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  MI-Mitchell Research: Deadlocked (search mode)
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Author Topic: MI-Mitchell Research: Deadlocked  (Read 3116 times)
Landslide Andy
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Posts: 31,727
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Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P

« on: November 03, 2014, 07:39:35 pm »

Snyder 47
Schauer 47

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2014/Mitchell_MI_110314.pdf
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Landslide Andy
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31,727
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P

« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2014, 07:39:58 pm »

Schauer is surging at just the right time!

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Landslide Andy
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31,727
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P

« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2014, 07:44:18 pm »

Holy crap. I literally have no idea what to predict in Wisconsin and Michigan at the moment. I suspect we lose both by like 1% though. Sad

I'm predicting Snyder loses and Walker wins. I'd rather have it vice versa, but I'll take what I can get...
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Landslide Andy
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31,727
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P

« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2014, 08:11:53 pm »

Blacks at only 12% of the sample? Believable? I don't think so.

It was 16% in 2012, so assuming midterm dropoff, it's not completely unbelievable.

But here's what makes Snyder in really deep dookie:

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