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Author Topic: GA-InsiderAdvantage: Deal+2  (Read 986 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: November 03, 2014, 01:06:20 pm »

In the governorís contest, Republican incumbent Nathan Deal has 47 percent, Democrat Jason Carter with 44 percent and Libertarian Andrew Hunt with 5. There are 4 percent undecided in this race, too.

The survey was conducted of 1,463 likely voters and has a 3 percent margin of error. It was conducted by automated recordings on Sunday night.

http://chronicle.augusta.com/politics/2014-11-03/runoffs-likely-poll-indicates
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Castro
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« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2014, 02:21:45 pm »

As long as Hunt stays above 4.5%, this one looks to be going to a runoff
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Recalcuate
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« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2014, 02:27:55 pm »

As long as Hunt stays above 4.5%, this one looks to be going to a runoff

If history is any indication, it's unlikely Hunt will do that. The last libertarian to run was an NAACP county chair and finished with 4%. It was the only time a libertarian finished with over 100,000 votes in a state-wide Georgia race.

3-4% is more realistic for libertarians in Georgia governors races, although Hunt has been a decent candidate as far as Ls go.

It's probably about 50/50 the governor's race goes to a runoff though.
« Last Edit: November 03, 2014, 02:29:28 pm by Recalcuate »Logged

2014 Predictions
Senate Misses: NC
Governor Misses: CO, KS, IL, FL, MD
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