Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
December 14, 2019, 11:28:47 am
News: 2020 U.S. Senate Predictions are now active.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls
  2014 Senatorial Election Polls
  LA-Sen: Vox Populi: Cassidy Romping
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: LA-Sen: Vox Populi: Cassidy Romping  (Read 10478 times)
KCDem
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,929


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 19, 2014, 09:43:06 pm »

Cassidy: 53
Landrieu: 42

http://www.poppolling.com/index.php?polls-news&a=view&article_id=45#.VG0XplfF_9s

The bottom is about to fall out...
Logged
Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,948
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 19, 2014, 09:45:51 pm »

This is closer than Gravis and Magellan. Interesting....

If only we could get a real pollster here....
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,559
Dominica


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 19, 2014, 09:48:35 pm »

Vox Populi is the gold standard now. This looks about right.
Logged
Landslide Andy
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31,727
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 19, 2014, 10:08:52 pm »

Why are only right wing pollsters polling here?
Logged
Joshua
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,487
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: -5.91

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 20, 2014, 12:49:46 am »

I think it will either be:

Cassidy between 55 and 60
Landrieu between 40 and 45

OR

An exact tie where no one gets 50%+1, triggering another runoff.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 51,024
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 20, 2014, 02:17:24 am »

New Poll: Louisiana Senator by Vox Populi Polling on 2014-11-17

Summary: D: 42%, R: 53%, I: 0%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
ElectionsGuy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,711
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.90, S: -7.65

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: November 20, 2014, 04:15:46 pm »

I think it will either be:

Cassidy between 55 and 60
Landrieu between 40 and 45

OR

An exact tie where no one gets 50%+1, triggering another runoff.


Logged
krazen1211
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,376


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: November 24, 2014, 09:48:54 pm »

Why are only right wing pollsters polling here?

Because pollsters like PPP don't want to embarrass themselves like they did in North Carolina where they trotted out about 20 junk polls. So, you're left with the pollsters who were right this cycle.
Logged
Landslide Andy
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31,727
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: November 25, 2014, 01:29:12 am »

Why are only right wing pollsters polling here?

Because pollsters like PPP don't want to embarrass themselves like they did in North Carolina where they trotted out about 20 junk polls. So, you're left with the pollsters who were right this cycle.

Vox Populi was right? I must've missed when Allen Weh, Scott Brown, and Walt Havenstein won.
Logged
Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,948
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: November 25, 2014, 02:59:00 am »

Why are only right wing pollsters polling here?

Because pollsters like PPP don't want to embarrass themselves like they did in North Carolina where they trotted out about 20 junk polls. So, you're left with the pollsters who were right this cycle.

Vox Populi was right? I must've missed when Allen Weh, Scott Brown, and Walt Havenstein won.
It didn't  say Allen weh would win, just said he would make it a 6 point race.
Logged
CEO of Bernie Sanders
SawxDem
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,658
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: November 25, 2014, 03:01:20 am »

Why are only right wing pollsters polling here?

Because pollsters like PPP don't want to embarrass themselves like they did in North Carolina where they trotted out about 20 junk polls. So, you're left with the pollsters who were right this cycle.

Vox Populi was right? I must've missed when Allen Weh, Scott Brown, and Walt Havenstein won.
It didn't  say Allen weh would win, just said he would make it a 6 point race.
Yeah, IceSpear is thinking of Wehby.
Logged
Landslide Andy
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31,727
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: November 25, 2014, 03:05:04 am »

Why are only right wing pollsters polling here?

Because pollsters like PPP don't want to embarrass themselves like they did in North Carolina where they trotted out about 20 junk polls. So, you're left with the pollsters who were right this cycle.

Vox Populi was right? I must've missed when Allen Weh, Scott Brown, and Walt Havenstein won.
It didn't  say Allen weh would win, just said he would make it a 6 point race.
Yeah, IceSpear is thinking of Wehby.

Oh yeah, you're right.

Well that just makes them look even worse. Wink
Logged
krazen1211
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,376


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: November 25, 2014, 07:55:39 am »

Why are only right wing pollsters polling here?

Because pollsters like PPP don't want to embarrass themselves like they did in North Carolina where they trotted out about 20 junk polls. So, you're left with the pollsters who were right this cycle.

Vox Populi was right? I must've missed when Allen Weh, Scott Brown, and Walt Havenstein won.

They were about some races at least, where PPP was not. See the Virginia poll that I believe you derided.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 51,024
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: November 25, 2014, 08:13:22 am »

Why are only right wing pollsters polling here?

Because pollsters like PPP don't want to embarrass themselves like they did in North Carolina where they trotted out about 20 junk polls. So, you're left with the pollsters who were right this cycle.

Vox Populi was right? I must've missed when Allen Weh, Scott Brown, and Walt Havenstein won.

They were about some races at least, where PPP was not. See the Virginia poll that I believe you derided.

Folks:

NO multi-state pollster was really good in 2014.

Maybe it was the low turnout of 36-38% or something else, I don't know ...
Logged
Landslide Andy
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31,727
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: November 25, 2014, 05:11:33 pm »

Why are only right wing pollsters polling here?

Because pollsters like PPP don't want to embarrass themselves like they did in North Carolina where they trotted out about 20 junk polls. So, you're left with the pollsters who were right this cycle.

Vox Populi was right? I must've missed when Allen Weh, Scott Brown, and Walt Havenstein won.

They were about some races at least, where PPP was not. See the Virginia poll that I believe you derided.

Their final NH, CO, AK, CT, and MA polls were good.
Logged
Landslide Andy
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31,727
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: November 25, 2014, 05:13:29 pm »

Why are only right wing pollsters polling here?

Because pollsters like PPP don't want to embarrass themselves like they did in North Carolina where they trotted out about 20 junk polls. So, you're left with the pollsters who were right this cycle.

Vox Populi was right? I must've missed when Allen Weh, Scott Brown, and Walt Havenstein won.

They were about some races at least, where PPP was not. See the Virginia poll that I believe you derided.

Folks:

NO multi-state pollster was really good in 2014.

Maybe it was the low turnout of 36-38% or something else, I don't know ...

This is also true.
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,559
Dominica


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: December 06, 2014, 11:36:23 pm »

Told you guys Vox Populi was the new gold standard. They absolutely nailed it.
Logged
Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,948
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: December 06, 2014, 11:42:56 pm »

Told you guys Vox Populi was the new gold standard. They absolutely nailed it.

If you assume undecideds broke 80% for Cassidy.....

Vox Populi was good in some races this year, bad in others. I'll stop treating them as complete junk as I did before Nov. 4, but they're no Marquette.
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,559
Dominica


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: December 07, 2014, 12:11:15 am »

The final result was 56-44, or +12. So Vox was only 1% off.
Logged
Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,948
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: December 07, 2014, 12:13:59 am »

The final result was 56-44, or +12. So Vox was only 1% off.
I was speaking in terms of actual percentages in the poll, not the margin.
Logged
krazen1211
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,376


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: December 30, 2014, 10:50:46 pm »

Great poll!
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC