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  2014 House Election Polls
  HI-01: Civil Beat: Tied (search mode)
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Author Topic: HI-01: Civil Beat: Tied  (Read 1186 times)
SamInTheSouth
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Posts: 390


« on: October 29, 2014, 12:58:35 am »

No clue why everyone thought this was safe D for most of the election cycle.

D+18 is a damn good reason.  This is really surprising.
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SamInTheSouth
Sr. Member
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Posts: 390


« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2014, 11:45:39 am »

In 2008, a non-redistricted non-incumbent Republican won in a D+25 district, and that wasn't even a midterm. PVI doesn't determine everything

That was in a December election and the incumbent Democrat had just been wrapped up in a huge scandal.  To my knowledge no such thing is going on in Hawaii right now.
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