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December 14, 2019, 08:52:47 am
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  LA: PPP: Landrieu leads primary, close runoff
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Author Topic: LA: PPP: Landrieu leads primary, close runoff  (Read 5518 times)
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DrScholl
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« Reply #25 on: November 02, 2014, 11:35:03 am »

At the risk of being called names, I'm going to say it's not wise to underestimate Landrieu. Even if you hate Landrieu, you have to admit that she still has a chance, as she's been able to win before.
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Chief Justice windjammer
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« Reply #26 on: November 02, 2014, 08:17:33 pm »

Those are some startlingly good numbers for Landrieu in the runoff. Could she work a miracle yet again?

...the numbers are contingent on the December electorate being the same as this Tuesday's. And it obviously won't be.

Should we really be that dismissive though? Underestimating minority turnout in 2012 didn't turn out to be such a wise decision..

...which didn't include runoffs so talk about a completely pointless post.

In 2002, minority turnout didn't drop out during the run off Phil.
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KCDem
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« Reply #27 on: November 02, 2014, 08:32:46 pm »

Those are some startlingly good numbers for Landrieu in the runoff. Could she work a miracle yet again?

...the numbers are contingent on the December electorate being the same as this Tuesday's. And it obviously won't be.

Should we really be that dismissive though? Underestimating minority turnout in 2012 didn't turn out to be such a wise decision..

...which didn't include runoffs so talk about a completely pointless post.

In 2002, minority turnout didn't drop out during the run off Phil.

Don't try to reason with him, he doesn't live in reality.
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Badger
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« Reply #28 on: November 02, 2014, 08:52:42 pm »

Besides, he's a Pennsylvania Republican. Roll Eyes

Anyhoo, Landrieu has proven she knows how to win runoffs, so being a point down is hope. Runoff election dynamics are not the same in LA as in GA.

That said, there's a serious chance depending on the outcomes in CO, IA, AK, and KS that her (and Nunn's) runoff's could decide control of the Senate. In which case she goes from a fighting chance to probably screwed.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #29 on: November 02, 2014, 09:49:20 pm »

Those are some startlingly good numbers for Landrieu in the runoff. Could she work a miracle yet again?

...the numbers are contingent on the December electorate being the same as this Tuesday's. And it obviously won't be.

Should we really be that dismissive though? Underestimating minority turnout in 2012 didn't turn out to be such a wise decision..

...which didn't include runoffs so talk about a completely pointless post.

In 2002, minority turnout didn't drop out during the run off Phil.

I find that somewhat hard to believe and even if true, it's far more of an exception to the rule than the rule.
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Landslide Andy
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« Reply #30 on: November 02, 2014, 09:57:46 pm »

Those are some startlingly good numbers for Landrieu in the runoff. Could she work a miracle yet again?

...the numbers are contingent on the December electorate being the same as this Tuesday's. And it obviously won't be.

Should we really be that dismissive though? Underestimating minority turnout in 2012 didn't turn out to be such a wise decision..

...which didn't include runoffs so talk about a completely pointless post.

In 2002, minority turnout didn't drop out during the run off Phil.

I find that somewhat hard to believe and even if true, it's far more of an exception to the rule than the rule.

It's true. In 2002, minority turnout actually increased during the runoff. I don't think Louisiana can be lumped in with Georgia in this case.

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/06/10/upshot/how-black-turnout-could-decide-senate-control.html?abt=0002&abg=1
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #31 on: November 02, 2014, 10:03:43 pm »

Impressive but still an exception rather than the rule. And the state has also become more Republican since then with a much more toxic environment for the Dems.
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