Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
December 07, 2019, 11:27:09 am
News: 2020 Presidential Predictions (General) are now active.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls
  2014 Senatorial Election Polls
  NC: PPP: Hagan +3
« previous next »
Pages: 1 [2] Print
Author Topic: NC: PPP: Hagan +3  (Read 4994 times)
bedstuy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,546


Political Matrix
E: -1.16, S: -4.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #25 on: October 20, 2014, 02:36:49 pm »

While anything is technically possible, I can't imagine a world where national mood the Republicans pick up the Senate, but NC elects a Democrat. Something has got to give.

What's so implausible about this scenario where the Republicans hit 51 Senate seats? 



That scenario is basically Democrats winning the competitive races in the 2008 Obama states and Republican winning in the 2008 McCain states.  That's why I'm a pessimist about the Democrats keeping the Senate.  Republicans need to lose a competitive races in either Arkansas, Louisiana, Georgia, Alaska, Kansas or South Dakota, while Democrats win all the competitive races in swing states like North Carolina, Iowa and Colorado.
Logged
KCDem
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,929


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #26 on: October 20, 2014, 02:38:54 pm »

While anything is technically possible, I can't imagine a world where national mood the Republicans pick up the Senate, but NC elects a Democrat. Something has got to give.

The early voting for Republicans in NC is off to a good start. Something I'm not used to seeing, because Democrats dominate Republicans in early voting every election.

They dominate in-person early voting, not by mail early voting.
Logged
○∙◄☻tπ[╪AV┼cV└
jfern
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 46,682


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #27 on: October 21, 2014, 12:48:14 am »

This race has been pretty consistent.
Logged
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,964


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #28 on: October 21, 2014, 05:20:43 am »

While anything is technically possible, I can't imagine a world where national mood the Republicans pick up the Senate, but NC elects a Democrat. Something has got to give.

It's a world where African American voters turn out in high numbers for a midterm election but the rest of the Obama coalition falls off and independents don't turn out.
Logged
krazen1211
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,376


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #29 on: November 05, 2014, 01:52:34 am »



Hahahahahahahahaha! No.
Logged
Pages: 1 [2] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC