KY: SUSA: McConnell +1

[Recalcuate]

I guess that McConnell +8 poll really was an outlier.

Here's the problem with Kentucky at the moment...

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/ky/kentucky_senate_mcconnell_vs_grimes-3485.html

Ipsos and SurveyUSA are the only credible pollsters that are currently included in the average, and the Ipsos poll is from over a month ago. McConnell's "comfortable lead" is built on the foundation of Ras, YouGov, and FOX. Not exactly something I'd be comfortable building my house on.

Why would the DSCC pull their Senate money out of a one-point race unless their internals are showing a larger margin. If SUSA is correct, I expect the DSCC or a likewise advocacy group invest heavily in KY.

[Recalcuate]

I have been saying all along that this race is more favorable to Dems than Georgia as well as Louisiana and Arkansas.

Don't give up on Grimes.

Why not? The DSCC did. Unless they come back with a new buy or are pulling a rope-a-dope, it seems like the Dems think the seat is lost.

[Recalcuate]

McConnell is running ads on urban radio critical of Grimes for not saying if she voted for Obama. In the ad, he uses an African-American Obama voter, who says that Mitch cares more about African-Americans than Grimes does.

That's one slick little turtle. So not shocked. It takes a certain type to ascend to majority or minority leader.