KS-01-Jayhawk Consulting: Democratic internal shows Huelskamp (R) down 7
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Author Topic: KS-01-Jayhawk Consulting: Democratic internal shows Huelskamp (R) down 7  (Read 5712 times)
IceSpear
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« on: October 29, 2014, 08:38:35 PM »
http://www.scribd.com/doc/244825331/KS-01-Jayhawk-Consulting-for-Jim-Sherow-Oct-2014

Sherow 45
Huelskamp 38

I'm posting this as a public service so we all know to never take this pollster seriously again.
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morgieb
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« Reply #1 on: October 29, 2014, 08:45:18 PM »
Hahahahahahahahahha.
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KCDem
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« Reply #2 on: October 29, 2014, 08:46:45 PM »
Glorious news !
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Miles
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« Reply #3 on: October 29, 2014, 08:50:57 PM »
The Democratic wave is sweeping across the Great Plains!
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #4 on: October 29, 2014, 08:52:55 PM »
Will there be a single Republican office holder left standing in the great state of Kansas next Wednesday morning?
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KCDem
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« Reply #5 on: October 29, 2014, 08:54:39 PM »
Quote from: Lief on October 29, 2014, 08:52:55 PM
Will there be a single Republican office holder left standing in the great state of Kansas next Wednesday morning?

Hopefully the incoming Democratic tsunami sweeps all the chaff out of office. It will certainly give a certain Republican from Pennsylvania a lot to think about...
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #6 on: October 29, 2014, 08:56:05 PM »
I wouldn't mind losing this seat for one term. Get someone better in there. If Democrats ever have a chance here, this is it.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #7 on: October 29, 2014, 10:18:44 PM »
LOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOL

Sure, the margins will be closer than usual due to Orman/Davis coattails, but none of Kansas's house districts will filp. And yes, that's a prediction. Write it down.
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Vosem
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« Reply #8 on: October 29, 2014, 10:22:58 PM »
From what I've heard, there's been a bit of buzz about Jenkins (though she's still definitely favored), but Huelskamp, Yoder, and Pompeo are all utterly safe.
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free my dawg
SawxDem
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« Reply #9 on: October 29, 2014, 10:27:11 PM »
Am I on drugs?
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Dixie Reborn
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« Reply #10 on: October 29, 2014, 10:35:40 PM »
Quote from: IDS Legislator Dixie on October 12, 2014, 11:22:00 AM
It would be hilarious if Tim Huelskamp loses.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #11 on: October 29, 2014, 11:11:18 PM »
This district voted 70% Romney. LOL
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Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
Joshua
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« Reply #12 on: October 29, 2014, 11:58:10 PM »
Isn't the PVI of this district R+14,679,859,473,532,784?!?!?!?!
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IceSpear
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« Reply #13 on: October 30, 2014, 12:05:55 AM »
« Edited: October 30, 2014, 12:07:52 AM by IceSpear »
Quote from: Joshua on October 29, 2014, 11:58:10 PM
Isn't the PVI of this district R+14,679,859,473,532,784?!?!?!?!

R+23, lol. Actually the 20th most Republican PVI in the country. For context, Barrow's district is R+9. It's pretty clear Huelskamp is far weaker than generic R (he got a pretty fierce primary challenge this cycle from the left). Still, I expect him to win fairly easily while still vastly underperforming the fundamentals of the district. He has quite a lot of cushion in a 70% Romney district.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #14 on: October 30, 2014, 12:30:58 AM »
This would require Huelskamp to have a sub-20% approval rating. Throw it in the trash.
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free my dawg
SawxDem
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« Reply #15 on: October 31, 2014, 05:39:08 PM »
I always thought Huelskamp was going to go below 65%, but this? This is the most f***ing ridiculous poll I've ever seen. Ever. Christ.
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KCDem
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« Reply #16 on: October 31, 2014, 05:40:44 PM »
This will be a Race to Watch on Tuesday.
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #17 on: October 31, 2014, 05:42:11 PM »
Maybe racial voting in the south will cause the next generation of blue dogs to come from the west/midwest/plains where it's less polarized. Not here, though.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #18 on: October 31, 2014, 05:42:40 PM »
Quote from: Sawx, King in the North on October 31, 2014, 05:39:08 PM
I always thought Huelskamp was going to go below 65%, but this? This is the most f***ing ridiculous poll I've ever seen. Ever. Christ.

Junk polling is a booming industry. Polling no longer seems to be about reporting facts, but driving narratives.
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free my dawg
SawxDem
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« Reply #19 on: October 31, 2014, 05:46:03 PM »
Quote from: KCDem on October 31, 2014, 05:40:44 PM
This will be a Race to Watch on Tuesday.

I mean the best I could see Sherow doing is something like Kleeb's run in 2006, but unfortunately I don't see it.
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Vega
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« Reply #20 on: October 31, 2014, 07:45:55 PM »
Why would anyone expect a decent poll out of any agency with a "Consulting"?
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IceSpear
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« Reply #21 on: November 05, 2014, 11:55:04 PM »
Junk poll!
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KCDem
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« Reply #22 on: November 05, 2014, 11:55:53 PM »
A 40-point miss! Wow!
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IceSpear
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« Reply #23 on: November 06, 2014, 12:00:09 AM »

They're competing with Rasmussen's Hawaii Senate poll in 2010 for "worst poll ever".
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #24 on: November 06, 2014, 12:06:17 AM »
Quote from: IceSpear on November 06, 2014, 12:00:09 AM

They're competing with Rasmussen's Hawaii Senate poll in 2010 for "worst poll ever".

Nah, like I said in the YouGov House polls thread, the YouGov poll of NY-13 is the worst poll ever. It missed by like 80 points.
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