Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 20, 2019, 04:04:48 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  Election Archive
| | |-+  All Archived Boards
| | | |-+  2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls
| | | | |-+  2014 House Election Polls
| | | | | |-+  KS-01-Jayhawk Consulting: Democratic internal shows Huelskamp (R) down 7
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 Print
Author Topic: KS-01-Jayhawk Consulting: Democratic internal shows Huelskamp (R) down 7  (Read 4173 times)
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,708
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 29, 2014, 08:38:35 pm »

http://www.scribd.com/doc/244825331/KS-01-Jayhawk-Consulting-for-Jim-Sherow-Oct-2014

Sherow 45
Huelskamp 38

I'm posting this as a public service so we all know to never take this pollster seriously again.
Logged
morgieb
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,379
Australia


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 29, 2014, 08:45:18 pm »

Hahahahahahahahahha.
Logged
KCDem
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,932


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 29, 2014, 08:46:45 pm »

Glorious news !
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,379
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 29, 2014, 08:50:57 pm »

The Democratic wave is sweeping across the Great Plains!
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,644
Dominica


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 29, 2014, 08:52:55 pm »

Will there be a single Republican office holder left standing in the great state of Kansas next Wednesday morning?
Logged
KCDem
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,932


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 29, 2014, 08:54:39 pm »

Will there be a single Republican office holder left standing in the great state of Kansas next Wednesday morning?

Hopefully the incoming Democratic tsunami sweeps all the chaff out of office. It will certainly give a certain Republican from Pennsylvania a lot to think about...
Logged
░tmthforu94░
tmthforu94
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20,721
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 29, 2014, 08:56:05 pm »

I wouldn't mind losing this seat for one term. Get someone better in there. If Democrats ever have a chance here, this is it.
Logged
Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20,704
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 29, 2014, 10:18:44 pm »

LOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOL

Sure, the margins will be closer than usual due to Orman/Davis coattails, but none of Kansas's house districts will filp. And yes, that's a prediction. Write it down.
Logged
Vosem
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,912
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.13, S: -6.26

P P

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 29, 2014, 10:22:58 pm »

From what I've heard, there's been a bit of buzz about Jenkins (though she's still definitely favored), but Huelskamp, Yoder, and Pompeo are all utterly safe.
Logged
Mayor Steve Pearce
SawxDem
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,920
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 29, 2014, 10:27:11 pm »

Am I on drugs?
Logged
Dixie Reborn
BeyondTruthAndIdeals
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 821
Canada


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 29, 2014, 10:35:40 pm »

It would be hilarious if Tim Huelskamp loses.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 16,189
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.87, S: -6.96

P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 29, 2014, 11:11:18 pm »

This district voted 70% Romney. LOL
Logged
Joshua
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,446
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: -5.91

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 29, 2014, 11:58:10 pm »

Isn't the PVI of this district R+14,679,859,473,532,784?!?!?!?!
Logged
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,708
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 30, 2014, 12:05:55 am »

Isn't the PVI of this district R+14,679,859,473,532,784?!?!?!?!

R+23, lol. Actually the 20th most Republican PVI in the country. For context, Barrow's district is R+9. It's pretty clear Huelskamp is far weaker than generic R (he got a pretty fierce primary challenge this cycle from the left). Still, I expect him to win fairly easily while still vastly underperforming the fundamentals of the district. He has quite a lot of cushion in a 70% Romney district.
« Last Edit: October 30, 2014, 12:07:52 am by IceSpear »Logged
Maxwell
mah519
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28,712
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 30, 2014, 12:30:58 am »

This would require Huelskamp to have a sub-20% approval rating. Throw it in the trash.
Logged
Mayor Steve Pearce
SawxDem
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,920
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 31, 2014, 05:39:08 pm »

I always thought Huelskamp was going to go below 65%, but this? This is the most f***ing ridiculous poll I've ever seen. Ever. Christ.
Logged
KCDem
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,932


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 31, 2014, 05:40:44 pm »

This will be a Race to Watch on Tuesday.
Logged
Boston Bread
New Canadaland
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,672
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 31, 2014, 05:42:11 pm »

Maybe racial voting in the south will cause the next generation of blue dogs to come from the west/midwest/plains where it's less polarized. Not here, though.
Logged
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,708
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: October 31, 2014, 05:42:40 pm »

I always thought Huelskamp was going to go below 65%, but this? This is the most f***ing ridiculous poll I've ever seen. Ever. Christ.

Junk polling is a booming industry. Polling no longer seems to be about reporting facts, but driving narratives.
Logged
Mayor Steve Pearce
SawxDem
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,920
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: October 31, 2014, 05:46:03 pm »

This will be a Race to Watch on Tuesday.

I mean the best I could see Sherow doing is something like Kleeb's run in 2006, but unfortunately I don't see it.
Logged
Vega
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,282
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: October 31, 2014, 07:45:55 pm »

Why would anyone expect a decent poll out of any agency with a "Consulting"?
Logged
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,708
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: November 05, 2014, 11:55:04 pm »

Junk poll!
Logged
KCDem
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,932


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: November 05, 2014, 11:55:53 pm »

A 40-point miss! Wow!
Logged
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,708
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: November 06, 2014, 12:00:09 am »

A 40-point miss! Wow!

They're competing with Rasmussen's Hawaii Senate poll in 2010 for "worst poll ever".
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,644
Dominica


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: November 06, 2014, 12:06:17 am »

A 40-point miss! Wow!

They're competing with Rasmussen's Hawaii Senate poll in 2010 for "worst poll ever".

Nah, like I said in the YouGov House polls thread, the YouGov poll of NY-13 is the worst poll ever. It missed by like 80 points.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines