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  NH: CNN/ORC: Shaheen+2
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Author Topic: NH: CNN/ORC: Shaheen+2  (Read 1975 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: October 23, 2014, 06:41:37 am »

New Poll: New Hampshire Senator by CNN/ORC on 2014-10-21

Summary: D: 49%, R: 47%, I: 2%, U: 1%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #1 on: October 23, 2014, 06:44:06 am »

She's on the ropes!
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dmmidmi
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« Reply #2 on: October 23, 2014, 07:10:33 am »

Jeanne Shaheen is going to win.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #3 on: October 23, 2014, 08:22:39 am »

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Recalcuate
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« Reply #4 on: October 23, 2014, 08:42:11 am »


The Shaheen race is the Ernst race in reverse. (Although I'd have Shaheen's chances of winning slightly ahead of Ernst). Shaheen has a 2-4 point lead and the race is a tossup/lean D.

Shaheen's race to lose at this point. Obviously, things can change between now and election day.
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Rockefeller GOP
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« Reply #5 on: October 23, 2014, 12:07:10 pm »

Hoping for Brown, as we need more Republicans like him in DC, but I like and respect Shaheen very much.
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Eastern Kentucky Demosaur fighting the long defeat
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« Reply #6 on: October 23, 2014, 12:24:41 pm »

The carpetbagger thoroughly deserves the harsh and pitiless spanking that the Mistress of New Hampshire Politics will administer come the fourth.

Note to the humorless among us: I'm joking.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #7 on: October 23, 2014, 12:40:42 pm »


The polls in New Hampshire greatly underestimated Ayotte's super ultra megathrashing of Hodes in 2010.
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Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #8 on: October 23, 2014, 01:05:50 pm »

Com'on New Hampshire! Throw out the senator who votes with Obama 99% of the time!
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Mangez des pommes !
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« Reply #9 on: October 23, 2014, 01:21:10 pm »

Yeah, how dare Shaheen support the policies of the guy NH voted for twice... Roll Eyes
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Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #10 on: October 23, 2014, 01:24:32 pm »

Yeah, how dare Shaheen support the policies of the guy NH voted for twice... Roll Eyes
It's always a mistake to assume that a vote from a swing voter represents support for the entire platform of a given candidate. Oftentimes, it's a vote for the "lesser of two evils". I highly doubt that the swing voters of NH who supported Obama in 2012 support 99% of his platform.
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Landslide Andy
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« Reply #11 on: October 23, 2014, 02:31:09 pm »

The last CNN poll from like a month ago had a tie. Shaheenmentum!
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SWE
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« Reply #12 on: October 23, 2014, 02:34:07 pm »

Yeah, how dare Shaheen support the policies of the guy NH voted for twice... Roll Eyes
It's always a mistake to assume that a vote from a swing voter represents support for the entire platform of a given candidate. Oftentimes, it's a vote for the "lesser of two evils". I highly doubt that the swing voters of NH who supported Obama in 2012 support 99% of his platform.
His entire platform never came up for a senate vote, so how can Shaheen have voted for 99% of it?
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #13 on: October 24, 2014, 12:52:52 am »

Good. I want it to be just close enough for us to get to see the carpetbagger throw a hissy fit.
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tpfkaw
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« Reply #14 on: October 24, 2014, 01:07:45 am »

Yeah, how dare Shaheen support the policies of the guy NH voted for twice... Roll Eyes
It's always a mistake to assume that a vote from a swing voter represents support for the entire platform of a given candidate. Oftentimes, it's a vote for the "lesser of two evils". I highly doubt that the swing voters of NH who supported Obama in 2012 support 99% of his platform.
His entire platform never came up for a senate vote, so how can Shaheen have voted for 99% of it?

The White House announces in advance whether it will sign or veto a bill, so "voted XX% of the time with POTUS" claims are based on that.
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○∙◄☻tπ[╪AV┼cV└
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« Reply #15 on: October 24, 2014, 01:23:10 am »

Yeah, how dare Shaheen support the policies of the guy NH voted for twice... Roll Eyes
It's always a mistake to assume that a vote from a swing voter represents support for the entire platform of a given candidate. Oftentimes, it's a vote for the "lesser of two evils". I highly doubt that the swing voters of NH who supported Obama in 2012 support 99% of his platform.

As opposed to the joke that is Scott Brown? What's his plan for ObamaCare? Repeal it and replace it with RomneyCare? So I guess it will cover abortions after all?
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Landslide Andy
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« Reply #16 on: October 24, 2014, 01:55:30 am »

Good. I want it to be just close enough for us to get to see the carpetbagger throw a hissy fit.

I'd rather he lost in a landslide. Now that he's going to keep it close he's going to be encouraged to run for something else in the future. Who knows what state it will be in though.
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Rockefeller GOP
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« Reply #17 on: October 24, 2014, 02:27:02 am »

Good. I want it to be just close enough for us to get to see the carpetbagger throw a hissy fit.

Us?  Do you feel an intense connection to the NH Democratic Party?  Seriously, this isn't a Congressional race, where DC policies will be affected ... This board grows more partisan/hackish by the day.
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Rockefeller GOP
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« Reply #18 on: October 24, 2014, 02:29:33 am »

Good. I want it to be just close enough for us to get to see the carpetbagger throw a hissy fit.


Us?  Do you feel an intense connection to the NH Democratic Party?  Seriously, this isn't a Congressional race, where DC policies will be affected ... This board grows more partisan/hackish by the day.
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Landslide Andy
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« Reply #19 on: October 24, 2014, 02:36:48 am »

Good. I want it to be just close enough for us to get to see the carpetbagger throw a hissy fit.


Us?  Do you feel an intense connection to the NH Democratic Party?  Seriously, this isn't a Congressional race, where DC policies will be affected ... This board grows more partisan/hackish by the day.

Uh...wrong thread?
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #20 on: October 24, 2014, 02:44:52 am »

Good. I want it to be just close enough for us to get to see the carpetbagger throw a hissy fit.


Us?  Do you feel an intense connection to the NH Democratic Party?  Seriously, this isn't a Congressional race, where DC policies will be affected ... This board grows more partisan/hackish by the day.

Umm, but it is...
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SWE
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« Reply #21 on: October 24, 2014, 05:38:26 am »

Good. I want it to be just close enough for us to get to see the carpetbagger throw a hissy fit.

I'd rather he lost in a landslide. Now that he's going to keep it close he's going to be encouraged to run for something else in the future. Who knows what state it will be in though.
RIP Dick Blumenthal 2016
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Chief Justice windjammer
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« Reply #22 on: October 24, 2014, 06:30:16 am »

I'm more and more worried about Shaheen Sad
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Rockefeller GOP
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« Reply #23 on: October 24, 2014, 11:51:19 am »

Good. I want it to be just close enough for us to get to see the carpetbagger throw a hissy fit.


Us?  Do you feel an intense connection to the NH Democratic Party?  Seriously, this isn't a Congressional race, where DC policies will be affected ... This board grows more partisan/hackish by the day.

Umm, but it is...

LOL, I am in the wrong thread.  Oops. Sad  Wink
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dmmidmi
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« Reply #24 on: October 24, 2014, 12:36:18 pm »

I'm more and more worried about Shaheen Sad

Why? She has led in every single non-joke poll (as well as a handful of joke polls) the entire year.
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