MD-GOV: WPA Research (R) - Hogan by 5

[Maxwell]

Internal Poll for the Hogan Campaign

44% Hogan
39% Brown

It's an internal, so obviously take a step of caution, but it is indicative of the direction this race has gone (their first poll had 48-36 Brown). I still think Brown is going to win, but far more narrowly than anyone anticipated. It includes a +27 advantage for Hogan among independents (I assume he does, but not of that rate) and a (!!!) +6 advantage with moderates (highly doubtful, if not damn near impossible).

[Landslide Andy]

lol

[Thomas D]

I'm sure it's close. But I'm also sure Brown in higher than 39%.

[Maxwell]

I'm sure it's close. But I'm also sure Brown in higher than 39%.

They definitely should've pushed undecideds harder.

[Lief 🐋]

I'm sure it's close. But I'm also sure Brown in higher than 39%.

They definitely should've pushed undecideds harder.

A tell tale sign of a crap internal is not pushing undecideds IMO.

[KCDem]

I'm sure it's close. But I'm also sure Brown in higher than 39%.

They definitely should've pushed undecideds harder.

They probably did and didn't like the results.

[Thomas D]

Charlie Cook has moved this race to toss-up.

[Landslide Andy]

Charlie Cook has moved this race to toss-up.

Charlie Cook puts anything even vaguely competitive in "toss up". He has 14 races there now.

[tmthforu94]

There has been a lack of polling here, so I think it is reasonable for him to do so. Brown still may win by double-digits, but we just don't know. There hasn't been a quality poll here in a month, and it seems Hogan has gained ground since then.

I still expect Brown to win, but I wouldn't be terribly surprised if Hogan pulled off an upset.

[R2D2]

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Sooo, during the next cycle is the word going to be "Republican internals are usually accurate even better than muh PPP"

Nope? Didn't think so. (Nor should it be, but I don't want to hear the opposite again.)

[krazen1211]

Great poll!

[Maxwell]

ah ha