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Author Topic: NH-UMass Lowell/7 News: Hassan+4  (Read 441 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: October 24, 2014, 01:58:57 am »

49-45 Hassan/Havenstein

Data collection by live interviewers from Abt SRBI, Inc. This is a probability sample of 900 New Hampshire Registered Voters (RVs) collected using an overlapping dual-frame random digit dial design with a 65% landline/35% cell phone split.

Using the model detailed on page 2, 643 of these RVs were identified as Likely Voters (LVs).

http://www.uml.edu/docs/TOPLINE-UMassLowell-7News-NH-Senate-Oct-2014_tcm18-155399.pdf
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1 on: October 24, 2014, 02:01:32 am »

Hassan gets 90%+ among Dems and has a 20-point lead among Indies.

And leads by just 4 overall ... Don't think that Republicans have that much of a turnout advantage.
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Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #2 on: October 24, 2014, 02:01:43 am »

What is wrong with Hassan?

Granted, the polls significantly underestimated her in 2012, and Havenstein can't point to a poll where he actually leads, but this is far from the sleeper race it was even three weeks ago.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #3 on: October 24, 2014, 02:02:16 am »

Junk poll!
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New_Conservative
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« Reply #4 on: October 24, 2014, 09:24:35 pm »

This poll is terrible, if it was true Brown would be winning in landslide right now, considering the Republican turnout this is predicting.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #5 on: October 24, 2014, 10:46:21 pm »

Hassan gets 90%+ among Dems and has a 20-point lead among Indies.

And leads by just 4 overall ... Don't think that Republicans have that much of a turnout advantage.

You don't have that kind of advantage among your own and with Indies in NH and only lead by 4.
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