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  CO-Suffolk: RIP Udall
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Author Topic: CO-Suffolk: RIP Udall  (Read 3387 times)
Lief 🐋
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« on: October 22, 2014, 01:03:01 pm »

Gardner leads 46-39.
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Dr. RI
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« Reply #1 on: October 22, 2014, 01:09:03 pm »

Ouch
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Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
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« Reply #2 on: October 22, 2014, 01:12:00 pm »

All Hail Sen. Gardner!
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IceSpear
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« Reply #3 on: October 22, 2014, 01:15:46 pm »

Yup, this one seems to be going the way of Arkansas. Democrats options to hold the Senate are rapidly narrowing. Assuming the GOP gets those two (along with their already solid pickups in MT/WV), Dems will have to win 3/4 of AK/IA/LA/SD, unless we can pick off one or more of KY/GA/KS. Luckily we have a chance in all three of those, but it's not looking good.
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marty
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« Reply #4 on: October 22, 2014, 01:16:55 pm »

Junk poll!
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Maxwell
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« Reply #5 on: October 22, 2014, 01:19:05 pm »

they're not polling hispanics obvi.
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Secret Cavern Survivor
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« Reply #6 on: October 22, 2014, 01:20:23 pm »

Jesus F**king Christ. Udall must really have been braindead the whole campaign, that's the only way to explain this.
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marty
boshembechle
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« Reply #7 on: October 22, 2014, 01:22:33 pm »

Another f'ing poll that chooses to not poll hispanics. What the hell is wrong with pollsters? It's going to be 2010 all over again.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #8 on: October 22, 2014, 01:23:29 pm »

Another f'ing poll that chooses to not poll hispanics. What the hell is wrong with pollsters? It's going to be 2010 all over again.

No, Udall is winning 80% of Hispanics in this poll. The problem is that he's losing whites two to one.
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Negusa Nagast 🚀
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« Reply #9 on: October 22, 2014, 01:27:08 pm »

Another f'ing poll that chooses to not poll hispanics. What the hell is wrong with pollsters? It's going to be 2010 all over again.

Hispanics were 13% of the sample.
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marty
boshembechle
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« Reply #10 on: October 22, 2014, 01:28:43 pm »

Hispanics were 13%, yet there is no way in hell they are going to be less than 23% of the electorate.
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Negusa Nagast 🚀
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« Reply #11 on: October 22, 2014, 01:30:18 pm »

Hispanics were 13%, yet there is no way in hell they are going to be less than 23% of the electorate.

They were 12% of the electorate in 2010...
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Maxwell
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« Reply #12 on: October 22, 2014, 01:32:55 pm »

Exit polls in 2012 showed Hispanics as 14% of the electorate in Colorado. If you think it's going to be 23%, then I don't know what you're smoking on, but it's time to go to rehab, because it's messing with your head.

This year it'll probably be 13%, so this poll looks good.
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SWE
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« Reply #13 on: October 22, 2014, 01:36:09 pm »

But Bennett won, so Safe D
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Maxwell
mah519
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« Reply #14 on: October 22, 2014, 01:38:44 pm »

But Bennett won, so Safe D

i mean, they DID forgot to calculate that it will be 55% hispanic, 4% Whites, and 89% dead people, so Safe D.
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JRP1994
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« Reply #15 on: October 22, 2014, 01:41:06 pm »

Cory the Courageous shall deliver a blistering thrashing to Mark "Brain Dead" Uterus!
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IceSpear
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« Reply #16 on: October 22, 2014, 01:43:37 pm »

Cory the Courageous shall deliver a blistering thrashing to Mark "Brain Dead" Uterus!

lol, nice.
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Mogrovejo
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« Reply #17 on: October 22, 2014, 01:47:34 pm »

This LV screen seems way too tight for a VBM state.
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Devils30
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« Reply #18 on: October 22, 2014, 01:51:35 pm »

Gardner is leading in the RCP average by 4.4, Obama and Bennet beat that average by 4.5. Seriously Gardner would win by 2% or so if held today. It's time that pollsters press undecideds a little more.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #19 on: October 22, 2014, 01:55:27 pm »

This LV screen seems way too tight for a VBM state.

Yeah, the LV screen is a bit ridiculous. Still doesn't make up for a seven point deficit though.
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JRP1994
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« Reply #20 on: October 22, 2014, 01:56:57 pm »

FiveThirtyEight shows Suffolk as a B pollster with a D+1.1% bias.

RIP Udall.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #21 on: October 22, 2014, 02:06:31 pm »

Abort him.
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New_Conservative
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« Reply #22 on: October 22, 2014, 02:21:56 pm »

Love these polls coming out of Colorado, but I don't really buy them. I am not really confident Gardner wins this race.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #23 on: October 22, 2014, 02:27:49 pm »

Gardner is not leading by 1 or 2 like Buck, he's leading by 7. Udall has to make a serious comeback is he wants to win.
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Chance92
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« Reply #24 on: October 22, 2014, 02:42:30 pm »

S**t.
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