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Author Topic: MN-08: SUSA: Nolan down 8 (!)  (Read 1494 times)
Miles
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« on: October 16, 2014, 10:56:26 pm »

Report.

Mills (R)- 47%
Nolan (D)- 39%
Sandman (G)- 4%
« Last Edit: October 16, 2014, 11:10:52 pm by Miles »Logged
Lief 🐋
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« Reply #1 on: October 16, 2014, 10:56:56 pm »

SUSA in Minnesota is historically pretty weird. I don't really buy this.
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KCDem
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« Reply #2 on: October 16, 2014, 11:05:47 pm »

Junk poll!
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SPC
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« Reply #3 on: October 16, 2014, 11:13:02 pm »

Cheesy
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Chance92
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« Reply #4 on: October 16, 2014, 11:20:13 pm »

Dafuq. I generally trust SUSA, but I'm going to need confirmation on this one.
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Vosem
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« Reply #5 on: October 16, 2014, 11:51:46 pm »

As Lief said, SUSA actually has a long history of being strongly Republican-biased when they poll Minnesota, and not anywhere else. So this is going to need confirmation, though I don't think Mills leading Nolan by a bit is ridiculous at all.
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #6 on: October 17, 2014, 12:08:17 am »

A different poll has Nolan up by 11. That poll is of course ignored.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #7 on: October 17, 2014, 12:10:49 am »

House polls are pretty bad in general, plus SUSA had Nolan winning by only 2 when he won by 9 in 2012. They seem to have problems in MN in general, as already stated.

But even if Mills does win, it won't be too bad. He'll be gone in 2016 just like Cravaack was gone in 2012.
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #8 on: October 17, 2014, 12:13:23 am »

Isn't Mills a Sandy Hook conspiracy theorist?
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« Reply #9 on: October 17, 2014, 12:16:48 am »

Isn't Mills a Sandy Hook conspiracy theorist?

Yes, but does that make him that much crazier than the average Republican these days?
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Miles
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« Reply #10 on: October 17, 2014, 12:23:56 am »

But even if Mills does win, it won't be too bad. He'll be gone in 2016 just like Cravaack was gone in 2012.

If Dems have the trifecta in 2020, they need to scrap this districts' configuration. They should pair Duluth with the northern (Dem-friendly) areas from the current CD7, as opposed to keeping it with the exurban Twin Cities counties.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #11 on: October 17, 2014, 01:53:17 am »

Junk poll!

I clicked on this thread just to see this!
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Joshua
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« Reply #12 on: October 17, 2014, 12:58:50 pm »

Junk poll!

I clicked on this thread just to see this!
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #13 on: October 17, 2014, 01:10:09 pm »

SUSA in Minnesota is historically pretty weird. I don't really buy this.

By 'historically pretty weird' you mean, of course, 'so heavily slanted to the GOP that they're worse than useless'. Though as (alas) this district fell in 2010 we should avoid complacency...
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #14 on: October 17, 2014, 01:21:31 pm »

SUSA in Minnesota is historically pretty weird. I don't really buy this.

By 'historically pretty weird' you mean, of course, 'so heavily slanted to the GOP that they're worse than useless'. Though as (alas) this district fell in 2010 we should avoid complacency...

Yet people are complaining in another thread that SUSA is a Democratic outlier.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #15 on: October 17, 2014, 01:46:21 pm »

SUSA in Minnesota is historically pretty weird. I don't really buy this.

By 'historically pretty weird' you mean, of course, 'so heavily slanted to the GOP that they're worse than useless'. Though as (alas) this district fell in 2010 we should avoid complacency...

Yet people are complaining in another thread that SUSA is a Democratic outlier.

Not SUSA as a whole, one poll. Don't be such a bone head.
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Torie
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« Reply #16 on: October 17, 2014, 01:57:20 pm »

SUSA in Minnesota is historically pretty weird. I don't really buy this.

By 'historically pretty weird' you mean, of course, 'so heavily slanted to the GOP that they're worse than useless'. Though as (alas) this district fell in 2010 we should avoid complacency...

If I had to bet, I suspect this seat will fall this time - along with a few other Dem seats not thought to be in play until relatively recently. We shall see.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #17 on: November 05, 2014, 05:53:03 am »

Junk poll!
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