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Author Topic: Fox polls at 6pm: IA, NC, KS  (Read 4200 times)
Lief 🐋
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« on: October 31, 2014, 03:44:50 pm »

https://mobile.twitter.com/foxnewspoll/status/528280017453985792?p=v
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« Reply #1 on: October 31, 2014, 04:07:53 pm »

lolFOX

Predictions:

Ernst +4, Tillis +2, Roberts+5
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #2 on: October 31, 2014, 04:08:35 pm »

Junk poll!
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KCDem
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« Reply #3 on: October 31, 2014, 04:19:16 pm »

Junk poll!

You beat me to it! These polls are going to be crap!
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« Reply #4 on: October 31, 2014, 04:25:55 pm »

Junk poll!

You beat me to it! These polls are going to be crap!

I think the Fox and CNN polls are one of the few that use live callers for both cell phone and landline surveys. I wouldn't exactly call them junk. The Fox poll is a collaboration of both a Democrat and Republican pollsters.
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2014 Predictions
Senate Misses: NC
Governor Misses: CO, KS, IL, FL, MD
tmthforu94
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« Reply #5 on: October 31, 2014, 04:27:07 pm »

Junk poll!

You beat me to it! These polls are going to be crap!

I think the Fox and CNN polls are one of the few that use live callers for both cell phone and landline surveys. I wouldn't exactly call them junk. The Fox poll is a collaboration of both a Democrat and Republican pollsters.
Junk reasoning!
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Liberalrocks
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« Reply #6 on: October 31, 2014, 04:27:57 pm »

lolFOX

Predictions:

Ernst +4, Tillis +2, Roberts+5
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RR1997
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« Reply #7 on: October 31, 2014, 04:41:06 pm »

I really want them to poll Colorado.
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Miles
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« Reply #8 on: October 31, 2014, 04:56:58 pm »

Orman up 44/43, Ernst 45/44, Hagan 43/42.
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« Reply #9 on: October 31, 2014, 05:00:20 pm »


That seems to be the status of all three of these races around the fringes of the MOE.
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2014 Predictions
Senate Misses: NC
Governor Misses: CO, KS, IL, FL, MD
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« Reply #10 on: October 31, 2014, 05:01:38 pm »

Orman's actually up by one.
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Miles
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« Reply #11 on: October 31, 2014, 05:03:25 pm »

^ Sorry, fixed.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #12 on: October 31, 2014, 05:05:01 pm »

I think Roberts will survive - Brownback is a different story, though. This poll confirms what I have seen in the state. The focus is definitely on getting Roberts reelected.
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Miles
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« Reply #13 on: October 31, 2014, 05:08:13 pm »

I can buy early voters going 51-36 for Orman and even 55-31 for Hagan, but 61-31 for Ernst? Small sub-samples, I suppose.
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Devils30
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« Reply #14 on: October 31, 2014, 05:10:41 pm »

Iowa is beginning to look ominous for the GOP today. I could see Braley pulling out a 49-48 win on Tuesday.
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KCDem
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« Reply #15 on: October 31, 2014, 05:12:08 pm »

Last poll showed Roberts up 5. Clear trend toward Orman and Davis' coattails will help Gregory the Gallant retire the DC Fossil!

As to the IA and NC results, repeat after me: junk polls!
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #16 on: October 31, 2014, 05:21:40 pm »

It looks like the fox polling outfit cares more about its credibility than we thought.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #17 on: October 31, 2014, 05:27:33 pm »

Lol, Fox puts out non-biased polls right before the election. Classic!
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« Reply #18 on: October 31, 2014, 05:28:30 pm »

I can buy early voters going 51-36 for Orman and even 55-31 for Hagan, but 61-31 for Ernst? Small sub-samples, I suppose.

Hard to tell at least from the IA poll, but that would be my guess. An early vote total is rarely statistically significant unless a ton of votes are banked.
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2014 Predictions
Senate Misses: NC
Governor Misses: CO, KS, IL, FL, MD
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« Reply #19 on: October 31, 2014, 05:38:29 pm »

Lol, Fox puts out non-biased polls right before the election. Classic!

I'm marginally surprised. I expected them to go full Vox Populi. Now they left the Cheneys out there on a ledge. I bet they're furious.
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Badger
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« Reply #20 on: October 31, 2014, 05:45:13 pm »

Junk poll!

You beat me to it! These polls are going to be crap!

I think the Fox and CNN polls are one of the few that use live callers for both cell phone and landline surveys. I wouldn't exactly call them junk. The Fox poll is a collaboration of both a Democrat and Republican pollsters.

This. They're quite trustworthy at polling, and don't show a notably R bias.
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« Reply #21 on: October 31, 2014, 05:56:49 pm »

Lol, Fox puts out non-biased polls right before the election. Classic!

I know you red hats hate Fox, but to their credit, their polling is anything other than "biased."

Again, it's live-agent cell phone and landline poll conducted by both a Republican and Democrat pollster.

Media organizations, including MSNBC, CNN, the local TV stations and Fox are looking to get it right and not engage in partisanship.
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2014 Predictions
Senate Misses: NC
Governor Misses: CO, KS, IL, FL, MD
Ebowed
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« Reply #22 on: October 31, 2014, 06:14:11 pm »

Fox generally has a decent polling record.
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« Reply #23 on: October 31, 2014, 06:18:02 pm »

Actually Fox News' polls are usually held above pollsters like SUSA.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #24 on: October 31, 2014, 06:37:34 pm »

Lol, Fox puts out non-biased polls right before the election. Classic!

I know you red hats hate Fox, but to their credit, their polling is anything other than "biased."

Again, it's live-agent cell phone and landline poll conducted by both a Republican and Democrat pollster.

Media organizations, including MSNBC, CNN, the local TV stations and Fox are looking to get it right and not engage in partisanship.

Yeah their final polls are good. The ones they released earlier this month were clearly very republican-leaning huge outliers though.
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