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| | | | | |-+  PPP: Perdue +1, Orman +1, Hagan +2, Shaheen +2, Ernst +3 (search mode)
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Author Topic: PPP: Perdue +1, Orman +1, Hagan +2, Shaheen +2, Ernst +3  (Read 25267 times)
Recalcuate
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« on: November 03, 2014, 06:40:20 pm »

I actually think there's a >50% chance Perdue wins outright tomorrow. Some of these Libertarian candidates are going to collapse in the actual results.

I'd put it at 2:1 going to a runoff for Perdue/Nunn with Deal/Carter at 50/50. The Senate libertarian should finish in the 2-3% range.  The Governor libertarian should finish in the 3-4% range historically.
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Recalcuate
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« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2014, 10:18:17 pm »

I have a gut feeling that Nunn could win tomorrow night. I think Orman's gonna win. Iowa's the biggest wild card. I literally won't be surprised either way.

Win the election for the night or win the election and avoid the runoff?

It's possible, but looking unlikely that she wins the night.
It's very unlikely she clears 50% +1.

Most likely scenario is Perdue lead, but runoff.
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