MN-08: SUSA: Nolan down 8 (!)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 08:54:01 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls
  2014 House Election Polls
  MN-08: SUSA: Nolan down 8 (!)
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: MN-08: SUSA: Nolan down 8 (!)  (Read 2057 times)
Miles
MilesC56
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,324
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 16, 2014, 10:56:26 PM »
« edited: October 16, 2014, 11:10:52 PM by Miles »

Report.

Mills (R)- 47%
Nolan (D)- 39%
Sandman (G)- 4%
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,876


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 16, 2014, 10:56:56 PM »

SUSA in Minnesota is historically pretty weird. I don't really buy this.
Logged
KCDem
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,928


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 16, 2014, 11:05:47 PM »

Junk poll!
Logged
SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,004
Latvia


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 16, 2014, 11:13:02 PM »

Cheesy
Logged
Chance92
Rookie
**
Posts: 102


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 16, 2014, 11:20:13 PM »

Dafuq. I generally trust SUSA, but I'm going to need confirmation on this one.
Logged
Vosem
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,624
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 16, 2014, 11:51:46 PM »

As Lief said, SUSA actually has a long history of being strongly Republican-biased when they poll Minnesota, and not anywhere else. So this is going to need confirmation, though I don't think Mills leading Nolan by a bit is ridiculous at all.
Logged
Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,952


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 17, 2014, 12:08:17 AM »

A different poll has Nolan up by 11. That poll is of course ignored.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,841
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 17, 2014, 12:10:49 AM »

House polls are pretty bad in general, plus SUSA had Nolan winning by only 2 when he won by 9 in 2012. They seem to have problems in MN in general, as already stated.

But even if Mills does win, it won't be too bad. He'll be gone in 2016 just like Cravaack was gone in 2012.
Logged
Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,952


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 17, 2014, 12:13:23 AM »

Isn't Mills a Sandy Hook conspiracy theorist?
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,612


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 17, 2014, 12:16:48 AM »

Isn't Mills a Sandy Hook conspiracy theorist?

Yes, but does that make him that much crazier than the average Republican these days?
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,324
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 17, 2014, 12:23:56 AM »

But even if Mills does win, it won't be too bad. He'll be gone in 2016 just like Cravaack was gone in 2012.

If Dems have the trifecta in 2020, they need to scrap this districts' configuration. They should pair Duluth with the northern (Dem-friendly) areas from the current CD7, as opposed to keeping it with the exurban Twin Cities counties.
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,405
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 17, 2014, 01:53:17 AM »


I clicked on this thread just to see this!
Logged
Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
Joshua
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,710
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: -5.91

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 17, 2014, 12:58:50 PM »

Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,609
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 17, 2014, 01:10:09 PM »

SUSA in Minnesota is historically pretty weird. I don't really buy this.

By 'historically pretty weird' you mean, of course, 'so heavily slanted to the GOP that they're worse than useless'. Though as (alas) this district fell in 2010 we should avoid complacency...
Logged
Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,952


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 17, 2014, 01:21:31 PM »

SUSA in Minnesota is historically pretty weird. I don't really buy this.

By 'historically pretty weird' you mean, of course, 'so heavily slanted to the GOP that they're worse than useless'. Though as (alas) this district fell in 2010 we should avoid complacency...

Yet people are complaining in another thread that SUSA is a Democratic outlier.
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 17, 2014, 01:46:21 PM »

SUSA in Minnesota is historically pretty weird. I don't really buy this.

By 'historically pretty weird' you mean, of course, 'so heavily slanted to the GOP that they're worse than useless'. Though as (alas) this district fell in 2010 we should avoid complacency...

Yet people are complaining in another thread that SUSA is a Democratic outlier.

Not SUSA as a whole, one poll. Don't be such a bone head.
Logged
Torie
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,057
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 17, 2014, 01:57:20 PM »

SUSA in Minnesota is historically pretty weird. I don't really buy this.

By 'historically pretty weird' you mean, of course, 'so heavily slanted to the GOP that they're worse than useless'. Though as (alas) this district fell in 2010 we should avoid complacency...

If I had to bet, I suspect this seat will fall this time - along with a few other Dem seats not thought to be in play until relatively recently. We shall see.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,841
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: November 05, 2014, 05:53:03 AM »

Junk poll!
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.036 seconds with 15 queries.