CO-PPP: TIED RACE
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 19, 2024, 05:12:15 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls
  2014 Senatorial Election Polls
  CO-PPP: TIED RACE		 « previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 3 4
Author Topic: CO-PPP: TIED RACE  (Read 8555 times)
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,925


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 30, 2014, 11:19:12 AM »
48-48

http://bit.ly/10BLOSI
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,325
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2014, 11:20:27 AM »
Here's the report.

It was for the LCV.
Logged
backtored
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 498
Vatican City State


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 30, 2014, 11:20:46 AM »
Well, no, it isn't really tied.  They have the gubernatorial race tied, too, which is more realistic.
Logged
Marston
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 446
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 30, 2014, 11:22:33 AM »
What. The. Hell.
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,325
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 30, 2014, 11:23:12 AM »
Quote from: backtored on October 30, 2014, 11:20:46 AM
Well, no, it isn't really tied.  They have the gubernatorial race tied, too, which is more realistic.



I'm sorry you can't handle the truth.
Logged
backtored
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 498
Vatican City State


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 30, 2014, 11:23:49 AM »
Quote from: Miles on October 30, 2014, 11:23:12 AM
Quote from: backtored on October 30, 2014, 11:20:46 AM
Well, no, it isn't really tied.  They have the gubernatorial race tied, too, which is more realistic.



I'm sorry you can't handle the truth.

Ken Buck.
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,925


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 30, 2014, 11:24:08 AM »
Gonna LOL so hard if Republicans get the football pulled away from then yet again in CO.
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 30, 2014, 11:29:16 AM »
I think undecideds would lean Gardner, considering that he has so much higher favorables. We'll see though.
Logged
backtored
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 498
Vatican City State


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 30, 2014, 11:30:13 AM »
« Edited: October 30, 2014, 11:44:52 AM by backtored »
Quote from: Lief on October 30, 2014, 11:24:08 AM
Gonna LOL so hard if Republicans get the football pulled away from then yet again in CO.

More than half of the electorate has already voted.  These are almost exit polls at this point.

I am frankly more encouraged by the gubernatorial numbers than I am alarmed by the tie in the Senate race.  Although, to be even more frank, I think both polls are probably off.
Logged
pbrower2a
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,858
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 30, 2014, 11:34:44 AM »
Tied at this stage -- it's down to GOTV. The Republicans have gotten most of their voters out already.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,520
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 30, 2014, 11:35:38 AM »
The only poll that maters.
Logged
backtored
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 498
Vatican City State


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 30, 2014, 11:35:49 AM »
Democrats are like yo-yos around here.  A good Democratic poll (and it is important to note that the only polling that has had Udall even close has been either YouGov, NBCNews, or various internals and left-leaning organizational polls) and Democrats act like they've won the World Series.  A good GOP poll and they're acting like Udall should go ahead and concede right now.

Please.  This has always been a competitive race, and because of mail-in ballots and a lot of confusion about what the electorate will look like, it will be a competitive race until Tuesday night.  That said, I'm absolutely comfortable saying that Gardner will win, and he'll likely do it by more than four points.  I am not as confident about the gubernatorial race, which feels like it really could go either way.

By the way, take a look at the early vote returns.  The GOP could very well exceed their 2010 margins this year.
Logged
backtored
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 498
Vatican City State


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 30, 2014, 11:36:50 AM »
Quote from: pbrower2a on October 30, 2014, 11:34:44 AM
Tied at this stage -- it's down to GOTV. The Republicans have gotten most of their voters out already.

No, we haven't.  I assure you of that.
Logged
Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,946


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 30, 2014, 11:42:22 AM »
Good god, the democratic reaction to this is absolutely pathetic. Yep, let's discount all the previous polls showing a 5 point gardner lead. Not sure if y'all notice this was done for LCV as well.

Sometimes it is so hard to get good objective info on this site because of the tinted glasses you guys wear!
Logged
Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,946


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 30, 2014, 11:43:01 AM »
Jesus Christ...
Logged
Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,946


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 30, 2014, 11:43:48 AM »
Quote from: pbrower2a on October 30, 2014, 11:34:44 AM
Tied at this stage -- it's down to GOTV. The Republicans have gotten most of their voters out already.
No, it is not tied at this stage. One poll says it, it has to be true!
Logged
Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 30, 2014, 11:47:07 AM »
Done for LCV. Not in RCP. Don't care
Logged
RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,764


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 30, 2014, 11:48:32 AM »
Is there any evidence that PPP's polls for LCV are biased?
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,325
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: October 30, 2014, 11:49:11 AM »

PPP's other polls for the LCV look(ed) pretty believable.
Logged
moderatevoter
ModerateVAVoter
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,381


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: October 30, 2014, 11:51:20 AM »
This thread demonstrates why Atlas is so horrendous in the leadup to an election.
Logged
bedstuy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,526


Political Matrix
E: -1.16, S: -4.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: October 30, 2014, 11:52:32 AM »
PPP has a superior history in polling Colorado than Quinnipiac, Suffolk or Rasmussen. 

Look at 2012:  PPP's last poll was Obama +6, he won by 5.4  Rassy and Quinnipiac's last polls had Romney's winning.  I'll take the guys who were off by .6 over the guys who were off by 8% and 6% respectively. 
Logged
Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,946


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: October 30, 2014, 11:53:35 AM »
Quote from: ModerateVAVoter on October 30, 2014, 11:51:20 AM
This thread demonstrates why Atlas is so horrendous in the leadup to an election.
Suffolk shows this as a 6 point lead for Gardner, Quinnipaic shows it as 7, Rasmussen shows it at 6, yet we are to believe only this one. It's unscientific to think that way.
Logged
bedstuy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,526


Political Matrix
E: -1.16, S: -4.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: October 30, 2014, 11:56:39 AM »
Quote from: boshembechle on October 30, 2014, 11:53:35 AM
Quote from: ModerateVAVoter on October 30, 2014, 11:51:20 AM
This thread demonstrates why Atlas is so horrendous in the leadup to an election.
Suffolk shows this as a 6 point lead for Gardner, Quinnipaic shows it as 7, Rasmussen shows it at 6, yet we are to believe only this one. It's unscientific to think that way.

It's not necessarily scientific to just purely average the public polls, particularly in a midterm election where the polling tends to be less reliable.  I'm not going to argue that Udall is favored, but this race should be seen as a complete tossup.
Logged
Chancellor Tanterterg
Mr. X
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,298
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: October 30, 2014, 11:57:33 AM »
Excellent news!
Logged
OkThen
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 273


Political Matrix
E: -2.32, S: 0.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: October 30, 2014, 11:59:47 AM »
It may show a tie but even PPP is showing Udall at 42/49 fav/unfav while Gardner is at 49/45. Staying very cautiously optimistic.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 3 4  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.041 seconds with 15 queries.