm sticking firm to my prediction.....

November 5th: UDALL WILL CRUSH GARDNER IN 6 YEARS, JUST YOU WAIT!
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DrScholl
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« Reply #13 on: October 15, 2014, 04:55:29 pm »

The Gardner stans are really out today. Udall will win, I'm sticking firm to my prediction.....

November 5th: UDALL WILL CRUSH GARDNER IN 6 YEARS, JUST YOU WAIT!

November 5th: Gardner wasn't conservative enough, he was an awful candidate. Tom Tancredo would have won.
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Citizen (The) Doctor
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« Reply #14 on: October 15, 2014, 04:59:06 pm »

Everyone needs to remember that Buck lead Bennet by about 3-4 for the last month of the Colorado race. This isn't going to be over until its over. Granted, Gardner seems to have momentum, but I wouldn't make a prediction about this race based on polling unless Gardner leads by about 6 or 7 consistently.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #15 on: October 15, 2014, 05:04:55 pm »
« Edited: October 15, 2014, 05:11:27 pm by IDS Emperor Maxwell »

Everyone needs to remember that Buck lead Bennet by about 3-4 for the last month of the Colorado race. This isn't going to be over until its over. Granted, Gardner seems to have momentum, but I wouldn't make a prediction about this race based on polling unless Gardner leads by about 6 or 7 consistently.

Among legit pollsters - CNN had Buck up 1, and so did PPP, which is within the margin of error (anything goes, including the 2 point win for Bennet), If PPP says Gardner is up 1 in their last poll, it's still an anything goes situation.

But if legitimate pollsters continue to show Gardner up by 4 as it closes to election day (just outside the margin of error), I think he's got it in the bag.
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Dixie Reborn
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« Reply #16 on: October 15, 2014, 05:06:31 pm »


We have long ago came to the conclusion that KCDem is a parody account.
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KCDem
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« Reply #17 on: October 15, 2014, 07:51:14 pm »


We have long ago came to the conclusion that KCDem is a parody account.

Says the avowed racist... Roll Eyes
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #18 on: October 15, 2014, 08:06:25 pm »

Udall has had a pretty bad couple of weeks. I still think he'll pull it out in the end...
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #19 on: October 15, 2014, 08:13:33 pm »

I still think he'll pull it out in the end...

Subtle. Very subtle.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #20 on: October 15, 2014, 08:15:03 pm »


lol
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Devils30
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« Reply #21 on: October 15, 2014, 08:56:58 pm »

What are the demographics of this poll? I see no link or anything to the actual crosstabs. Even if Dems end up pulling it out in Colorado I have no reason to believe we keep the Senate. Iowa hasn't really had polling issues like CO has.
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5280
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« Reply #22 on: October 15, 2014, 09:02:12 pm »

What are the demographics of this poll? I see no link or anything to the actual crosstabs. Even if Dems end up pulling it out in Colorado I have no reason to believe we keep the Senate. Iowa hasn't really had polling issues like CO has.
Focus on 2014, not comparing it to the past like you guys tend to do.
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Landslide Andy
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« Reply #23 on: October 15, 2014, 09:06:16 pm »

At this point, it looks like Braley is doing better than Udall.

Yeah, I think Braley actually has a better chance than Udall at this point. Which says a lot about Udall's campaign (and the quality of the Republican candidate in both states).
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Devils30
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« Reply #24 on: October 15, 2014, 09:08:02 pm »

What are the demographics of this poll? I see no link or anything to the actual crosstabs. Even if Dems end up pulling it out in Colorado I have no reason to believe we keep the Senate. Iowa hasn't really had polling issues like CO has.
Focus on 2014, not comparing it to the past like you guys tend to do.

Well it's still an open question if the pollsters have fixed some of their issues with 2010 and 2012 in CO. There's really no point in going nuts over this now because we won't know until election night.
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