NY-19: TWC News/Siena: Gibson (R) +23

[cinyc]

Time Warner Cable News/Siena College NY-19 Poll:
Gibson (R) 58%
Eldridge (D) 35%
Don't Know/No Opinion 7%

October 22-24; 727 Likely Voters; MoE +/- 3.7

Astorino leads Cuomo 39-38-14 in the district.  Hawkins is polling best in the NY-19 counties around Albany, where he's at 19%.

[IceSpear]

Safe R race continues to be safe R.

Pretty hilarious that Alaska is more competitive than this. What a disaster Eldridge turned out to be.

[Lief 🗽]

Great showing for Hawkins!!

[Eraserhead]

I live in the district and while I expect a decisive Gibson win, I'm kind of surprised that it hasn't closed up at least a bit more than this. For what it's worth (probably not much) Eldridge put out an internal where he was only down 10% recently. I didn't bother posting it here though.

This makes me curious about NY-18. I really hope Nan Hayworth isn't in the lead now...

And yes, Hawkins is going to absolutely kill it up here. There's very little love for Cuomo in these parts.

[Torie]

I live in the district and while I expect a decisive Gibson win, I'm kind of surprised that it hasn't closed up at least a bit more than this. For what it's worth (probably not much) Eldridge put out an internal where he was only down 10% recently. I didn't bother posting it here though.

This makes me curious about NY-18. I really hope Nan Hayworth isn't in the lead now...

And yes, Hawkins is going to absolutely kill it up here. There's very little love for Cuomo in these parts.

The Dem turnout in this part of NY will be anemic this year. I think the odds are good that Hayworth will win.

[Eraserhead]

I live in the district and while I expect a decisive Gibson win, I'm kind of surprised that it hasn't closed up at least a bit more than this. For what it's worth (probably not much) Eldridge put out an internal where he was only down 10% recently. I didn't bother posting it here though.

This makes me curious about NY-18. I really hope Nan Hayworth isn't in the lead now...

And yes, Hawkins is going to absolutely kill it up here. There's very little love for Cuomo in these parts.

The Dem turnout in this part of NY will be anemic this year. I think the odds are good that Hayworth will win.

She's got a good shot for sure. I could see them playing hot potato withe district for a while.

That said I think Maloney is still a slight favorite.