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Author Topic: VA- Christopher Newport: Warner starting to suck  (Read 4625 times)
Vox Populi
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« on: October 31, 2014, 06:40:19 am »

Warner: 51%
Gilepsie: 44%

http://cnu.edu/cpp/pdf/oct%2031%202014%20report.pdf

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JRP1994
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« Reply #1 on: October 31, 2014, 06:41:29 am »

If Warner manages to fumble the football in 4 days as spectacularly as Udall did across 30 days, I'm going to laugh so hard.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #2 on: October 31, 2014, 06:44:28 am »

But! He's! So popular!
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The entire country is pretty much Republican.
KCDem
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« Reply #3 on: October 31, 2014, 07:25:28 am »

Hahaha...Warner is on the airwaves and Gillespie isn't. Warner by double digits.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #4 on: October 31, 2014, 07:29:59 am »

Warner wins 55-43
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« Reply #5 on: October 31, 2014, 07:42:28 am »

If Warner manages to fumble the football in 4 days as spectacularly as Udall did across 30 days, I'm going to laugh so hard.
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I feel liberal and around conservatives and conservative around liberals. Seems I just cant win.
R2D2
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« Reply #6 on: October 31, 2014, 07:46:41 am »

Warner wins 55-43

Seriously, this won't be too far from the actual result. Let's not stick a fork in the guy for only being up 7 points in one poll with less than a week to go.
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Jimmy Garoppolo win percentage (as of Feb. 2018): 100%
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« Reply #7 on: October 31, 2014, 07:58:45 am »

If Warner manages to fumble the football in 4 days as spectacularly as Udall did across 30 days, I'm going to laugh so hard.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #8 on: October 31, 2014, 08:40:25 am »

And Mary Fallin is only up by 8% in Oklahoma.

This is going to be a bad year for incumbents in general.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #9 on: October 31, 2014, 08:51:38 am »

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Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #10 on: October 31, 2014, 09:38:35 am »

I said months ago that I was expecting a Warner win of about 10 points when all was said and done. Seems to be becoming reality.
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« Reply #11 on: October 31, 2014, 09:45:19 am »

Warner wins 55-43

Something like this.
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Recalcuate
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« Reply #12 on: October 31, 2014, 09:48:00 am »

If Warner manages to fumble the football in 4 days as spectacularly as Udall did across 30 days, I'm going to laugh so hard.

The only way Warner loses this is if they find a dead body in his home with his prints on the murder weapon.

It really doesn't matter if it's 7 points, 9 points or 15 points, it's still a rather comfortable win.
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2014 Predictions
Senate Misses: NC
Governor Misses: CO, KS, IL, FL, MD
Dave Leip
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« Reply #13 on: October 31, 2014, 11:29:03 am »

New Poll: Virginia Senator by Christopher Newport University on 2014-10-29

Summary: D: 51%, R: 44%, I: 2%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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IceSpear
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« Reply #14 on: October 31, 2014, 02:29:35 pm »

Warner will win easily, probably by double digits. The real scary thought is if Republicans would have actually gotten a decent candidate here.
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WULFRIC PROJECTIONS:

U.S. House District 5

Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Rich Lazer
2,052   60.3%
   
Molly Sheehan
337   9.9   
Mary Scanlon
271   8.0   

Mr. Reactionary
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« Reply #15 on: October 31, 2014, 05:07:22 pm »


The only way Warner loses this is if they find a dead body in his home with his prints on the murder weapon.

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I was not anticipating Mr. Reactionary to introduce 55 pieces of legislation in the South over the past week, which is negating the rise in unemployment that should result from Irma.

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Maxwell
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« Reply #16 on: October 31, 2014, 05:15:34 pm »

Okay. Gillespie wasn't going to lose by 30 in a Toss-up State in a Good year for Republicans. That still doesn't mean he wasn't a terrible pick. Warner is completely fine.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #17 on: October 31, 2014, 06:55:55 pm »

Still Safe D
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« Reply #18 on: October 31, 2014, 07:35:57 pm »

Warner's not going to lose, but the bottom seems to be falling out quickly for a lot of candidates.
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Mr. Illini
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« Reply #19 on: November 02, 2014, 12:39:59 am »

Gillespie within 10! Safe R!
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« Reply #20 on: November 02, 2014, 01:22:19 am »

At this rate, Gillespie will take the lead around April.
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #21 on: November 03, 2014, 10:45:31 am »

Warner is to the 2014 cycle what Casey was to the 2012 cycle; a Moderate Hero expected to win in a landslide who ends up winning by a modest margin.
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KCDem
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« Reply #22 on: November 03, 2014, 10:49:53 am »

Warner is to the 2014 cycle what Casey was to the 2012 cycle; a Moderate Hero expected to win in a landslide who ends up winning by a modest margin.

Except Warner has actually campaigned, unlike Casey.
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shua
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« Reply #23 on: November 03, 2014, 10:55:36 am »

Hahaha...Warner is on the airwaves and Gillespie isn't. Warner by double digits.

I don't know where his campaign was until the second half of October but Gillespie is all over the airwaves these days.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #24 on: November 03, 2014, 11:14:32 am »

The days of >10% blowouts in VA for either side may be over.  It's getting very inelastic.
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