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  KS: Rasmussen: Orman +5
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Author Topic: KS: Rasmussen: Orman +5  (Read 2237 times)
Miles
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« on: October 23, 2014, 10:21:13 am »

Link coming.

Orman (I)- 49%
Roberts (R)- 44%
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Invisible Obama
DrScholl
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« Reply #1 on: October 23, 2014, 10:22:12 am »

Orman is headed for a smashing victory over non-resident Roberts.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #2 on: October 23, 2014, 10:22:40 am »

Well, great (if they don't delete it again) ... Wink

Time to send Roberts to the retirement home.
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20PETE20
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« Reply #3 on: October 23, 2014, 10:29:23 am »

This is hilarious.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #4 on: October 23, 2014, 10:32:19 am »

Rassy seems to be on a 2 week delay.
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Recalcuate
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« Reply #5 on: October 23, 2014, 10:33:00 am »

Well, great (if they don't delete it again) ... Wink

Time to send Roberts to the retirement home.

Well the folks no longer named Rasmussen took the 1 out front of the 5, it seems.  We'll see if they like this result enough to release it. Wink
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jdb
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« Reply #6 on: October 23, 2014, 10:37:44 am »

Waiting for confirmation from a credible firm, but this seems reasonable.
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Miles
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« Reply #7 on: October 23, 2014, 10:43:04 am »

^ PPP had Orman +3, but yeah, I'd like more polls from here.
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jdb
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« Reply #8 on: October 23, 2014, 10:44:31 am »

^ PPP had Orman +3, but yeah, I'd like more polls from here.

I know, but this suggests Roberts has lost some momenrum while Orman has gained support, unlike what the PPP poll was showing.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #9 on: October 23, 2014, 11:10:20 am »

Excellent. Looks like the corrupt old fossil is gonna be sent back to his home in Ukraine.
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Rockefeller GOP
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« Reply #10 on: October 23, 2014, 12:13:50 pm »

Waiting for confirmation from a credible firm, but this seems reasonable.

You guys are unbelievable.  If it's a joke firm, it's a joke firm.  And its results are crap and not reason for optimism or pessimism.
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #11 on: October 23, 2014, 12:25:24 pm »

Waiting for confirmation from a credible firm, but this seems reasonable.

You guys are unbelievable.  If it's a joke firm, it's a joke firm.  And its results are crap and not reason for optimism or pessimism.
Sorry, did you mean to post this here? https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=200999.0
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Rockefeller GOP
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« Reply #12 on: October 23, 2014, 01:43:13 pm »

Waiting for confirmation from a credible firm, but this seems reasonable.

You guys are unbelievable.  If it's a joke firm, it's a joke firm.  And its results are crap and not reason for optimism or pessimism.
Sorry, did you mean to post this here? https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=200999.0

No, LOL, Gravis is a whole other level.  But people here constantly bash Rasmussen until it gives a favorable poll for Dems/Indys/non-Republicans, then it's "well, I'll wait for a credible pollster, but this looks right."??  Haha, come on...
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jdb
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« Reply #13 on: October 23, 2014, 02:18:32 pm »
« Edited: October 23, 2014, 02:27:59 pm by Ectoplasm X »

Waiting for confirmation from a credible firm, but this seems reasonable.

You guys are unbelievable.  If it's a joke firm, it's a joke firm.  And its results are crap and not reason for optimism or pessimism.

The Complete Idiot's Guide to X's Previous Post in This Thread

This post is dedicated to Rockefeller GOP!  Wherever you are Rocky, know that without your lack of reading comprehension skills, none of this would be necessary.


Introduction: Sometimes my posts in this thread can be confusing, some have even called them "unbelievable."  Fortunately, help is one the way Smiley  Whether you're mystified by complex phrases like "this seems reasonable" or baffled by fancy five-dollar words like "confirmation" and "waiting," after reading this post, you too will be able to understand a very short post I made in this thread.  Prepare to believe the "unbelievable!"

Part 1: In my previous post, the phrase "Waiting for confirmation..." meant that I am not going to read too much into this poll until there is more evidence to support its findings.

Part 2: In my previous post, the phrase "...from a credible firm" meant that I do not consider Rasmussen a remotely reliable polling company and that the evidence supporting this poll which I mentioned in Part 1 would need to come from a more reliable polling company.  Note: Some readers may need to refer back to Part 1 for reference."

Part 3: In my previous post, the word "but" was being used to link the final part of the sentence fragment to the part discussed in Part 1 and Part 2.

Part 4: In my previous post, the phrase "this seems reasonable" meant that I found the results of this poll believable and thought that they made sense, despite coming from Rasmussen.

See what critics are saying about The Complete Idiot's Guide to X's Previous Post in This Thread:

- Rockefeller GOP says its "unbelievable" and "...a reason for optimism"
- Read the post Krazen calls "Dominating!"
- "Ken Buck, Ken Buck?  Colorado.  Ken Buck.  KEN BUCK.  2010.  Ken Buck" writes Keystone Phil
- "Why does everyone hate me?" asks kitten whiskers

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bedstuy
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« Reply #14 on: October 23, 2014, 02:34:59 pm »

Yeah, it's also important to note that Rasmussen has a record of bias in favor of Republicans, not just simple inaccuracy.  You should take every poll with a grain of salt, but this is not a blatant outlier so it's a decent piece of data. 
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IceSpear
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« Reply #15 on: October 23, 2014, 02:39:52 pm »

Gregory the Gallant is such a gentleman, I'm sure he's reserved the DC fossil a bed at Shady Pines so he won't be homeless after the embarrassing and painful spanking he's about to receive.
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dmmidmi
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« Reply #16 on: October 23, 2014, 03:31:41 pm »

So, Orman +9 it is.
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jdb
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« Reply #17 on: October 23, 2014, 03:49:17 pm »

So, Orman +9 it is.

That's not how polling works.
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dmmidmi
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« Reply #18 on: October 23, 2014, 03:53:32 pm »

So, Orman +9 it is.

That's not how polling works.

You do know we're talking about a polling outfit that shows an average R+4 bias, right?

Orman +9 it is.
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morgieb
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« Reply #19 on: October 23, 2014, 03:56:09 pm »

Rassy's been all over the shop this year. Probably still good news for Orman given other polls had him struggling, but it's hard to trust them at all.
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Recalcuate
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« Reply #20 on: October 23, 2014, 04:01:43 pm »

Yeah, it's also important to note that Rasmussen has a record of bias in favor of Republicans, not just simple inaccuracy.  You should take every poll with a grain of salt, but this is not a blatant outlier so it's a decent piece of data. 

Before or after Scott Rasmussen left the company? I think the jury is still out on this cycle, their numbers are just bizarre.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #21 on: October 23, 2014, 04:14:15 pm »

I parked my car earlier and there is now a car with a Kansas plate parked in front of me (for real). That's more inticative of the result in the Kansas Senate race than this damn garbage.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #22 on: October 23, 2014, 04:31:44 pm »

So, Orman +9 it is.

That's not how polling works.

You do know we're talking about a polling outfit that shows an average R+4 bias, right?

Orman +9 it is.

How about the far more reliable PPP poll, which shows Orman+3?
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bedstuy
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« Reply #23 on: October 23, 2014, 04:40:16 pm »

Yeah, it's also important to note that Rasmussen has a record of bias in favor of Republicans, not just simple inaccuracy.  You should take every poll with a grain of salt, but this is not a blatant outlier so it's a decent piece of data. 

Before or after Scott Rasmussen left the company? I think the jury is still out on this cycle, their numbers are just bizarre.

Who really knows, right?  Was he personally responsible for the biases in their polling which resulted in a Republican bias in their polls? Maybe I don't know.

I'm personally skeptical about Orman winning in any case just based on the fundamentals of the state.  Honestly, I wouldn't be surprised if Orman won by 5% or lost by 5%.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #24 on: October 23, 2014, 04:53:55 pm »

Orman still leading Roberts? Ouch.
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