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Author Topic: IA-PPP: Ernst +1  (Read 2919 times)
Lief 🐋
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« on: November 03, 2014, 09:28:51 am »

http://cdn.americanprogressaction.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/11/IAPoll_toplines.pdf

Ernst 48
Braley 47
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« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2014, 09:30:32 am »

Does PPP have a good track record in IA? Is it as good as it is in VA/NC/CO?
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« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2014, 09:33:31 am »

Ernst leading by 1 in PPP's pushiest pull is a good sign for her.
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« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2014, 09:33:56 am »

Close race, but it looks like Ernst still has a slight edge.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2014, 09:36:01 am »

Ernst leading by 1 in PPP's pushiest pull is a good sign for her.

Meh, the pushing doesn't happen until after they've asked the horse-race question.
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« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2014, 09:38:33 am »

Does PPP have a good track record in IA? Is it as good as it is in VA/NC/CO?

Nope!

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« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2014, 09:38:53 am »

PPP I think is releasing another Iowa poll today that isn't an internal.
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« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2014, 09:41:03 am »

Ernst leading by 1 in PPP's pushiest pull is a good sign for her.

They asked the horserace question before all that other stuff (actually the only question that came before the horserace one was how likely people were to vote).  I don't think these numbers are a good sign for Ernst (although it's obviously better to be ahead then behind).  If anything, this poll suggests that the race is close enough that a strong ground-game could allow Braley to pull off a narrow win.  What worries me is the Des Moines Register poll.  Someone's going to have egg on their face Wednesday morning.
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« Reply #8 on: November 03, 2014, 10:05:39 am »

This is an internal, obviously.
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Miles
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« Reply #9 on: November 03, 2014, 10:08:05 am »

Does PPP have a good track record in IA? Is it as good as it is in VA/NC/CO?

Actually, looks like they've leaned R in IA in previous cycles. The only has Obama winning by 2 in '12 and overestimated Branstad in '10.
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« Reply #10 on: November 03, 2014, 10:15:50 am »

Does PPP have a good track record in IA? Is it as good as it is in VA/NC/CO?

Doesn't matter. This is not a PPP Poll. It's a PPP Poll for American Progress Action, a left leaning advocacy group. It should be designated PPP/APA (D).

It looks more like a push poll to me the way it is worded.

Again, a little intellectual honesty here. Like the CO results, when PPP comes out with its own poll, Ernst's lead may grow. Gardner went from tied in the PPP/LCV (D) poll to +3 in the non-partisan poll.
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Governor Misses: CO, KS, IL, FL, MD
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« Reply #11 on: November 03, 2014, 10:17:15 am »

PPP will have another one today, the real one.
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« Reply #12 on: November 03, 2014, 10:17:39 am »

A push poll asks negative questions before the horse race question and it has been stated above that the horse race question was asked before anything else.
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« Reply #13 on: November 03, 2014, 10:20:10 am »

PPP will have another one today, the real one.

Any word on the release time?
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« Reply #14 on: November 03, 2014, 10:22:09 am »

Does PPP have a good track record in IA? Is it as good as it is in VA/NC/CO?

Doesn't matter. This is not a PPP Poll. It's a PPP Poll for American Progress Action, a left leaning advocacy group. It should be designated PPP/APA (D).

It looks more like a push poll to me the way it is worded.

Again, a little intellectual honesty here. Like the CO results, when PPP comes out with its own poll, Ernst's lead may grow. Gardner went from tied in the PPP/LCV (D) poll to +3 in the non-partisan poll.

Your points have been refuted again and again. You're not contributing anything to this discussion. Now shush.
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Recalcuate
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« Reply #15 on: November 03, 2014, 10:33:47 am »

Does PPP have a good track record in IA? Is it as good as it is in VA/NC/CO?

Doesn't matter. This is not a PPP Poll. It's a PPP Poll for American Progress Action, a left leaning advocacy group. It should be designated PPP/APA (D).

It looks more like a push poll to me the way it is worded.

Again, a little intellectual honesty here. Like the CO results, when PPP comes out with its own poll, Ernst's lead may grow. Gardner went from tied in the PPP/LCV (D) poll to +3 in the non-partisan poll.

Your points have been refuted again and again. You're not contributing anything to this discussion. Now shush.

Refuted? See Colorado. I rest my case.

PPP is not releasing this as their poll. It came from APA directly.
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Senate Misses: NC
Governor Misses: CO, KS, IL, FL, MD
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