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Author Topic: AK (PPP) Walker up 1  (Read 3102 times)
Southern Delegate Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
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« on: November 02, 2014, 11:46:48 pm »

46/45, 48/47 with Leaners.

https://twitter.com/ppppolls
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KCDem
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« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2014, 11:52:42 pm »

Glorious news! Oil Slick Parnell is about to be cleaned up Cheesy
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Castro
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« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2014, 11:53:07 pm »

Safe Tossup
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2014, 12:49:20 am »

This is probably the toughest race of the night to pick. Polls are all over the place, the dynamics are incredibly weird, and you have to factor in the fact that Parnell hasn't been a bad Governor, just caught in a bad situation.

I'm going with lean Parnell, but who knows...
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Maxwell
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« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2014, 12:51:14 am »

Gonna stick with Parnell because Alaska.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2014, 12:52:39 am »

Gonna stick with Parnell because Alaska.

Yup. He's a Republican and an incumbent in Alaska. And Walker isn't ahead by double digits in the polls.
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fuck nazis
RI
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« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2014, 01:22:30 am »

If the incumbent bias hypothesis is true, Parnell and Begich both pull it out at this point.
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shua
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« Reply #7 on: November 04, 2014, 04:48:19 pm »

full results:

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2014/09/close-alaska-races-for-senate-governor.html

true to form, they ask a whole bunch of questions about the Palins but none about the marijuana or mining ballot questions.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #8 on: November 04, 2014, 05:00:06 pm »

Safe Tossup

Haha, exactly.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #9 on: November 05, 2014, 06:08:36 pm »

Wow, PPP successfully polled Alaska. Most impressive.
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Bevinevitable
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« Reply #10 on: November 05, 2014, 06:10:47 pm »

Wow, PPP successfully polled Alaska. Most impressive.

Ironic considering most of their other polls were horrible.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #11 on: November 05, 2014, 07:17:07 pm »

Wow, PPP successfully polled Alaska. Most impressive.

Ironic considering most of their other polls were horrible.

Seems like most polls were pretty bad this cycle.
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RI
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« Reply #12 on: November 05, 2014, 08:25:29 pm »

If the incumbent bias hypothesis is true, Parnell and Begich both pull it out at this point.

So, can we put this to bed now?
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Bevinevitable
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« Reply #13 on: November 05, 2014, 08:30:55 pm »

If the incumbent bias hypothesis is true, Parnell and Begich both pull it out at this point.

So, can we put this to bed now?

Yes, and we can also put the "D bias" one to bed too.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #14 on: November 05, 2014, 08:31:55 pm »

Eh, Parnell could still win. Let's wait and see.
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fuck nazis
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