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Author Topic: LA-Sen Runoff: Magellan has Cassidy up big  (Read 4118 times)
ModerateVAVoter
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« on: November 13, 2014, 06:21:54 pm »

Cassidy (R): 56.6
Landrieu (D): 40.5

Link


Sorry, Miles.
« Last Edit: November 13, 2014, 06:33:29 pm by ModerateVAVoter »Logged

Economic: 0.65, Social: -1.57
Lief 🐋
Lief
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« Reply #1 on: November 13, 2014, 06:23:27 pm »

It's sort of a push poll, but yeah, looks about right. RIP, HP.
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fuck nazis
Bevinevitable
IceSpear
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« Reply #2 on: November 13, 2014, 06:46:36 pm »

>internal
>Magellan

Maybe Landrieu can keep this within single digits after all!
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krazen1211
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« Reply #3 on: November 13, 2014, 07:39:49 pm »

>internal
>Magellan

Maybe Landrieu can keep this within single digits after all!

Someone remembered that 2014 polls were skewed. Someone skewed them in the wrong direction.


As proof:

Lock: Crist wins
Upset: Schauer beats Snyder
Bold Prediction: Deal cracks 50% and avoids a runoff.



Almost as funny as the internal showing Hogan ahead.
« Last Edit: November 13, 2014, 07:47:08 pm by krazen1211 »Logged
Bevinevitable
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« Reply #4 on: November 13, 2014, 07:50:09 pm »

Yeah, even in a year where polls across the board had a Democratic bias, Magellan still had a Republican bias. That should tell you something.
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Dixie Reborn
BeyondTruthAndIdeals
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« Reply #5 on: November 13, 2014, 08:12:52 pm »

Well, f**k.
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SWE
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« Reply #6 on: November 13, 2014, 08:44:51 pm »

Safe r
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Flake
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« Reply #7 on: November 13, 2014, 08:49:35 pm »

RIP, FF.
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Recalcuate
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« Reply #8 on: November 13, 2014, 09:11:32 pm »

All the Keystone pipelines in all of the world won't be big enough to help Mary Landrieu.
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Senate Misses: NC
Governor Misses: CO, KS, IL, FL, MD
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jfern
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« Reply #9 on: November 13, 2014, 09:13:06 pm »

All the Keystone pipelines in all of the world won't be big enough to help Mary Landrieu.

"What if we approve some pipelines the oil industry hasn't asked for yet? And sell our souls to the devil? Then can Mary get some more votes?" -Senate Democrats
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KCDem
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« Reply #10 on: November 13, 2014, 09:49:44 pm »

 her, and  Keystone XL.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #11 on: November 14, 2014, 07:13:17 am »

New Poll: Louisiana Senator by Magellan Strategies on 2014-11-12

Summary: D: 41%, R: 57%, I: 0%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Maistre
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« Reply #12 on: November 14, 2014, 10:01:35 am »

What excellent numbers for the good Doctor.
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CapoteMonster
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« Reply #13 on: November 14, 2014, 10:03:01 am »

All the Keystone pipelines in all of the world won't be big enough to help Mary Landrieu.

"What if we approve some pipelines the oil industry hasn't asked for yet? And sell our souls to the devil? Then can Mary get some more votes?" -Senate Democrats
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #14 on: November 15, 2014, 02:42:35 am »

"I've got a pipeline, real pipes, real oil!!!" - Mary Landrieu Tongue

That would make one hell of an image.

Sorry Polnut. Wink
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #15 on: November 15, 2014, 03:40:37 pm »

>internal
>Magellan

Maybe Landrieu can keep this within single digits after all!

Republican internals have been the most accurate polls of the cycle
« Last Edit: November 15, 2014, 05:33:11 pm by ElectionsGuy »Logged
King Francis I
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« Reply #16 on: November 15, 2014, 03:44:27 pm »

RIP Sad
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Flake
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« Reply #17 on: November 16, 2014, 12:45:47 pm »

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/224141-internal-poll-cassidy-surges-ahead-in-louisiana

This is an internal poll
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Bevinevitable
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« Reply #18 on: November 18, 2014, 07:58:25 pm »

>internal
>Magellan

Maybe Landrieu can keep this within single digits after all!

Republican internals have been the most accurate polls of the cycle

Not Magellan.

Anyway, you guys (deservedly) bashed the Democrats who talked about how Democratic internals should be taken at face value because of 2012, but now you're going to do the same thing in reverse?
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #19 on: November 18, 2014, 11:07:09 pm »

>internal
>Magellan

Maybe Landrieu can keep this within single digits after all!

Republican internals have been the most accurate polls of the cycle

Not Magellan.

Anyway, you guys (deservedly) bashed the Democrats who talked about how Democratic internals should be taken at face value because of 2012, but now you're going to do the same thing in reverse?

The thing is I'm referring to a fact of how bad the polls were this cycle that R internals were more accurate than many solid pollsters. The democrats that defended D internals defended it because of their result in 2012, not seeing the result of the pollsters through this cycle. I'm not defending R internals, and the internals should continue to be shameful so long as polling doesn't continue to be as disastrous (whatever bias) is it was in 2014.
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