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  LA-Independent Women’s Voice/WPA Opinion Research: Cassidy+24 (search mode)
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Author Topic: LA-Independent Women’s Voice/WPA Opinion Research: Cassidy+24  (Read 37622 times)
KCDem
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« on: December 04, 2014, 09:04:35 am »

Great poll!
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KCDem
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« Reply #1 on: December 04, 2014, 11:45:20 am »


No, but it's accurate!
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KCDem
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« Reply #2 on: December 04, 2014, 08:36:45 pm »

If those Senate Democrats just passed the Keystone XL Pipeline bill....

Cassidy might only be up by 22...


Yeah Landrieu could have at least been within single digits w/ Keystone XL and could've won.

The Dems were dumb to reject it.

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KCDem
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« Reply #3 on: December 04, 2014, 09:26:39 pm »

If those Senate Democrats just passed the Keystone XL Pipeline bill....

Cassidy might only be up by 22...


Yeah Landrieu could have at least been within single digits w/ Keystone XL and could've won.

The Dems were dumb to reject it.



Eh, Landrieu still was only trailing by single digits in a lot of the pre-GE polling.  She might have been able to hold up better with the Keystone vote.  It definitely would've given her positive PR, and the Dems might not have given up on her so much.

We tried this crap with Pryor, Lincoln, etc.

It didn't work because the voters aren't buying it.
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KCDem
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« Reply #4 on: December 05, 2014, 01:20:26 am »

Look, let's face it. The NON-GA deep south is safe republican now, and there's nothing anyone can do to reverse it - even GA relies on getting huge black turnout and support and probably consistently getting 28-30% of whites while holding down white turnout. It took a while for the downticket races to catch up with presidential trends due to famous family names, poor challengers, luck, and Bill Clinton, but they've caught up now and there's nothing anyone can do.

The rest of the non-GA/AZ republican states may go the same way - democrats should be very nervous about Tester, McCaskill, Heitkamp, and Donnelly. Manchin can hold his seat, but if he retires, its gone.

Democrats aren't exactly considering those races safe Roll Eyes


and Heitkamp, Donnelly, and Tester are all probably in a better position than Manchin to win reelection.
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KCDem
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« Reply #5 on: December 05, 2014, 10:30:54 am »

Look, let's face it. The NON-GA deep south is safe republican now, and there's nothing anyone can do to reverse it - even GA relies on getting huge black turnout and support and probably consistently getting 28-30% of whites while holding down white turnout. It took a while for the downticket races to catch up with presidential trends due to famous family names, poor challengers, luck, and Bill Clinton, but they've caught up now and there's nothing anyone can do.

The rest of the non-GA/AZ republican states may go the same way - democrats should be very nervous about Tester, McCaskill, Heitkamp, and Donnelly. Manchin can hold his seat, but if he retires, its gone.

Democrats aren't exactly considering those races safe Roll Eyes


and Heitkamp, Donnelly, and Tester are all probably in a better position than Manchin to win reelection.

Donnelly, who won only due to a bad republican nominee, is less vulnerable than Manchin? LOLOOLOLOL

West Virginia is the new Arkansas, there is no longer a base for national democrats to compete. See Rahall, Nick.

These numbers are old, but Manchin only had a 46/44 approval rating:

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2013/PPP_Release_WV_925.pdf

Indiana and North Dakota, on the other hand, have a base for Democrats to win.
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