Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
August 22, 2018, 12:51:36 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  Election Archive
| | |-+  All Archived Boards
| | | |-+  2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls
| | | | |-+  ME: MPRC (D) Michaud +1
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 Print
Author Topic: ME: MPRC (D) Michaud +1  (Read 5020 times)
njwes
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 370
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 03, 2014, 03:33:14 pm »

LePage (R): 44.4%
Michaud (D): 44.7%
Cutler (I): 9.2%
Undecided: 1.6%

MoE: +/- 3.25%

Link
Logged
Joshua
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,341
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: -5.91

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2014, 03:43:07 pm »

Michaud +1 as in he's +1 since their last survey??

[Edit]: Well, I guess he's technically +1 if you round...
« Last Edit: November 03, 2014, 03:48:35 pm by Joshua »Logged
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 25,393
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2014, 03:48:15 pm »

Looks like UNH is set to get embarrassed...again.
Logged

njwes
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 370
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2014, 04:01:39 pm »

Michaud +1 as in he's +1 since their last survey??

[Edit]: Well, I guess he's technically +1 if you round...

+1.3 just seems silly Wink
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,666
Dominica


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2014, 05:32:04 pm »

Wonderful news!
Logged

fuck nazis
shua
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,171
Nepal


View Profile WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2014, 05:36:11 pm »

Michaud +1 as in he's +1 since their last survey??

[Edit]: Well, I guess he's technically +1 if you round...

+1.3 just seems silly Wink

you mean .3?  that would be a "tie."
Logged

"Darkness makes a great canvas" - unidentified man

Thomas D
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,863
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.84, S: -6.61

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2014, 05:36:30 pm »

This is going to be so close.
Logged
Free Bird
TheHawk
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,180
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2014, 05:44:55 pm »

D firm with Decimals
Logged

I feel liberal and around conservatives and conservative around liberals. Seems I canít win.
Badger
badger
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,267
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: November 03, 2014, 06:06:16 pm »

Even with people casting protest votes and some low-info voters unaware Cutler has dropped out, there's no way he's approaching 10% tomorrow. Most of those voters will go for Michaud.
Logged

In America, it's easier to con somebody than to convince them they've been conned.-- Mark Twain.
njwes
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 370
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: November 03, 2014, 06:32:59 pm »

Michaud +1 as in he's +1 since their last survey??

[Edit]: Well, I guess he's technically +1 if you round...

+1.3 just seems silly Wink

you mean .3?  that would be a "tie."

Oh lol whoops. Oh well, my bad. Margin of error!
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,666
Dominica


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: November 03, 2014, 08:38:20 pm »

New Poll: Maine Governor by Maine People's Research Center on 2014-11-02

Summary: D: 45%, R: 44%, I: 9%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged

fuck nazis
Maxwell
mah519
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28,750
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: November 03, 2014, 09:02:20 pm »

This will be the last race I move, but I still think LePage has a good chance of pulling an upset and winning.
Logged
Badger
badger
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,267
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: November 03, 2014, 09:05:50 pm »

This will be the last race I move, but I still think LePage has a good chance of pulling an upset and winning.

By winning a majority of the inevitable dropoff of Cutler voters? How does that happen?
Logged

In America, it's easier to con somebody than to convince them they've been conned.-- Mark Twain.
Maxwell
mah519
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28,750
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: November 03, 2014, 09:06:42 pm »

This will be the last race I move, but I still think LePage has a good chance of pulling an upset and winning.

By winning a majority of the inevitable dropoff of Cutler voters? How does that happen?

Or former Cutler voters just not showing up. Or the general upward direction that LePage has felt over the course of the campaign catching up at the polls.
Logged
KCDem
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,932


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: November 03, 2014, 09:15:25 pm »

This will be the last race I move, but I still think LePage has a good chance of pulling an upset and winning.

By winning a majority of the inevitable dropoff of Cutler voters? How does that happen?

Or former Cutler voters just not showing up. Or the general upward direction that LePage has felt over the course of the campaign catching up at the polls.

What upward direction? LePage has been stuck at 40% the entire campaign.
Logged
shua
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,171
Nepal


View Profile WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: November 03, 2014, 09:18:30 pm »

Even with people casting protest votes and some low-info voters unaware Cutler has dropped out, there's no way he's approaching 10% tomorrow. Most of those voters will go for Michaud.

Cutler hasn't dropped out.  It is expected that his support has been cut in half, but there's no reason to expect it will evaporate completely.
« Last Edit: November 03, 2014, 09:22:52 pm by shua »Logged

"Darkness makes a great canvas" - unidentified man

R2D2
20RP12
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 27,692
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -7.48

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: November 03, 2014, 09:25:12 pm »

Dominating!!!!
Logged



Jimmy Garoppolo win percentage (as of Feb. 2018): 100%
Rockefeller GOP
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,971
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: November 03, 2014, 09:25:34 pm »

I think people underestimate how many people are going to happily trot to the polls and vote for Cutler.
Logged

"That some should be rich shows that others may become rich, and hence is just encouragement to industry and enterprise. Let not him who is houseless pull down the house of another; but let him labor diligently and build one for himself, thus by example assuring that his own shall be safe from violence built"

- Abraham Lincoln



Economic: +1.94
Social: -2.96
Badger
badger
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,267
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: November 03, 2014, 09:36:48 pm »

Even with people casting protest votes and some low-info voters unaware Cutler has dropped out, there's no way he's approaching 10% tomorrow. Most of those voters will go for Michaud.

Cutler hasn't dropped out.  It is expected that his support has been cut in half, but there's no reason to expect it will evaporate completely.

Let's not debate semantics between a "suspended" campaign and "dropping out".

I don't see how Cutler voters not showing up to the polls helps LePage one iota. A liberal independent suspending his campaign two weeks before election day is bound to help the Democrat in what was all ready a neck and neck race with an arch-conservative.
Logged

In America, it's easier to con somebody than to convince them they've been conned.-- Mark Twain.
Maxwell
mah519
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28,750
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: November 03, 2014, 09:43:06 pm »

Even with people casting protest votes and some low-info voters unaware Cutler has dropped out, there's no way he's approaching 10% tomorrow. Most of those voters will go for Michaud.

Cutler hasn't dropped out.  It is expected that his support has been cut in half, but there's no reason to expect it will evaporate completely.

Let's not debate semantics between a "suspended" campaign and "dropping out".

I don't see how Cutler voters not showing up to the polls helps LePage one iota. A liberal independent suspending his campaign two weeks before election day is bound to help the Democrat in what was all ready a neck and neck race with an arch-conservative.


It's not good news for LePage that Cutler has moved out. What I'm saying is, the general movement of this race, it may not matter, especially if Cutler voters feel so meh about Michaud that they just decide not to vote. If a large portion of Cutler voters just don't show up, then LePage has a shot. If former Cutler voters come in in large numbers to vote for Michaud, then chances are LePage loses by 2-3 points (last PPP poll had LePage within 5 of Michaud in a head to head, chances are with the few Cutler voters still left, that reduces a good amount).
Logged
shua
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,171
Nepal


View Profile WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: November 03, 2014, 10:14:27 pm »

Even with people casting protest votes and some low-info voters unaware Cutler has dropped out, there's no way he's approaching 10% tomorrow. Most of those voters will go for Michaud.

Cutler hasn't dropped out.  It is expected that his support has been cut in half, but there's no reason to expect it will evaporate completely.

Let's not debate semantics between a "suspended" campaign and "dropping out".

I don't see how Cutler voters not showing up to the polls helps LePage one iota. A liberal independent suspending his campaign two weeks before election day is bound to help the Democrat in what was all ready a neck and neck race with an arch-conservative.


A suspended campaign doesn't continue to buy TV ads.  That's not just semantics.
Logged

"Darkness makes a great canvas" - unidentified man

WeAreDoomed
outofbox6
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,566
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: November 04, 2014, 12:42:17 pm »

Thinking Lepage may actually pull this off again!
Logged
Trounce-'em Theresa
Nathan
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,626


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: November 04, 2014, 12:43:04 pm »

気持ち悪い。
Logged



Professor Nathan. A shameless agrarian collectivist with no respect for private property or individual rights. Can you really trust him?

Yeah that's right, I said Siam. Why don't you go tell Pedro Martinez
njwes
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 370
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: November 04, 2014, 01:19:19 pm »

気持ち悪い。

素晴らしい!

Literally no sense though of who will win this one, another exciting one.
Logged
Trounce-'em Theresa
Nathan
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,626


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: November 04, 2014, 01:22:41 pm »

気持ち悪い。

素晴らしい!

Literally no sense though of who will win this one, another exciting one.

It's both. It's 素晴らしい that it's this close because you're right, it is exciting; it's 気持ち悪い that it's this close because Paul fucking LePage, although I don't expect you to agree on that.
Logged



Professor Nathan. A shameless agrarian collectivist with no respect for private property or individual rights. Can you really trust him?

Yeah that's right, I said Siam. Why don't you go tell Pedro Martinez
Pages: [1] 2 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines