NH-01: WMUR Granite State Poll by UNH: Shea-Porter (D) +4

[cinyc]

WMUR Granite State Poll by UNH
Shea-Porter (D) 44%
Guinta (R) 40%
Other 1%
Don't Know/Undecided 15%

October 22-26; 261 LV; MoE +/-6.1%

This looks like a larger release from a statewide poll of 555 LVs that probably polled the Senate and Governor's race, as well as NH-02.  WMUR-TV is probably releasing the polls on its own schedule.  This one was released before tonight's NH-01 candidate debate on WMUR.  There's nothing on UNH's website for the other races yet.

[IceSpear]

Dominating! Looks like Shea-Porter's lead here, combined with her wonderful 17 point lead in UMass's poll, means she will soon be crushing the corrupt Frank Guinta under her high heel like a bug!

[free my dawg]

Despite UNH going full Suffolk and their wild swings, their margins usually get much better the closer they are to Election Day. To Wulfric's credit, they wound up with a decent result here a while back.

Looks like Carol's in better shape than I thought.

[Mr.Phips]

I have no clue what happens here.  I feel Shea-Porter holds on, but I wouldn't be surprised if she lost either.  The polls are all over the map on this one.

[Recalcuate]

I have no clue what happens here.  I feel Shea-Porter holds on, but I wouldn't be surprised if she lost either.  The polls are all over the map on this one.

I'd say Shea-Porter has the lead, but again. Congresscritter polling is hit or miss. It's not out of the realm of possibility that Guinta pulls the upset. Probably leans Shea-Porter from the totality of the polls at this point though.