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Author Topic: 2014 US Congressional Election Results  (Read 164113 times)
Vega
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« Reply #1700 on: December 18, 2014, 08:28:38 am »

I never got the point of swearing in an elected official past a week after the election.
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Thomas from NJ
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« Reply #1701 on: December 19, 2014, 08:21:09 pm »

Using Paint.NET, I put together this map of how every municipality voted in the 2014 Senate race here in New Jersey. I thank Wikipedia user Mr. Matté for creating the blank map I used to make this.

Enjoy! Also, please let me know if you spot any mistakes.



Red = Cory Booker (Democratic)
Blue = Jeff Bell (Republican)
« Last Edit: December 23, 2014, 11:05:31 pm by Thomas from NJ »Logged

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« Reply #1702 on: December 21, 2014, 10:28:57 pm »

The Department of Elections' results show Booker winning Lakewood Township in Ocean County.
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« Reply #1703 on: December 21, 2014, 11:32:54 pm »

Is that the one that is half Orthodox Jewish?

What are the two blue towns surrounded by red in NE Jersey like?
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Thomas from NJ
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« Reply #1704 on: December 22, 2014, 09:18:04 pm »

The Department of Elections' results show Booker winning Lakewood Township in Ocean County.

Thanks. I've re-colored it accordingly.
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« Reply #1705 on: December 22, 2014, 10:58:05 pm »

Is that the one that is half Orthodox Jewish?

What are the two blue towns surrounded by red in NE Jersey like?

1. Yes. Looks like the rabbis endorsed Booker this time around.

2. One of them is Teterboro, which contains an airport and a tiny residential zone home to a few dozen people. Jeff Bell won the borough with 9 votes to Booker's 7.

SNJ, I think you've also jumbled the results for Pemberton Boro and Township in Burlington County.
« Last Edit: December 23, 2014, 10:14:55 am by homelycooking »Logged

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Thomas from NJ
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« Reply #1706 on: December 23, 2014, 10:03:49 pm »

SNJ, I think you've also jumbled the results for Pemberton Boro and Township in Burlington County.

Fixed.
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« Reply #1707 on: December 23, 2014, 10:33:31 pm »

O.K., here's my version with a very detailed color scale:

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Thomas from NJ
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« Reply #1708 on: December 23, 2014, 10:37:52 pm »

Man, I just spotted ANOTHER mistake. I colored Absecon red when Jeff Bell actually won it.

I need to start making extra-sure I get everything right before I post my maps.
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« Reply #1709 on: December 23, 2014, 10:52:47 pm »

Jeff Bell won Brigantine and Mountainside, Booker won Woodcliff Lake...
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Thomas from NJ
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« Reply #1710 on: December 23, 2014, 11:07:01 pm »

Jeff Bell won Brigantine and Mountainside, Booker won Woodcliff Lake...

Alright, I think it's finally good now.

Well, I learned my lesson.
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« Reply #1711 on: December 24, 2014, 02:35:35 pm »

Final Aggregate U.S Congressional vote totals.  I've 'audited' these numbers several times so this should be correct.  It's possible a state may change their official results, as Texas already has.  I'm not sure how that happens.  Imagine a close result: "well, we had said you officially won, but now we say you officially lost!"

Total votes: 77,962,105
Republican: 40,084,793 51.4% 247 (393 candidates)
Democratic: 35,624,361 45.7% 188 (399 candidates)
Libertarian: 963,318 1.2% (121 candidates)
Green: 277,229 (45 candidates)
Constitution: 54,167 (10 candidates)
Independent and parties that run in only one state: 858,462
Write In: 99,775 (note: this total is incomplete)

Note: in Florida 12,14,25,27 and Oklahoma 1, the Representatives were reelected without opposition and their races did not appear on the ballot. Florida 12,25,27 and Oklahoma 1 are represented by Republicans while Florida 14 is represented by a Democrat.

Also, the Pennsylvania write in totals are incomplete. The official results do not include them, but I found from a Pittsburgh Gazette article that there were write in votes. Unfortunately, though only published the Alleghany County results. Same for Kansas and Nebraska.

Washington State also allows for write in votes but does not count them.

Also, as many of you probably know, New York allows for 'fusion' voting.  I've counted all of the votes the major party candidates received from minor parties with the major parties. This is a difference between me and the Clerk of the House of Representatives.

2012 voter age population: 235,248,000 (includes felons who are unable to vote). In addition to the 5 Congressional districts that did not appear on the ballot, several million Americans also cast ballots in the election, but did not vote for a congressional candidate. That said, no more than 82 or 83 million Americans cast ballots.

If anybody wants me to I can post the state by state results.

Don't go looking for this on the internet, I compiled the totals myself from the state Secretary of State websites.

I hope Dave Leip doesn't mind me posting this since he sells the data.
« Last Edit: December 24, 2014, 02:40:12 pm by Adam T »Logged


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Could the 13th Mississippi Congressional District (MS-13) be competitive for the Democrats?
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« Reply #1712 on: December 24, 2014, 02:46:27 pm »

Imagine a close result: "well, we had said you officially won, but now we say you officially lost!"

It happened in the 1960 Hawaii Presidential election. The Nixon electors were certified. They were replaced with Kennedy electors on January 4th, which the Supreme Court decided to ignore when they appointed Bush President after the recount didn't finish by a bogus December 12th deadline after the Supreme Court stopped the recount.
« Last Edit: December 24, 2014, 02:52:19 pm by ○∙◄☻tπ[╪AV┼cV└ »Logged

Tender Branson
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« Reply #1713 on: December 24, 2014, 02:49:34 pm »

I hope Dave Leip doesn't mind me posting this since he sells the data.

He's going to kill you while you sleep.

Merry Christmas !
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« Reply #1714 on: December 24, 2014, 11:14:34 pm »

For those who think the Libertarians or Greens are on an upswing consider this.

Libertarians
Total votes in districts where both a Republican and a Democrat ran: 593,244 (103 districts) average: 5,760

Total votes in districts where one of the major parties did not run a candidate: 370,074 (18 districts) average: 20,560

Greens
Total votes in districts where both a Republican and a Democrat ran: 182,832 (39 districts) average:  average: 4,688

Total votes in districts where one of the major parties did not run a candidate: 94,397 (6 districts) average: 15,733
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Could the 13th Mississippi Congressional District (MS-13) be competitive for the Democrats?
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« Reply #1715 on: December 24, 2014, 11:16:17 pm »

I don't think Libertarians or Greens are on an upswing, but I think it's difficult to argue that the Republican Party isn't becoming more libertarian, or that the Democratic Party isn't becoming more environmentalist, and that libertarianism and environmentalism aren't becoming more widely held, mainstream positions, as time goes on.
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« Reply #1716 on: December 25, 2014, 12:11:34 am »

I assume you mean "ARE becoming more widely held"

The Republican Party is partly having a battle between its libertarian wing led, of course, by Rand Paul (against spying, mixed feelings on the police, pro marijuana) and its authoritarian wing (opposite on all those issues led by Rudy Ghooliani, Mike Rogers and probably Jeb Bush.) This battle will certainly be a major debate in 2016 presidential primaries.

The Democratic shift is likely due largely to its House makeup: very urban.  As private sector unions decline and the Democrats lose districts in rural areas,small towns and resource dependent communities the environmental wing gains.

There are still pro resource development champions in the Democratic Party and former Montana governor Brian Schweitzer could be their leader in the 2016 presidential primaries.
« Last Edit: December 25, 2014, 12:25:16 am by Adam T »Logged


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Could the 13th Mississippi Congressional District (MS-13) be competitive for the Democrats?
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« Reply #1717 on: December 25, 2014, 05:20:02 pm »

Aggregate Congressional results by state.

Alabama: 1,080,880 (7 Districts)
Republican: 704,533 65.2% 6 (6 candidates)
Democratic: 331,764 30.7% 1 (5 candidates)
Independent: 39,005
Write In: 5,578

Alaska: 279,741 (1 District)
Republican: 142,572 51.0% 1
Democratic: 114,602 41.0% 0
Libertarian: 21,290 7.6%
Write In: 1,277

Arizona: 1,467,617 (9 Districts)
Republican: 817,178 55.7% 5 (8 Candidates)
Democratic: 577,947 39.4% 4 (8 candidates)
Libertarian: 23,767 1.6% (3 candidates)
American Electors: 44,924 (2 candidates)
Independent: 3,496
Write In: 305

Arkansas: 830,652 (4 Districts)
Republican: 509,631 61.4% 4 (4 candidates)
Democratic: 254,774 30.7% 0 (3 candidates)
Libertarian: 66,055 8.0% (4 candidates)
Write In: 192

California: 7,132,361 (53 Districts) Note: California has a runoff election where the top two candidates in the primary run irrespective of party
Democratic: 4,067,737 57.0% 39 (candidates in 51 districts)
Republican: 2,950,619 41.4% 14 (candidates in 44 districts)
New Patriotic Party: 104,813 (3 candidates)
Peace and Freedom: 9,192 (1 candidate)

In 2 districts Republicans ran against each other
In 5 districts Democrats ran against each other
Wiki: "Proposition 14 specifically prohibits write-in candidates in the second round, and this prohibition was upheld in a court challenge."

Colorado: 2,000,525 (7 districts)
Republican: 1,000,197 50.0% 4 (7 candidates)
Democratic: 936,417 46.8% 3 (7 candidates)
Libertarian: 33,859 1.7% (4 candidates)
Green: 5,503 (1 candidate)
Independent: 24,546
Write In: 3

Connecticut: 1,067,857 (5 candidates)
Democratic: 638,695 59.8% 5 (5 candidates)
Republican: 418,589 39.2% 0 (5 candidates)
Libertarian: 2,602 0.2% (1 candidate)
Green: 5,996 (2 candidates)
Independent: 1,970
Write In: 5

Delaware: 231,617 (1 District)
Democratic: 137,251 59.3% 1
Republican: 85,146 36.8% 0
Libertarian: 4,419 1.8%
Green: 4,801 2.1%

Florida: 4,998,555 (27 Districts)
Republican: 2,713,451 54.3% 17 (25 candidates)
Democratic: 2,130,626 42.6% 10 (22 candidates)
Libertarian: 61,989 1.2% (2 candidates)
Independent Workers Party: 13,690 (1 candidate)
Independent: 77,378
Write In: 1,421

Note: 3 Republican and 1 Democratic incumbent faced no opposition and the race did not appear on the ballot. So the totals are for just 23 districts.

Georgia: 2,305,437 (14 Districts)
Republican: 1,349,076 58.5% 10 (11 candidates)
Democratic: 956,361 41.5% 4 (10 candidates)

Hawaii: 360,177 (2 Districts)
Democratic: 235,400 65.4% 2 (2 candidates)
Republican: 120,084 33.3% 0 (2 candidates)
Libertarian: 4,693 1.3% (1 candidate)
Constitutional Law - Burdick v. Takushi: Upholding Hawaii's Ban on Write-in Voting

Idaho: 435,157 (2 Districts)
Republican: 275,072 63.2% 2 (2 candidates)
Democratic: 160,078 36.8% 0 (2 candidates)
Write In: 7

Illiniois: 3,568,002 (18 Districts)
Democratic: 1,822,779 51.1% 10 (18 candidates)
Republican: 1,721,865 48.3% 8 (18 candidates)
Green: 23,145 (2 candidates)
Write In: 213

Indiana: 1,341,814 (9 Districts)
Republican: 788,762 58.8% 7 (9 candidates)
Democratic: 502,104 37.4% 2 (9 candidates)
Libertarian: 50,948 3.8% (8 candidates)

Iowa: 1,120,334 (4 Districts)
Republican: 595,865 53.2% 3 (4 candidates)
Democratic: 509,189 45.4% 1 (4 candidates)
Libertarian: 9,054 0.8% (1 candidate)
Independent: 4,360
Write In: 1,866

Kansas: 862,129(4 Districts)
Republican: 540,756 62.7% 4 (4 candidates)
Democratic: 311,530 36.1% 0 (4 candidates)
Libertarian: 9,791 1.1% (1 candidate)
Write In: 52 (incomplete)

Kentucky: 1,397,626 (6 Districts)
Republican: 887,157 63.5% 5 (6 candidates)
Democratic: 508,151 36.4% 1 (6 candidates)
Independent: 2,318

Louisiana: 1,407,791 (6 Districts) Note: Louisiana holds its primary on election day and the top two candidates run in a runoff if no candidate receives over 50% of the vote.
Republican: 883,649 62.8% 5 (including 2 runoff winners) (candidates in 5 districts)
Democratic: 392,876 27.9% 1 (candidates in 4 districts)
Libertarian: 84,942 6.0% (candidates in 5 districts)
Green: 1,655 (1 candidate)
Independent: 44,669

Maine: 592,371 (2 Districts)
Democratic: 305,242 51.5% 1 (2 candidates)
Republican: 228,071 38.5% 1 (2 candidates)
Independent: 58,747
Write In: 311

Maryland: 1,703,037 (8 Districts)
Democratic: 978,267 57.4% 7 (8 candidates)
Republican: 704,400 41.4% 1 (8 candidates)
Libertarian: 8,898 0.5% (2 candidates)
Green: 9,088 (2 candidates)
Write In: 2,384

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Could the 13th Mississippi Congressional District (MS-13) be competitive for the Democrats?
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« Reply #1718 on: December 25, 2014, 05:22:02 pm »

Massachusetts: 1,813,816 (9 Districts)
Democratic: 1,475,442 81.3% 9 (9 candidates)
Republican: 308,598 17.0% 0 (3 candidates)
Independent: 10,373
Write In: 19,403

Michigan: 3,089,477 (14 Districts)
Republican: 1,466,749 47.5% 9 (14 candidates)
Democratic: 1,519,030 49.2% 5 (14 candidates)
Libertarian: 53,711 1.7% (12 candidates)
Green: 23,088 (7 candidates)
Taxpayers: 10,904 (3 candidates)
Natural Law Party: 1,680 (1 candidate)
Independent: 12,874
Write In: 1,441

Minnesota: 1,963,539 (8 Districts)
Democratic: 985,760 50.2% 5 (8 candidates)
Republican: 913,539 46.5% 3 (8 candidates)
Independence Party: 50,836 (4 candidates)
Green: 11,450 (1 candidate)
Write In: 1,954

Missouri: 1,426,303 (8 Districts)
Republican: 838,283 58.8% 6 (8 candidates)
Democratic: 513,600 36.0% 2 (8 candidates)
Libertarian: 63,682 4.5% (8 candidates)
Constitution: 3,799 (1 candidate)
Independent: 6,821
Write In: 118

Mississippi: 626,279 (4 Districts)
Republican: 329,169 52.6% 3 (3 candidates)
Democratic: 230,014 36.7% 1 (4 candidates)
Libertarian: 7,303 1.2% (2 candidates)
Reform: 14,897 (4 candidates)
Independent: 44,896
While you can write-in votes in Mississippi, they don't really count. The only instance in which they would count is if someone on the ballot died.
So mounting a write-in campaign is a non-starter in Mississippi.

Montana: 367,963 (1 District)
Republican: 203,871 55.4% 1
Democratic: 148,690 40.4% 0
Libertarian: 15,402 4.2%

Nebraska: 535,072 (3 Districts)
Republican: 340,816 63.7% 2 (3 candidates)
Democratic: 185,234 34.6% 1 (3 candidates)
Libertarian: 9,021 1.7% (1 candidate)
Write In: 1 (incomplete)

Nevada: 543,009 (4 Districts)
Republican: 304,809 56.1% 3 (4 candidates)
Democratic: 210,147 38.7% 1 (4 candidates)
Libertarian: 8,302 1.5% (3 candidates)
Constitution: 16,770 (3 candidates) goes by the name of the Independent American Party in Nevada
Independent: 2,981
Nevada law prohibits write-in candidacies or write-in votes of any kind.

New Hampshire: 480,920 (2 Districts)
Democratic: 247,469 51.5% 1 (2 candidates)
Republican: 232,379 48.3% 1 (2 candidates)
Write In: 1,072

New Jersey: 1,821,365 (12 Districts)
Democratic: 914,172 50.2% 6 (12 candidates)
Republican: 877,265 48.2% 6 (12 candidates)
Libertarian: 4,854 0.3% (2 candidates)
Green: 890 (1 candidate)
D-R Party: 6,265 (5 candidates)
We Deserve Better: 1,784 (1 candidate)
Stop Boss Politics: 1,134 (1 candidate)
Change Is Needed: 1,103 (1 candidate)
Of the People: 634 (1 candidate)
American Labor Party: 501 (1 candidate)
Making Us Better: 471 (1 candidate)
For America: 2,435 (1 candidate)
Politicians are Crooks: 1,192 (1 candidate)
Wake Up U.S.A: 1,022 (1 candidate)
911 Truth Needed: 653 (1 candidate)
Seeking Inclusion: 1,715 (1 candidate)
Bullying Breaks Hearts: 1,237 (1 candidate)
Future Vision: 998 (1 candidate)
Legalize Marijuana: 1,330 (1 candidate)
Truth, Vision, Hope: 567 (1 candidate)
Start the Conversation: 531 (1 candidate)
Independent: 612

New Mexico: 511,885 (3 Districts)
Democratic: 271,222 53.0% 2 (3 candidates)
Republican: 240,542 47.0% 1 (3 candidates)
Write In: 121

New York: 3,651,707 (27 Districts)
Democratic: 2,009,444 55.0% 18 (26 candidates)
Republican: 1,554,274 42.6% 9 (18 candidates)
Conservative: 37,622 (6 candidates)
Green: 34,580 (5 candidates)
Flourish Every Person: 554 (1 candidate)
Independent: 8,164
Write In: 7,069

North Carolina: 2,807,998 (13 Districts)
Republican: 1,555,364 55.4% 10 (13 candidates)
Democratic: 1,234,027 43.9% 3 (12 candidates)
Libertarian: 7,850 0.3% (1 candidate)
Write In: 10,757

North Dakota: 248,670 (1 District)
Republican: 138,100 55.5% 1
Democratic: 95,678 38.5% 0
Libertarian: 14,531 5.8%
Write In: 361

Ohio: 3,000,161 (16 Districts)
Republican: 1,770,923 59.0% 12 (16 candidates)
Democratic: 1,179,587 39.3% 4 (15 candidates)
Libertarian: 23,937 0.8% (3 candidates)
Green: 15,213 (2 candidates)
Constititution: 10,257 (1 candidate)
Write In: 244

Oklahoma: 653,413 (5 Districts)
Republican: 457,613 70.0% 5 (5 candidates)
Democratic: 174,022 26.6% (4 candidate)
Independent: 21,778
Note: 1 Republican incumbent faced no opposition and the race did not appear on the ballot.
Write-in voting is not permitted by law in Oklahoma

Oregon: 1,450,702 (5 Districts)
Democratic: 778,139 53.6% 4 (5 candidates)
Republican: 582,909 40.2% 1 (5 candidates)
Libertarian: 37,959 2.6% (5 candidates)
Green: 30,132 (3 candidates)
Constitution: 6,208 (1 candidate)
Independent: 11,683
Write In; 3,672

Pennsylvania: 3,330,804 (18 Districts)
Republican: 1,833,205 55.0% 13 (17 candidates)
Democratic: 1,467,594 44.1% 5 (16 candidates)
Independent: 22,734
Write In: 7,271 ( incomplete)

Rhode Island: 316,257 (2 Districts)
Democratic: 192,776 61.0% 2 (2 candidates)
Republican: 122,721 38.8% 0 (2 candidates)
Write In: 760

South Carolina: 1,155,782 (7 Districts)
Republican: 734,456 63.5% 6 (7 candidates)
Democratic: 382,208 33.1% 1 (5 candidates)
Libertarian: 25,145 2.2% (2 candidates)
Labor: 4,158 (1 candidate)
Write In: 9,815

South Dakota: 276,319 (1 District)
Republican: 183,834 66.5% 1
Democratic: 92,485 33.5% 0
South Dakota law does not allow write-in candidates.

Tennessee: 1,371,161 (9 Districts)
Republican: 848,846 61.9% 7 (9 candidates)
Democratic: 448,421 32.7% 2 (8 candidates)
Libertarian: 9,241 0.7% (2 candidates)
Green: 13,902 (2 candidates)
Constitution: 4,451 (1 candidate)
Independent: 46,282
Write In: 18

Texas: 4,453,499 (36 Districts)
Republican: 2,684,592 60.3% 25 (30 candidates)
Democratic: 1,474,016 33.1% 11 (29 candidates)
Libertarian: 225,178 5.1% (32 candidates)
Green: 61,699 (8 candidates)
Independent: 7,960
Write In: 54

Utah: 565,970 (4 Districts)
Republican: 351,034 62.0% 4 (4 candidates)
Democratic: 183,491 32.4% 0 (4 candidates)
Libertarian: 6,198 1.1% (2 candidates)
Independent American Party: 13,086 (4 candidates)
Constitution: 5,933 (2 candidates)
Independent: 5,831
Write In: 397

Vermont: 191,504 (1 District)
Democratic: 123,349 64.4% 1
Republican: 59,432 31.0% 0
Liberty Union Party: 2,071
Independent: 6,459
Write In: 193

Virginia: 2,135,331 (11 Districts)
Republican: 1,143,747 53.6% 8 (10 candidates)
Democratic: 845,939 39.6% 3 (9 candidates)
Libertarian: 47,038 2.2% (7 candidates)
Green (and Independent Green): 32,401 (6 candidates)
Independent: 47,274
Write In: 18,932

Washington: 2,029,600 (10 Districts) Note: The Washington General is a runoff election where the top two candidates in the primary run irrespective of party
Democratic: 1,047,747 51.6% 6 (candidates in 9 Districts)
Republican: 981,853 48.4% 4 (candidates in 10 Districts)
In one district Republicans ran against each other
Write-in votes are not tabulated for individual write-in candidates unless enough write-in votes are cast to potentially change the outcome of the race.

West Virginia: 439,239 (3 Districts)
Republican: 242,823 55.3% 3 (3 candidates)
Democratic: 182,484 41.5% 0 (3 candidates)
Libertarian: 7,682 1.7% (1 candidate)
Independent: 6,250

Wisconsin: 2,355.580 (8 Districts)
Republican: 1,233,336 52.4% 5 (8 candidates)
Democratic: 1,102,581 46.8% 3 (8 candidates)
Libertarian: 6,865 (1 candidate)
Green: 3,686 (1 candidate)
Independent: 7,002
Write In: 2,110

Wyoming: 165,100 (1 District)
Republican: 113,038 68.5% 1
Democratic: 37,803 22.9% 0
Libertarian: 7,112 4.3%
Constitution: 6,749
Write In: 398

More results to come.
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Could the 13th Mississippi Congressional District (MS-13) be competitive for the Democrats?
ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #1719 on: December 25, 2014, 06:50:22 pm »

^ This would be the map, then:



I actually know why North Dakota wasn't a blowout this year. George Sinner was the former governor of North Dakota from 1985-1992. He's 86 years old.
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Vosem
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« Reply #1720 on: December 25, 2014, 06:56:49 pm »

I actually know why North Dakota wasn't a blowout this year. George Sinner was the former governor of North Dakota from 1985-1992. He's 86 years old.

Yeah, but he wasn't the candidate -- the Democratic candidate in 2014 was his son, also named George Sinner. (To distinguish them in North Dakota, the father is called George A. Sinner, while the son is George B. Sinner).

Also, pleasantly surprised that the GOP won the PA House vote by double-digits. I think it was lost in 2012, so that's nice to see.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #1721 on: December 25, 2014, 07:49:43 pm »

I actually know why North Dakota wasn't a blowout this year. George Sinner was the former governor of North Dakota from 1985-1992. He's 86 years old.

Yeah, but he wasn't the candidate -- the Democratic candidate in 2014 was his son, also named George Sinner.

Of course Tongue
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #1722 on: December 25, 2014, 09:39:53 pm »

The house map looks like it could be a presidential one. 2014 and 2012 must be the first time you could say that.

I think generic D from MA and Kasich/Sandoval could very well produce this map in 2016.
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« Reply #1723 on: December 28, 2014, 07:18:13 am »

Note: in Florida 12,14,25,27 and Oklahoma 1, the Representatives were reelected without opposition and their races did not appear on the ballot. Florida 12,25,27 and Oklahoma 1 are represented by Republicans while Florida 14 is represented by a Democrat.

Interesting.  Do those states have laws permitting the elections to just be "assumed" if only one candidate declares?
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« Reply #1724 on: December 31, 2014, 09:03:25 pm »

Well, it seems as if Cochran's primary reachout effort impacted the GE after all...

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