KY: SUSA: McConnell +1

[IceSpear]

Impossible. This race is already over! Grimes is a horrible candidate! Not saying who you voted for = Watergate! She's disqualified! Triage her now!

[IceSpear]

I guess that McConnell +8 poll really was an outlier.

Here's the problem with Kentucky at the moment...

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/ky/kentucky_senate_mcconnell_vs_grimes-3485.html

Ipsos and SurveyUSA are the only credible pollsters that are currently included in the average, and the Ipsos poll is from over a month ago. McConnell's "comfortable lead" is built on the foundation of Ras, YouGov, and FOX. Not exactly something I'd be comfortable building my house on.

[IceSpear]

I guess that McConnell +8 poll really was an outlier.

Here's the problem with Kentucky at the moment...

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/ky/kentucky_senate_mcconnell_vs_grimes-3485.html

Ipsos and SurveyUSA are the only credible pollsters that are currently included in the average, and the Ipsos poll is from over a month ago. McConnell's "comfortable lead" is built on the foundation of Ras, YouGov, and FOX. Not exactly something I'd be comfortable building my house on.

Yeah, but on the other hand, SUSA is basically the only legitimate polling firm (I don't count Magellan) to show Grimes ahead the entire campaign.

That's true, SUSA does have its quirks in certain states. But I'd still take them any day over the aforementioned three.

[IceSpear]

I guess that McConnell +8 poll really was an outlier.

Here's the problem with Kentucky at the moment...

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/ky/kentucky_senate_mcconnell_vs_grimes-3485.html

Ipsos and SurveyUSA are the only credible pollsters that are currently included in the average, and the Ipsos poll is from over a month ago. McConnell's "comfortable lead" is built on the foundation of Ras, YouGov, and FOX. Not exactly something I'd be comfortable building my house on.

Why would the DSCC pull their Senate money out of a one-point race unless their internals are showing a larger margin. If SUSA is correct, I expect the DSCC or a likewise advocacy group invest heavily in KY.

Because the DSCC cares more about muh incumbency and trying to save Pryor's doomed campaign, apparently.

[IceSpear]

A swing of three points to McConnell (with undecideds obviously going to break for The Leader) and the Dems still think they have a decent shot here. Too precious.

A drop of sweat gradually forms on Keystone Phil's forehead as the most credible Kentucky pollster in over a month shows the turtle up a single point...