CO: PPP says Gardner+3 (user search)
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  CO: PPP says Gardner+3 (search mode)
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Author Topic: CO: PPP says Gardner+3  (Read 4693 times)
King
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« on: October 21, 2014, 12:14:43 PM »
« edited: October 21, 2014, 12:16:36 PM by King »

The pundit in me just can't see a Udall going down unceremoniously in Colorado. The pollster in me acknowledges it's not looking good. Considering Hickenlooper and the almighty Colorado Brewer interests are also trying to pack this thing, it would not surprise me to see a Quinn/Reid 2010 thing happen here.

Or hell, the final RCP average for Bennet-Buck was Buck+3.
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King
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« Reply #1 on: October 21, 2014, 12:45:56 PM »

Rasmussen aside, final PPP was Buck +1, final Marist was Buck +4, final CNN was Buck +1
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King
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« Reply #2 on: October 21, 2014, 01:14:42 PM »

Rasmussen aside, final PPP was Buck +1, final Marist was Buck +4, final CNN was Buck +1

Which is a +2 Buck margin, which is well-within the general margin of error for most polls.

The margin of error for one poll. Multiple polls being systematically a couple of points wrong, all in the direction of one candidate is something different.

I'm not saying the same thing is going to happen, because pollsters clean up their methods and improve over time, but it's foolish to say it DIDN'T happen in 2010.
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