Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 19, 2019, 04:11:49 pm
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls
  ME: MPRC (D) Michaud +1
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 Print
Author Topic: ME: MPRC (D) Michaud +1  (Read 5476 times)
njwes
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 376
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 03, 2014, 03:33:14 pm »

LePage (R): 44.4%
Michaud (D): 44.7%
Cutler (I): 9.2%
Undecided: 1.6%

MoE: +/- 3.25%

Link
Logged
Joshua
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,458
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: -5.91

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2014, 03:43:07 pm »
« Edited: November 03, 2014, 03:48:35 pm by Joshua »

Michaud +1 as in he's +1 since their last survey??

[Edit]: Well, I guess he's technically +1 if you round...
Logged
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,878
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2014, 03:48:15 pm »

Looks like UNH is set to get embarrassed...again.
Logged
njwes
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 376
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2014, 04:01:39 pm »

Michaud +1 as in he's +1 since their last survey??

[Edit]: Well, I guess he's technically +1 if you round...

+1.3 just seems silly Wink
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,644
Dominica


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2014, 05:32:04 pm »

Wonderful news!
Logged
shua
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,319
Nepal


Political Matrix
E: 1.29, S: -0.70

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2014, 05:36:11 pm »

Michaud +1 as in he's +1 since their last survey??

[Edit]: Well, I guess he's technically +1 if you round...

+1.3 just seems silly Wink

you mean .3?  that would be a "tie."
Logged
Thomas D
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,900
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.84, S: -6.61

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2014, 05:36:30 pm »

This is going to be so close.
Logged
Free Bird
TheHawk
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,748
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2014, 05:44:55 pm »

D firm with Decimals
Logged
Badger
badger
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 22,311
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: November 03, 2014, 06:06:16 pm »

Even with people casting protest votes and some low-info voters unaware Cutler has dropped out, there's no way he's approaching 10% tomorrow. Most of those voters will go for Michaud.
Logged
njwes
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 376
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: November 03, 2014, 06:32:59 pm »

Michaud +1 as in he's +1 since their last survey??

[Edit]: Well, I guess he's technically +1 if you round...

+1.3 just seems silly Wink

you mean .3?  that would be a "tie."

Oh lol whoops. Oh well, my bad. Margin of error!
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,644
Dominica


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: November 03, 2014, 08:38:20 pm »

New Poll: Maine Governor by Maine People's Research Center on 2014-11-02

Summary: D: 45%, R: 44%, I: 9%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28,710
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: November 03, 2014, 09:02:20 pm »

This will be the last race I move, but I still think LePage has a good chance of pulling an upset and winning.
Logged
Badger
badger
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 22,311
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: November 03, 2014, 09:05:50 pm »

This will be the last race I move, but I still think LePage has a good chance of pulling an upset and winning.

By winning a majority of the inevitable dropoff of Cutler voters? How does that happen?
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28,710
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: November 03, 2014, 09:06:42 pm »

This will be the last race I move, but I still think LePage has a good chance of pulling an upset and winning.

By winning a majority of the inevitable dropoff of Cutler voters? How does that happen?

Or former Cutler voters just not showing up. Or the general upward direction that LePage has felt over the course of the campaign catching up at the polls.
Logged
KCDem
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,932


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: November 03, 2014, 09:15:25 pm »

This will be the last race I move, but I still think LePage has a good chance of pulling an upset and winning.

By winning a majority of the inevitable dropoff of Cutler voters? How does that happen?

Or former Cutler voters just not showing up. Or the general upward direction that LePage has felt over the course of the campaign catching up at the polls.

What upward direction? LePage has been stuck at 40% the entire campaign.
Logged
shua
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,319
Nepal


Political Matrix
E: 1.29, S: -0.70

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: November 03, 2014, 09:18:30 pm »
« Edited: November 03, 2014, 09:22:52 pm by shua »

Even with people casting protest votes and some low-info voters unaware Cutler has dropped out, there's no way he's approaching 10% tomorrow. Most of those voters will go for Michaud.

Cutler hasn't dropped out.  It is expected that his support has been cut in half, but there's no reason to expect it will evaporate completely.
Logged
20PETE20
20RP12
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28,167
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: November 03, 2014, 09:25:12 pm »

Dominating!!!!
Logged
Rockefeller GOP
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,963
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: November 03, 2014, 09:25:34 pm »

I think people underestimate how many people are going to happily trot to the polls and vote for Cutler.
Logged
Badger
badger
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 22,311
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: November 03, 2014, 09:36:48 pm »

Even with people casting protest votes and some low-info voters unaware Cutler has dropped out, there's no way he's approaching 10% tomorrow. Most of those voters will go for Michaud.

Cutler hasn't dropped out.  It is expected that his support has been cut in half, but there's no reason to expect it will evaporate completely.

Let's not debate semantics between a "suspended" campaign and "dropping out".

I don't see how Cutler voters not showing up to the polls helps LePage one iota. A liberal independent suspending his campaign two weeks before election day is bound to help the Democrat in what was all ready a neck and neck race with an arch-conservative.
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28,710
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: November 03, 2014, 09:43:06 pm »

Even with people casting protest votes and some low-info voters unaware Cutler has dropped out, there's no way he's approaching 10% tomorrow. Most of those voters will go for Michaud.

Cutler hasn't dropped out.  It is expected that his support has been cut in half, but there's no reason to expect it will evaporate completely.

Let's not debate semantics between a "suspended" campaign and "dropping out".

I don't see how Cutler voters not showing up to the polls helps LePage one iota. A liberal independent suspending his campaign two weeks before election day is bound to help the Democrat in what was all ready a neck and neck race with an arch-conservative.


It's not good news for LePage that Cutler has moved out. What I'm saying is, the general movement of this race, it may not matter, especially if Cutler voters feel so meh about Michaud that they just decide not to vote. If a large portion of Cutler voters just don't show up, then LePage has a shot. If former Cutler voters come in in large numbers to vote for Michaud, then chances are LePage loses by 2-3 points (last PPP poll had LePage within 5 of Michaud in a head to head, chances are with the few Cutler voters still left, that reduces a good amount).
Logged
shua
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,319
Nepal


Political Matrix
E: 1.29, S: -0.70

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: November 03, 2014, 10:14:27 pm »

Even with people casting protest votes and some low-info voters unaware Cutler has dropped out, there's no way he's approaching 10% tomorrow. Most of those voters will go for Michaud.

Cutler hasn't dropped out.  It is expected that his support has been cut in half, but there's no reason to expect it will evaporate completely.

Let's not debate semantics between a "suspended" campaign and "dropping out".

I don't see how Cutler voters not showing up to the polls helps LePage one iota. A liberal independent suspending his campaign two weeks before election day is bound to help the Democrat in what was all ready a neck and neck race with an arch-conservative.


A suspended campaign doesn't continue to buy TV ads.  That's not just semantics.
Logged
WeAreDoomed
outofbox6
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,617
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: November 04, 2014, 12:42:17 pm »

Thinking Lepage may actually pull this off again!
Logged
Hugo Award nominee
Nathan
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20,705


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: November 04, 2014, 12:43:04 pm »

気持ち悪い。
Logged
njwes
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 376
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: November 04, 2014, 01:19:19 pm »

気持ち悪い。

素晴らしい!

Literally no sense though of who will win this one, another exciting one.
Logged
Hugo Award nominee
Nathan
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20,705


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: November 04, 2014, 01:22:41 pm »

気持ち悪い。

素晴らしい!

Literally no sense though of who will win this one, another exciting one.

It's both. It's 素晴らしい that it's this close because you're right, it is exciting; it's 気持ち悪い that it's this close because Paul fucking LePage, although I don't expect you to agree on that.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC