Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
February 21, 2020, 09:59:17 am
News: 2020 Mock/Endorsements for Presidential Primaries are now open.

  Atlas Forum
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderators: Torie, Senator ON Progressive)
  Biggest county swing
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: Biggest county swing  (Read 1416 times)
A18
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 23,808
Political Matrix
E: 9.23, S: -6.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: April 13, 2005, 01:07:02 pm »

What county swung the most from the previous election in each election?
Logged
Beet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 25,201


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: April 13, 2005, 04:29:12 pm »

Lincoln county, MS went from 95.96% F.D.R. in 1944 to 97.01% Thurmond, 1.64% Truman in 1948.
Logged
True Democrat
true democrat
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -2.87

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: April 13, 2005, 05:03:16 pm »

Does anyone know the biggest swing from 2000 to 2004.  I'm guessing it's somewhere in Tennessee, but I'm not sure.
Logged
Sam Spade
SamSpade
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 27,654


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: April 13, 2005, 05:36:53 pm »

Does anyone know the biggest swing from 2000 to 2004.  I'm guessing it's somewhere in Tennessee, but I'm not sure.

Depends. 

One of the biggest for the Reps was Richmond County home of Staten Island, NY.  2000 (Gore 51.94%, Bush 44.96%, Nader 2.50%) to 2004 (Bush 56.40%, Kerry 42.74%, Nader 0.74%)

There's also some NJ counties for the Reps that moved a lot, as well as some South Texas ones and probably some in Tennessee too.

One of the biggest for the Dems ironically was Travis County, TX, home of Austin, Texas.  2000 (Bush 46.88%, Gore 41.67%, Nader 10.37%) to 2004 (Kerry 56.01%, Bush 42.00%, Nader 0.40%)

Though these are large counties.  Some smaller counties probably moved more, my bet is that the biggest ones for the Dems were ski counties in the Mountain West.
Logged
Cowboy
Jr. Member
**
Posts: 55


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: April 13, 2005, 09:35:24 pm »

Howdy!

Ill throw this into the ring:

San Miguel County, CO was Kerry 72%, Bush 27% this year. Was Gore 49%, Bush 32%, Nader 17% in 2000.
Logged
minionofmidas - supplemental forum account
Lewis Trondheim
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 58,239
India


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: April 14, 2005, 05:38:10 am »

IIRC San Miguel was the strongest pro-Dem swing. The largest swing overall was the Tennessee County that Carthage (Al Gore's home town...not DC, the other one) is in. Still narrowly went Dem this year.
Logged
Alcon
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,909
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: April 21, 2005, 11:55:03 pm »

IIRC San Miguel was the strongest pro-Dem swing. The largest swing overall was the Tennessee County that Carthage (Al Gore's home town...not DC, the other one) is in. Still narrowly went Dem this year.

Yes, Smith County, TN.

This year it was Kerry 52%, Bush 48%.

2000 was Gore 66%, Bush 32%.

Weirdly, in 1992, Clinton won an amazing 72%.
Logged
December's tragic drive
BRTD
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 88,645
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: April 22, 2005, 12:13:58 am »

Check out Miller county, GA from 1960 to 1964
Logged
Rob
Bob
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,282
United States
Political Matrix
E: -6.32, S: -9.39

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: April 22, 2005, 12:36:20 am »

McPherson County, South Dakota has had some bizarre swings. Look at these results:

1920- 73 percent Republican, 21 percent Farmer-Labor, 6 percent Democratic.

1924- 68 percent Progressive, 29 percent Republican, 3 percent Democratic.

1928- 54 percent Democratic, 46 percent Republican. (That's the first time it ever voted for a Democrat, BTW).

1932- 80 percent Democratic, 18 percent Republican.

1936- 55 percent Republican, 44 percent Democratic.

It must have been the farm crisis... but still, it's weird. After that, it's overwhelmingly GOP again (even Truman got only 23 percent). Some more strange McPherson results:

1952- 87 percent Republican, 13 percent Democratic. (That's actually a fairly typical Plains result for '52).

1956 (Here's where it gets weird again)- 50 percent Republican, 50 percent Democratic; Eisenhower beat Stevenson in this GOP stronghold by only 4 votes! Now look at this:

1960- 79 percent for Nixon, 21 percent for Kennedy. WTF? Even stranger is 1964: 72 percent for Goldwater, 28 percent for LBJ.

Since then, it's been ultra-Republican; the best Democratic showing has been Dukakis's 29.5 percent in 1988. Is there any explanation for this? McPherson is (or at least was) a big wheat-growing area, but that doesn't account for all of these swings.
Logged
○∙◄☻tπ[╪AV┼cV└
jfern
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 46,962


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: April 22, 2005, 05:29:24 am »

Humbolt, CA
2000:Gore wins 44.4-41.5
2004: Kerry wins 57.7-39.0

Vermont has some good ones.




Logged
nclib
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,928
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: April 23, 2005, 10:43:40 am »

Nader did very well there.
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC