ME-02: Maine Sunday Telegram (by UNH): Poliquin (R) +1

[cinyc]

Maine Sunday Telegram (Press-Herald) Poll (by UNH):
Poliquin (R) 41%
Cain (D) 40%
Richardson (I) 8%
Undecided 9%

October 15-21; 291 LV; MoE +/- 5.5.

[SPC]

Is there some substantive difference between Poliquin and Richardson that necessitates the latter's continued candidacy? I could understand if Raye were the nominee, but having two Tea Party candidates in a center-left district is frustratingly counterproductive.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

I have noticed that Republicans seem to be rather self centered. Very rarely do they put cause ahead of personal ambition, unlike Democrats. See NJ 2002 and MO 2012 for two prime examples from each side.

[SPC]

I have noticed that Republicans seem to be rather self centered. Very rarely do they put cause ahead of personal ambition, unlike Democrats. See NJ 2002 and MO 2012 for two prime examples from each side.

I suppose what surprises me is not so much that Richardson is still running but that anyone is supporting him. Although, I suspect in reality, Richardson's support is not so much from people who think Poliquin is too liberal (as Richardson does) as from people frustrated by both major candidates.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

I have noticed that Republicans seem to be rather self centered. Very rarely do they put cause ahead of personal ambition, unlike Democrats. See NJ 2002 and MO 2012 for two prime examples from each side.

I suppose what surprises me is not so much that Richardson is still running but that anyone is supporting him. Although, I suspect in reality, Richardson's support is not so much from people who think Poliquin is too liberal (as Richardson does) as from people frustrated by both major candidates.

And yet their frustration will create a self-fullfilling prophesy by ensuring perpetual disappointment. I am reminded of when I was listening to a radio program, the one that used to be on before Wild Bill Cuningham here in NC on Sundays, based out of Tennessee. Describing how Zach Wamp and another conservative were both running and that because neither refused to get out for the other, it ensured the nominated of what he termed to be a rino in Bill Haslaam. Of course I disagree with the assessment of Haslaam, but the example is the same.

[sg0508]

The thing is, even if the GOP were to pickup this seat, what are the odds they would hold it in '16? It's the same thing with the two competitive House races in MA.

[Mr.Phips]

The thing is, even if the GOP were to pickup this seat, what are the odds they would hold it in '16? It's the same thing with the two competitive House races in MA.

This seat would be a two year rental for the GOP.  Polquin is too conservative to held on here long term.  With someone like Kevin Raye, the GOP might have been able to win and hold the seat for more than a term.

[free my dawg]

Still holding out hope for Troy Jackson in 2016. Cain is more suited towards a statewide run.

[Miles]

Still holding out hope for Troy Jackson in 2016. Cain is more suited towards a statewide run.

[GaussLaw]

I have noticed that Republicans seem to be rather self centered. Very rarely do they put cause ahead of personal ambition, unlike Democrats. See NJ 2002 and MO 2012 for two prime examples from each side.

It's pretty simple.  Audacious Epigone pointed out that liberals, as diverse as they are, are basically a "hive minds" on issues and how to win.  Conservatives, on the other hand, were described ideologically as "a herd of cats", with a whole host of different philosophies, objectives, and strategies.  I don't know if he's completely right, but the Dems are far more disciplined.

[TheDeadFlagBlues]

Atlasia is afflicted with a severe case of amnesia: don't trust UNH polls or district polls, ever.