FL-PPP: Exact tie

[IceSpear]

No poll has shown the criminal ahead since mid September, and Dems are performing extremely strongly in the early voting relative to 2010 (when the criminal won by a single point). Checkpoint Charlie will send the criminal to the hole on Tuesday.

[IceSpear]

If a Florida Dem is tied at this point, they lose on the ground. Scott the Survivor.

The RCP average in 2010 had Scott up 1.2. He won by 1.2. It now has Crist up 1.2, and Dems have cut the GOP early voting advantage from 13% in 2010 to a 4% advantage now. The criminal is finished.

Granted, the race never should've been this close to begin with, but that's a testament to the stupidity of the people of Florida more than anything else.

[IceSpear]

If a Florida Dem is tied at this point, they lose on the ground. Scott the Survivor.

The RCP average in 2010 had Scott up 1.2. He won by 1.2. It now has Crist up 1.2, and Dems have cut the GOP early voting advantage from 13% in 2010 to a 4% advantage now. The criminal is finished.

Granted, the race never should've been this close to begin with, but that's a testament to the stupidity of the people of Florida more than anything else.

No, it's a testament to the $70 million Scott has spent so far compared to the $30 million Crist spent. The only reason it's close is because of all the money he's throwing at the state but w/e floats your boat.

Would John Edwards win an election again in NC if he had a good PR team and a $100 million war chest?

[IceSpear]

The cross tabs should scare the GOP. Nearly every undecided is in the age 18-44 range and Hispanics are still 15% undecided.

And this result, along with Sarvis in 2013 and Umbehr this year, should challenge the conventional wisdom that "libertarians always hurt Republicans".

[IceSpear]

Democrats sure are optimistic if they think a poll showing the race tied means they're going to win.

Crist probably has a slight edge, but nothing would really surprise me here.

It's just one poll. If you combine it with Quinnipiac, SUSA, and the early voting numbers, it's not hard to see why Dems should be optimistic. Plus, this very poll shows Crist has more room to grow.