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Author Topic: NY-01: More junk polling from Siena  (Read 1409 times)
Lief 🐋
Lief
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« on: November 01, 2014, 04:20:37 pm »

http://data.newsday.com/projects/long-island/bishop-zeldin-house-poll/

Zeldin 50
Bishop 45
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Devils30
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« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2014, 05:45:08 pm »

This is another one the dems will win back in 2016 if they lose Tuesday.
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cinyc
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« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2014, 06:00:17 pm »

This is another one the dems will win back in 2016 if they lose Tuesday.

It's an R+2 district, same as NY-11, primarily on Staten Island.  An incumbent Republican can hold the district, much like Peter King holds down his R+1 district without any problem.
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xavier110
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« Reply #3 on: November 01, 2014, 06:09:21 pm »

I dunno if this is junk polling looks very possible to me
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Devils30
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« Reply #4 on: November 01, 2014, 06:09:43 pm »

Hillary on the ballot will be a problem for the GOP. I expect her to match or exceed Gore on Long Island and Staten Island.
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cinyc
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« Reply #5 on: November 01, 2014, 06:14:37 pm »

Hillary on the ballot will be a problem for the GOP. I expect her to match or exceed Gore on Long Island and Staten Island.

Coattails are overrated.  Cuomo is going to win Staten Island big this cycle.  Grimm will still win NY-11.
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Paul Kemp
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« Reply #6 on: November 01, 2014, 06:27:50 pm »

Lee Zeldin is a horrible person. Shame on anyone who casts a ballot in his favor.
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Recalcuate
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« Reply #7 on: November 01, 2014, 06:31:02 pm »

Hillary on the ballot will be a problem for the GOP. I expect her to match or exceed Gore on Long Island and Staten Island.

Why do you assume that Hillary = magic in the lone Republican stronghold of New York City? I bet a good portion of the district has the exact opposite feeling about that particular Clinton.
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Devils30
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« Reply #8 on: November 01, 2014, 07:49:03 pm »

She appeals to the northeastern working class types who voted Gore in 2000 but Bush 2004, McCain 2008, Romney 2012. The home state effect will help her. Places like Nassau, Suffolk, Staten Island and Palm Beach county in Florida I expect will trend D with Hillary.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #9 on: November 05, 2014, 11:08:56 pm »

What a roll!

Wasserman noted that Siena might be the most accurate pollster of the cycle.
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