Siena NY-24: Maffei down 10
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  Siena NY-24: Maffei down 10 		« previous next »
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Author Topic: Siena NY-24: Maffei down 10  (Read 1957 times)
Devils30
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« on: October 28, 2014, 08:47:00 AM »
https://www.siena.edu/assets/files/news/CD241014_Crosstabs.pdf

Obama won this district by 16 in 2012 but Maffei is consistently a pretty weak candidate. If he loses this most likely Dems can recapture this one in 2016.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #1 on: October 28, 2014, 09:47:23 AM »
I knew it was a mistake to run him again in 2012 Sad
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Devils30
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« Reply #2 on: October 28, 2014, 11:19:13 AM »
Yeah, still with Hillary possibly winning over 60% there in 2016 I can't see Rs holding it more than a term.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #3 on: October 28, 2014, 11:19:51 AM »
Maffei responds instantly with an internal showing him up 5: https://www.scribd.com/doc/244759770/NY-24-Global-Strategy-Group-for-Dan-Maffei-Oct-2014

Time to toss this Siena poll in the trash.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #4 on: October 28, 2014, 01:46:26 PM »
Katko is a shoo-in, just like Nan Hayworth was in 2012.



(Siena sucks)
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #5 on: October 28, 2014, 03:11:01 PM »
He's Maffei is properly leading by 2 to 3, not amazing, but enough to win.
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Recalcuate
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« Reply #6 on: October 28, 2014, 03:40:52 PM »
Quote from: Devils30 on October 28, 2014, 08:47:00 AM
https://www.siena.edu/assets/files/news/CD241014_Crosstabs.pdf

Obama won this district by 16 in 2012 but Maffei is consistently a pretty weak candidate. If he loses this most likely Dems can recapture this one in 2016.

R up 10 in a D+5 district. OK. Sure.

If that's the case, the Democrats are in gigantic trouble in the House, which they are not.

This district has oddly always been competitive. If Maffei is throwing out a +5 internal, it must be somewhat close. You'd think he'd have the edge though.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #7 on: October 28, 2014, 05:48:21 PM »
Quote from: JerryArkansas on October 28, 2014, 03:11:01 PM
He's Maffei is properly leading by 2 to 3, not amazing, but enough to win.

Maffei is a terrible candidate. Even though this poll is obviously an outlier, he's underperformed for three election cycles in a row now. He's like the Democratic Jean Schmidt. If he does wind up losing, he better not try to run again in 2016.
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #8 on: November 01, 2014, 01:54:11 PM »
If this guy manages to lose this seat for Dems again.....
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #9 on: November 01, 2014, 02:09:05 PM »
Quote from: Mr.Phips on November 01, 2014, 01:54:11 PM
If this guy manages to lose this seat for Dems again.....

Welcome back Smiley
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Torie
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« Reply #10 on: November 01, 2014, 03:29:26 PM »
Dems in NY are going to run behind partisan base lines more in NY, particularly upstate NY, than in most places across the fruited plain. Anything somewhat marginal seems headed into the Pub column this time - up and down the ballot. That is my sense of it all anyway.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #11 on: November 04, 2014, 11:51:30 PM »
WOW, this LOSER Dan Maffei is losing by 20 points with 85% of the vote in! Hopefully he goes into political obscurity after this, his embarrassing 2010 loss, and embarrassing 2012 underperformance.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #12 on: November 04, 2014, 11:57:33 PM »
Great poll!
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KCDem
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« Reply #13 on: November 04, 2014, 11:58:11 PM »
Congrats Krazen!
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IceSpear
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« Reply #14 on: November 05, 2014, 01:07:56 AM »
Looks like the turd Maffei will lose by the biggest margin of any incumbent this year...in a D+5 district.

Good riddance to bad rubbish. Let's get a non joke candidate here in 2016, please.
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SWE
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« Reply #15 on: November 05, 2014, 06:38:05 AM »
What possibly made democrats think that running this clown was a good idea?
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