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Author Topic: MI-Mitchell Research: Deadlocked  (Read 2624 times)
Bevinevitable
IceSpear
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« on: November 03, 2014, 07:39:35 pm »

Snyder 47
Schauer 47

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2014/Mitchell_MI_110314.pdf
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Bevinevitable
IceSpear
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« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2014, 07:39:58 pm »

Schauer is surging at just the right time!

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Illuminati Blood Drinker
phwezer
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« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2014, 07:42:03 pm »

Fingers f[inks]ing crossed.

Now if only we could kick out Walker...Sad
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2014, 07:43:07 pm »

Holy crap. I literally have no idea what to predict in Wisconsin and Michigan at the moment. I suspect we lose both by like 1% though. Sad
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fuck nazis
Bevinevitable
IceSpear
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« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2014, 07:44:18 pm »

Holy crap. I literally have no idea what to predict in Wisconsin and Michigan at the moment. I suspect we lose both by like 1% though. Sad

I'm predicting Snyder loses and Walker wins. I'd rather have it vice versa, but I'll take what I can get...
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KCDem
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« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2014, 07:49:52 pm »

GLORIOUS NEWS!

I called it Cheesy
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Maxwell
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« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2014, 07:54:05 pm »

After this, Snyder's gonna need a nice hot Schauer! Am I right guys?
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2014, 07:55:40 pm »

After this, Snyder's gonna need a nice hot Schauer! Am I right guys?

Damn! Respect.
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KCDem
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« Reply #8 on: November 03, 2014, 07:57:12 pm »

Blacks at only 12% of the sample? Believable? I don't think so.
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Bevinevitable
IceSpear
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« Reply #9 on: November 03, 2014, 08:11:53 pm »

Blacks at only 12% of the sample? Believable? I don't think so.

It was 16% in 2012, so assuming midterm dropoff, it's not completely unbelievable.

But here's what makes Snyder in really deep dookie:

Quote
Schauer has a big lead among absentee voters (57%-40%) while Snyder leads with those planning to vote tomorrow (50%-43%). The Democrats have focused on their absentee voter program and results from this poll indicate that effort has been successful.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #10 on: November 03, 2014, 08:18:56 pm »

New Poll: Michigan Governor by Mitchell Research on 2014-11-02

Summary: D: 47%, R: 47%, I: 4%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Badger
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« Reply #11 on: November 03, 2014, 09:02:10 pm »

I'm REALLY starting to think Snyder could blow this.
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In America, it's easier to con somebody than to convince them they've been conned.-- Mark Twain.
Marston
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« Reply #12 on: November 04, 2014, 12:59:41 am »

...trying not to be optimistic, but all the indicators look good. Having a GOP shill firm like Mitchell put out a tie is telling.
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Southern Delegate Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
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« Reply #13 on: November 04, 2014, 01:01:36 am »

I have this at Snyder >40%, rather than >50%, for a reason. I won't be surprised if Schauer pulls off the slight upset.
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Marston
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« Reply #14 on: November 04, 2014, 02:07:22 am »

It's been overshadowed by Terri Lynn Land's joke of a campaign, but Snyder actually hasn't ran a very good race at all. You can really tell he just hates retail politicking and has an aversion to conflict. He also really didn't start doing anything until September, allowing Schauer to define himself as a legitimate alternative.

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